ASR 2002

PUBLICATIONS

Bold face denotes University collaborators
* denotes Non NCAR or other collaborators

Referreed:

Arblaster, J. M., G. A. Meehl, and A. Moore, 2002:  Interdecadal modulation of Australian rainfall. Climate Dyn., 18, 519-531.

Barreiro, M., P. Chang, and R. Saravanan, 2002: Variability of the South Atlantic convergence zone simulated by an atmospheric general circulation model.  J. Climate, 15, 745-763.

Barrie, L. A., Y. Yi, W. R. Leaitch, U. Lohmann, P. Kasibhatla, G.-J. Roelofs, *J. Wilson, F. McGovern, *C. Benkovitz, *M.A. Mélières, K. Law, J. Prospero, *M. Kritz, *D. Bergmann, C. Bridgeman, *M. Chin, *J. Christensen, *R. Easter, *J. Feichter, *C. Land, *A. Jeuken, E. Kjellström, *D. Koch, and P. Rasch, 2001:  A comparison of large-scale atmospheric sulphate aerosol models (COSAM):  Overview and highlights. Tellus, 53, 615-645.

*Bergman, J. W., and P.J. Rasch, 2002:  Parameterizaing vertically-coherent cloud distributions.  J. Atmos. Sci., 14, 2165-2182.

Boyd, P., and S. C. Doney, 2002: The impact of climate change and feedback processes on the ocean carbon cycle.  International Joint Global Ocean Flux Study Synthesis, M. Fasham, Ed., Springer-Verlag, in press.

Boyd, P. W., and S. C. Doney, 2002: Modelling regional responses by marine pelagic ecosystems to global climate change.  Geophys. Res. Lett., 29, 10.1029/2001GL014130.

Branstator, G., 2002:  Circumglobal teleconnections, the jet stream waveguide, and the North Atlantic Oscillation.  J. Climate, 15, 1893-1910.

Chiang, J. C. H., Y. Kushnir, and A. Giannini, 2002:  Deconstructing Atlantic ITCZ variability: Influence of the local cross-equatorial SST gradient, and remote forcing from the eastern equatorial Pacific.  J. Geophys. Res., 107, 1-19.

Chung, C. E., V. Ramanathan, and J. T. Kiehl, 2002:  Effects of the South Asian absorbing haze on the northeast monsoon and surface-air heat exchange.  J. Climate, 15, 2462-2476.

*Churkina, G., *J. Tenhunen, P. Thornton, *J. A. Elbers, *M. Erhard, *E. M. Falge, *T. Grünwald, *A. S. Kowalski, *Ü. Rannik, and *D. F. Sprinz, 2002:  Analyzing the ecosystem carbon dynamics of four European coniferous forests using a biogeochemistry model.  Ecosystems, in press.

Clarke, A., W. D. Collins, P. J. Rasch, V. Kapustin, K. Moore, and S. Howell, 2001: Pollution transport on global scales: Measurements and model predictions.  J. Geophys. Res., 106, 32555-32570.

Collins, W. D., 2001:  Parameterization of generalized cloud overlap for radiative calculations in general circulation models.  J. Atmos. Sci., 58, 3224-3242.

Curry, J. A. , J.  L. Schramm, A. Alam, R. Reeder, T. E. Arbetter, and P. Guest, 2002: Evaluation of data sets used to force sea ice models in the Arctic Ocean.  J. Geophys. Res., 107(C8), 10.1029/2000JC000466.

Dai, A., and K. E. Trenberth, 2002: Estimates of freshwater discharge from continents: Latitudinal and seasonal variations. J. Hydrometeorol., 3, 660–667.

Dai, A., J. Wang, R. H. Ware, and T. Van Hove, 2002: Diurnal variation in   water vapor over North America and its implications for sampling errors   in radiosonde humidity.  J. Geophys. Res., 107 (D10), 10.1029/2001JD000642.

*Dargaville, R., S. C. Doney, and I. Y. Fung, 2002: Inter-annual variability in the interhemispheric atmospheric CO2 gradient: Contributions from transport and the seasonal rectifier.  Tellus, in press.

Del Grosso, S., D. Ojima, W. Parton, *A. Mosier, G. Peterson, D. Schimel, 2002: Simulated effects of dryland cropping intensification on soil organic matter and greenhouse gas exchanges using the DAYCENT ecosystem model.  Environmental Pollution, 116: S75-S83 Suppl.

Deser, C., *M. A. Alexander, and *M. S. Timlin, 2002: On the persistence of sea surface temperature anomalies in midlatitudes.  J. Climate, in press.

Deser, C., M. M. Holland, *G. Reverdin, and *M. S. Timlin, 2002: Decadal variations in Labrador Sea ice cover and North Atlantic sea surface variations.  J. Geophys. Res., 107(C5), 10.1029/2000JC000683.

Doney, S. C., *D. M. Glover, M. Fuentes, and S. McCue, 2002: Mesoscale variability of satellite ocean color: Global patterns and spatial scales. J. Geophys. Res., Oceans , in press.

Doney, S. C., and M. W. Hecht, 2002: Antarctic bottom water formation and deep-water chlorofluorocarbon distributions in a global ocean climate model.  J. Phys. Oceanogr., 32, 1642-1666.

Doney, S. C., J. A. Kleypas, J. L. Sarmiento, and P. G. Falkowski, 2001: The US JGOFS synthesis and modeling project—an Introduction.  Deep-Sea Res. II, 49, 1-20.

Doney, S. C., I. Lima, K. Lindsay, J. K. Moore, S. Dutkiewicz, M. A. M. Friedrichs, and *R.J. Matear, 2001: Marine biogeochemical modeling: Recent advances and future challenges.  Oceanography, 14-4, 93-107.

Doney, S. C., K. Lindsay, and J. K. Moore, 2002: Global ocean carbon cycle modeling.  International Joint Global Ocean Flux Study Synthesis, M. Fasham, Ed., Springer-Verlag, in press.

Doney, S. C., and D. S. Schimel, 2001: Global change—the future and the greenhouse effect, Encyclopedia of Life Sciences, Nature Publishing Group.  [Available from on-line from http://www.els.net.]

Duane, G., and J. J. Tribbia, 2001: Synchronized chaos in geophysical fluid dynamics, Physical Review Letters, 86, 4298-4301.

*Dutay, J. -C., *et al., 2001: Evaluation of ocean model ventilation with CFC-11: Comparison of 13 global ocean models. Ocean Modelling, 4 , 89-120.

Errico, R. M., K. Raeder, and *L. Fillion, 2002: Estimation of the sensitivity of forecast precipitation rates to possible perturbations of initial conditions.  Tellus, in press.

Errico, R. M., *D. J. Stensrud, and K. Raeder, 2001: Estimation of the error statistics of precipitation produced by convective parameterization schemes for application to the variational assimilation of precipitation observations. Quart. J. Roy. Meteor. Soc., 127A, 2495-2512.

Fournier, A., 2002: Atmospheric energetics in the wavelet domain. Part I: Governing equations and interpretation for idealized flows.  J. Atmos. Sci., 59, 1182-1197.

Fournier, A., 2002:  Atmospheric energetics in the wavelet domain. Part II: Time-averaged observed atmospheric blocking.  J. Atmos. Sci., in press.

*Gelaro, R., *C. A. Reynolds, and R. M. Errico, 2001: Transient and asymptotic perturbations a simple model. Quart. J. Roy. Meteor. Soc., 127A, 205-208.

Gent, P. R., A. P. Craig, *C. M. Bitz, and *J. W. Weatherly, 2001: Parameterization improvements in an eddy-permitting ocean model for climate.  J. Climate, 15, 1447-1459.

Gent, P. R., 2001: Parameterizing eddies in ocean climate models.  Proceedings of the IUTAM Symposium on Advances in Mathematical Modelling of Atmosphere and Ocean Dynamics, F. Hodnett, Ed., Kluwer Academic Publishers, 19-30.

Gettelman, A., M. Salby, and F. Sassi, 2002: Distribution and influence of convection in the Tropical Tropopause Region, J. Geophys. Res., 107, 10.1029/2001JD001048.

Giannini, A., J. C. H. Chiang, M. A. Cane, Y. Kushnir, and R. Seager, 2001: The ENSO teleconnection to the tropical Atlantic Ocean: Contributions of the remote and local SSTs to rainfall variability in the tropical Americas.  J. Climate, 14, 4530-4544.

*Glover, D. M., S. C. Doney, A. J. Mariano, R. H. Evans, and *S. J. McCue, 2001: Mesoscale variability in time-series data: Satellite based estimates for the U.S. JGOFS Bermuda Atlantic Time-Series Study (BATS) site. J. Geophys. Res., 107(C8), 10.1029/2000JC000589.

*Griffies, S. M., C. Böning, F. O. Bryan, E. P. Chassignet, *R. Gerdes, H. Hasumi, *A. Hirst, *A. -M. Tregueir, and *D. Webb, 2001: Developments in ocean climate modelling. Ocean Modelling, 2, 123-192.

*Hasenauer, H., *K. Merganicova, *R. Petritsch, *S. Pietsch, P. Thornton, 2002: Validating daily climate interpolations over complex terrain in Austria.  Agricultural and Forest Meteorology, submitted.

Hoffert, M. I., *K. Caldeira, G. Benford, D. R. Criswell, C. Green, H. Herzong, A. K. Jain, *H. S. Kheshgi, K. S. Lackner, J. S. Lewis, H. D. Lightfoot, W. Manheimer, *J. C. Mankins, *M. E. Mauel, L. J. Perkins, *M. E. Schlesinger, T. Volk, and T. M. L. Wigley, 2002: Advanced technology paths to global climate stability: Energy for a greenhouse planet. Science, 298, 981–987.

*Hu, A., C. Rooth, *R. Bleck, and C. Deser, 2002: NAO influence on sea ice extent in the Eurasian coastal region.  Geophys. Res. Lett., in press.

Hurrell, J. W., 2002: Climate: North Atlantic and Arctic Oscillation. Encyclopedia of Atmospheric Sciences, J. Holton, J. Pyle, and J. Curry, Eds., Academic Press, in press.

Hurrell, J. W., and *R. R. Dickson, 2002: Climate variability over the North Atlantic.  Ecological Effects of Climate Variations in the North Atlantic Ocean, N. C. Stenseth, G. Ottersen, J. W. Hurrell, A. Belgrano, and B. Planque, Eds., Oxford University Press, in press.

Hurrell, J. W., *M. P. Hoerling, and *C. K. Folland, 2002: Climatic variability over the North Atlantic. Meteorology at the Millenium: 150th Anniversary of the Royal Meteorological Society, Academic Press, 143–151.

Hurrell, J. W., Y. Kushnir, M. Visbeck, and G. Ottersen, 2002: An Overview of the North Atlantic Oscillation. The North Atlantic Oscillation,J. W. Hurrell, Y. Kushnir, G. Ottersen, and M. Visbeck, Eds., American Geophysical Union, in press.

Iglesias-Rodriguez, M. D., *C. W. Brown, S. C. Doney, J. Kleypas, D. Kolber, Z. Kolber, P. K. Hayes, and P. G. Falkowski, 2002: Representing key phytoplankton functional groups in ocean carbon cycle models: Coccolithophores.  Global Biogeochem. Cycles, in press.

Iglesias-Rodriquez, M. D., R. Armstrong, R. Feely*, R. Hood, J. Kleypas, J. D. Milliman, C. Sabine, and J. Sarmiento, 2002:  Progress made in study of ocean's calcium carbonate budget. Eos, 83(34): 365, 374-375.

Kang, I.-S., *K. Jin, B. Wang, *K.-M. Lau, *J. Shukla, V. Krishnamurti, *S. D. Schubert, D. E. Waliser, *W. F. Stern, *A. Kitoh, G. A. Meehl, *M. Kanamitsu, *V. Y. Galin, *V. Satyan, *C. K. Park, and Q. Liu, 2002: Intercomparison of the climatological variations of Asian summer monsoon precipitation simulated by 10 GCMs.  Climate Dyn., 19, 383–395.

Kennedy, V. S., R. R. Twilley, J. A. Kleypas, J. H. Cowan, Jr., and *S. R. Hare, 2002: Coastal and Marine Ecosystems and Global Climate Change: Potential Effects on U.S. Resources.  Pew Center on Global Climate Change, 52 pp.

Kleypas, J. A., and C. Langdon, 2002: Overview of CO2-induced changes in seawater chemistry. Proc. 9th Int. Coral Reef Sym., Bali, Indonesia, Oct. 23-27 2000, in press.

Lima, I. D., D. B. Olson, S. C. Doney, 2002: Biological response to frontal dynamics and mesoscale variability in oligotrophic environments: Biological production and community structure.  J. Geophys. Res., 107(C8), 10.1029/2000JC000393.

Lohmann, U., *W. R. Leaitch, *L. Barrie, K. Law, *Y. Yi, *D. Bergmann, C. Bridgeman, *M. Chin, *J. Christensen, *R. Easter, *J. Feichter, A. Jeuken, E. Kjellström, *D. Koch, *C. Land, P. Rasch and G.-J. Roelofs, 2001: Vertical distributions of sulfur species simulated by large scale atmospheric models in COSAM: Comparison with observations, Tellus, 53, 646-672.

*Liu, P., G. A. Meehl and *G. Wu, 2002:  Multi-model trends in the Sahara induced by increasing CO2. Geophys. Res. Lett., in press.

*Liu, Z., *S. Shin, B. L. Otto-Bliesner, *J. Kutzbach, E. Brady, and *D.E. Lee, 2002: Tropical cooling at the Last Glacial Maximum and extratropical ocean ventilation.  Geophys. Res. Let., 29, 10.1029/2001GL013938.

*Lysne, J., and C. Deser, 2002: Wind-driven thermocline variability in the Pacific: A model-data comparison.  J. Climate, 15, 829–845.

Marshall, J., Y. Kushnir, D. Battisti, P. Chang, A. Czaja, *R. Dickson, J. W. Hurrell, *M. McCartney, R. Saravanan, and M. Visbeck, 2001: North Atlantic climate variability: Phenomena, impacts and mechanisms. Intl. J. of Climatology, 21, 1863-1898.

McWilliams, J. C., and G. Danabasoglu, 2002: Eulerian and eddy-induced meridional overturning circulations in the Tropics.  J. Phys. Oceanogr., 32, 2054-2071.

Meehl, G. A., 2002: Attribution of societal and environmental impacts to specific La Niña and El Niño events.  La Niña and Its Impacts:  Facts and Speculation, M. H. Glantz, Ed., United Nations University Press, 63–67.

Meehl, G. A., and J. M. Arblaster, 2002: The tropospheric biennial oscillation and Asian-Australian monsoon rainfall. J. Climate, 15, 722–744.

Meehl, G. A., and J. M. Arblaster, 2002: GCM sensitivity experiments for the Indian monsoon and tropospheric biennial oscillation transition conditions.  J. Climate, 15, 923–944.

Meehl, G. A., W. M. Washington, T. M. L. Wigley, J. M. Arblaster, and A. Dai, 2002:  Solar and greenhouse gas forcing and climate response in the 20th century.  J. Climate, in press.

Moore, J. K., S. C. Doney, *D. M. Glover, and I. Y. Fung, 2002: Iron cycling and nutrient limitation patterns in surface waters of the world ocean.  Deep-Sea Res. II, 49, 463-507.

Moore, J. K., S. C. Doney, J. A. Kleypas, *D. M. Glover, and I. Y. Fung, 2002: An intermediate complexity marine ecosystem model for the global domain.  Deep-Sea Res. II, 49, 403-462.

Nychka, D., C. K. Wikle, and *J. A. Royle, 2002: Multiresolution models for nonstationary spatial covariance functions.  Statistical Modelling: An International Journal, in press.

Oh, H.-S., C. M. Ammann, *P. Naveau, D. Nychka, and B. L. Otto-Bliesner,  2002: Multi-resolution time series analysis applied to solar irradiance and climate reconstructions. Journal of Atmospheric and Solar-Terrestrial Physics, in press.

Otto-Bliesner, B. L., and E. C. Brady, 2001: Tropical Pacific variability in the NCAR Climate System Model.  J. Climate, 14, 3587-3601.

Otto-Bliesner, B. L., E. C. Brady, and C. Shields, 2002: Late Cretaceous ocean: Coupled simulations with the National Center for Atmospheric Research Climate System Model.  J. Geophys. Res., 107, 10.1029/2001JD000821.

*Pierce, D. W., *T. P. Barnett, *N. Schneider, R. Saravanan, *D. Dommenget, and *M. Latif, 2001: The role of ocean dynamics is producing decadal climate variability in the North Pacific. Climate Dynamics, 18, 51-70.

*Qian, J-H, and A. Kasahara, Nonhydrostatic atmospheric normal modes on beta-planes, 2002:  Pure and Applied Geophysics, in press.

Ramanathan, V., P. J. Crutzen, J. T. Kiehl, and D. Rosenfeld, 2001:  Aerosols, climate, and the hydrological cycle.  Science, 294, 2119-2124.

Ramanathan, V., *P. J. Crutzen, *J. Lelieveld, *A. P. Mitra, *D. Althausen, J. Anderson,  *M. O. Andreae, W. Cantrell, G. Cass, C. E. Chung, A. D. Clarke, J. A. Coakley, W. D. Collins, W. C. Conan, *F. Dulac, *J. Heintzenberg, A. J. Heymsfield, *B. Holben, S. Howell, *J. Hudson, *A. Jayaraman, J. T. Kiehl, T. N. Krishnamurti, D. Lubin, G. McFarquhar, *T. Novakov, *J. A. Ogren, I. A. Podgorny, K. Prather, J. M. Prospero, *K. Priestley, *P. K. Quinn, *K. Rajeev, P. J. Rasch, S. Rupert, *R. Sadourney, S. K. Satheesh, *P. Sheridan, G. E. Shaw, and F. P. J. Valero, 2001: The Indian Ocean Experiment: An integrated assessment of the climate forcing and effects of the great Indo-Asian haze. J. Geophys. Res., 106, 28371-28398.

Randerson, J. T., C. J. Still, J. J. Ballé, I. Y. Fung, S. C. Doney, *P. P. Tans, *T. J. Conway, J. W. C. White, B. Vaugn, N. Suits, and A. S. Denning, 2002: The carbon isotope discrimination of arctic and boreal biomes inferred from remote atmospheric measurements and a biosphere-atmosphere model.   Global Biogeochem. Cycles, 16(3), 10.1029/2001GB001435.

Richter, D. D., D. Markewitz, D. S. Schimel, 2002:  Understanding soil change:  Soil sustainability over millennia. Nature, 415 (6872):  583-584.

Roelofs, G.-J., P. Kasibhatla, *L. Barrie, *D. Bergmann, C. Bridgeman, *M. Chin, *J. Christensen, *R. Easter, *J. Feichter, *A. Jeuken, E. Kjellström, *D. Koch, *C. Land, and P. Rasch, 2001:  Analysis of regional budgets of sulfur species modeled for the COSAM exercise.  Tellus, 53, 673-694.

Salby, M, F. Sassi, P. Callaghan, D. Wu, P. Keckhut, A. Hauchecorne, 2002:  Mesospheric inversions and their relationship to planetary wave structure, J. Geophys. Res., 107, 10.1029/2001JD000756.

*Santer, B. D., T. M. L. Wigley, *C. Doutriaux, *J. S. Boyle, *J. E. Hansen, P. D. Jones, G. A. Meehl, *E. Roeckner, *S. Sengupta, and *K. E. Taylor, 2001: Accounting for the effects of volcanoes and ENSO in comparisons of modeled and observed temperature trends.  J. Geophys. Res., 106, 28 033–28 059.

*Santer, B. D., *R. Sausen, T. M. L. Wigley, *J. S. Boyle, *K. AchutaRao, *C. Doutriaux, *J. E. Hansen, G. A. Meehl, *E. Roeckner, *R. Ruedy, *G. Schmidt, and *K. E. Taylor, 2002: Behavior of tropopause height and atmospheric temperature in models, reanalyses, and observations. Part I: Decadal changes. J. Geophys. Res., in press.

Schimel, D. S., 2002:  Untitled. Ecological Applications, 12 (1): 1-2.

Schimel, D. S., *J. I. House, K. A. Hibbard, *P. Bousquet, *P. Ciais, *P. Peylin, B. H. Braswell, *M. J. Apps, D. Baker, *A. Bondeau, J. Canadell, *G. Churkina, W. Cramer, A. S. Denning, C. B. Field, P. Friedlingstein, *C. Goodale, M. Heimann, *R. A. Houghton, *J. M. Melillo, B. Moore, *D. Murdiyarso, *I. Noble, S. W. Pacala, *I. C. Prentice, *M. R. Raupach, *P. J. Rayner, *R. J. Scholes, *W. L. Steffen, *C. Wirth, 2001:  Recent patterns and mechanisms of carbon exchange by terrestrial ecosystems. Nature, 414 (6860): 169-172.

*Shin, S. I., *Z. Liu, B. L. Otto-Bliesner, E. C. Brady, *J. E. Kutzbach, and *S. P. Harrison, 2002: A simulation of the Last Glacial Maximum climate using NCAR-CCSM.  Clim. Dyn., in press.

Siegel, D. A., S. C. Doney, and J. A. Yoder, 2002:  The North Atlantic Spring phytoplankton bloom and Sverdrup's critical depth hypothesis.  Science, 296, 730-733.

*Smith, R. L., T. M. L. Wigley, and *B. D. Santer, 2002: A bivariate time series approach to anthropogenic trend detection in hemispheric mean temperatures.  J. Climate, in press.

*Smith, L.M., *G. H. Miller, B. L. Otto-Bliesner, and *S. Shin, 2002:  Sensitivity of the Northern Hemisphere climate system to extreme changes in Holocene Arctic sea ice.  Quaternary Science Reviews (in press).

Stenseth, N. C., A. Mysterud, *G. Ottersen, J. W. Hurrell, K.-S. Chan, and M. Lima, 2002: Ecological effects of large-scale climate fluctuations.  Science, 297, 1292–1296.

Tebaldi, C., D. Nychka, B. G. Brown, and B. Sharman, 2002: Flexible discriminant techniques for forecasting clear-air turbulence. Environmetrics, in press.

Temam, R., and J. Tribbia, 2002: Open Boundary Conditions for the Primitive and Boussinesq Equations, Sub judice. J. Atmos. Sci., in press.

*Timlin, M. S., *M. A. Alexander, and C. Deser, 2002:  On the reemergence of North Atlantic SST anomalies.  J. Climate, 15, 2707–2712.

Trenberth K. E., 2002 Changes in tropical clouds and radiation: Are they real?  Science, 296, 2095.  (Online http://www.sciencemag.org/cgi/content/full/296/5576/2095a).

Trenberth, K. E., 2002: Climate change and the ENSO cycle: Are they linked?  La Niña and Its Impacts: Facts and Speculation, M. H. Glantz, Ed., United Nations University Press, 51–56.

Trenberth, K. E., 2002: The extreme weather events of 1997 and 1998.  Water Resources and Climate Change, K. D. Frederick, Ed., Edward Elgar Publishing Ltd., 3–16.

Trenberth, K. E., 2002: The extreme weather events of 1997 and 1998, Consequences: The Nature and Implications of Environmental Change, 5, 2–15.

Trenberth K. E., and D. P. Stepaniak, 2002: A pathological problem with NCEP reanalyses in the stratosphere.  J. Climate, 15, 690–695.

Trenberth, K. E., *T. R. Karl, and *T. W. Spence, 2002:  The need for a systems approach to climate observations.  Bull. Amer. Meteor. Soc., 83, 1593–1602.

Trenberth, K. E., D. P. Stepaniak, and J. M. Caron, 2002: Interannual variations in the atmospheric heat budget.  J. Geophys. Res., 107, 10.1029/2000JD000297.

Trenberth, K. E., D. P. Stepaniak, and J. M. Caron, 2002:  Accuracy of atmospheric energy budgets. J. Climate, 15, 3343–3360.

Trenberth, K. E.; J. M. Caron, D. P. Stepaniak, and S. Worley, 2002: Evolution of El Niño–Southern Oscillation and global atmospheric surface temperatures.  J. Geophys. Res., 107, 10.1029/2000JD000298.

Washington, W. M., A. Dai, and G. A. Meehl, 2002: Climate Change Modeling:  A brief history of the theory and recent 21st century ensemble simulations.   Chapter 2 of Frontiers in the Science of Climate Modeling, J.T. Kiehl and V. Ramanathan (eds.), Cambridge University Press, in press.

*Watson, R T., et al., 2001: Climate Change 2001: Synthesis Report. A contribution of Working Groups I, II and III to the Third Assessment Report of the Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change.  Watson, R. T. and the core writing team, Eds. Cambridge University Press, Cambridge, United Kingdom and New York, 398 pp.

*Wielicki, B. A., *T. Wong, *R. P. Allan, *A. Slingo, J. T. Kiehl, B. J. Soden, C. T. Gordon, *A. J. Miller, *S. -K. Yang, D. A. Randall, *F. Robertson, *J. Susskind, and *H. Jacobowitz, 2002:  Evidence for large decadal variability in the tropical mean radiative energy budget. Science, 295, 841-844.

Wilby, R. L., and T. M. L. Wigley, 2002: Future changes in the distribution of daily precipitation totals across North America.  Geophy. Res. Lett., 29, 10.1029/2001GL013048.

Wigley, T. M. L., and S. C. B. Raper, 2002: Reasons for larger warming projections in the IPCC Third Assessment Report.  J. Climate, 15, 2945–2952.

Wigley, T. M. L., *S. J. Smith, and M. J. Prather, 2002: Radiative forcing due to reactive gas emissions.  J. Climate, 15, 2690–2696.

Whitcher, B., *S. D. Byers, P. Guttorp, and D. B. Percival, 2002: Testing for homogeneity of variance in time series: Long memory, wavelets and the Nile River.  Water Resour. Res., 38, 10.1029/2001WR000509.

Williamson, D. L., 2002: Time-split versus process-split coupling of parameterizations and dynamical core.  Mon. Wea. Rev., 130, 2024-2041.

Non-referreed

Ammann C. M., B. L. Otto-Bliesner, J. T. Kiehl and R. S. Bradley, 2002:  Krakatau 1883: Problems with the Reference Eruption. AGU Chapman Conference onVolcanism and Climate, Santorini, Greece.

Branstator, G., 2002:  Distant teleconnections via the tropospheric jetstream waveguide.  In: Proceedings of the Workshop on Prospects for improved forecasts of weather and short-term climate variability on subseasonal (2 week to 2 month) time scales.  Greenbelt, MD, in press.

Dai, A., G. A. Meehl, W. M. Washington, and W. G. Strand, 2002: North Atlantic Ocean response to a future anthropogenic forcing in a coupled GCM. In:  Proceedings of the AMS 13th Symposium on Global Change and Climate Variations, Orlando, FL, pp. 188-190.

Dai, A., 2002: Evaluating GCMs using diurnal variability. In: Proceedings of the AMS 13th Symposium on Global Change and Climate Variations, Orlando, FL, pp. 143-145.

Gettelman, A., M. Salby, W. J. Randel, and F. Sassi, 2001:  Convection in the tropical tropopause region and stratosphere-troposphere exchange. SPARC Newsletter, 17, 22-25.

Goody, R. J. Anderson, T. Karl, R. Balstad Miller, G. North, J. Simpson, G. Stephens and W.Washington, 2002:  Why monitor the climate?  Bulletin of the American Meteorological.

Hurrell, J. W., C. Deser, *C. K. Folland, and *D. P. Rowell, 2001: The relationship between tropical Atlantic rainfall and summer circulation over the North Atlantic. Extended Abstract, U.S. CLIVAR Atlantic Meeting, Boulder, CO, 111–114.  

Hurrell, J. W., 2002: Recent atmospheric circulation changes and their role in global warming. FSWX Outlook, in press.

Hurrell, J. W., and *C. K. Folland, 2002: A change in the summer atmospheric circulation over the North Atlantic. CLIVAR Exchanges, 25, 52–54.

Hurrell, J. W., Y. Kushnir, G. Ottersen, and M. Visbeck, 2002: The North Atlantic Oscillation: A forthcoming American Geophysical Union Monograph.  CLIVAR Exchanges, 25, 73–75.

Kittel, T. G. F., P. E. Thornton, *J. A. Royle, and *T. N. Chase, 2002:  Climates of the Rocky Mountains:  Historical and Future Patterns.  Rocky Mountain Futures: An Ecological Perspective.  J.S. Baron (ed.), Island Press, Covelo, CA, 59-82.

Schimel, D. S., B. H. Braswell, 2002: Global Change and Mountain Regions. The role of mid-latitude mountains in the carbon cycle:  global perspective and a Western US case study, H. Bugmann and U. Huber, Eds., Kluwer Academic Publishers, in press.

Schimel, D. S., 2002: Mountains, fire, fire suppression and the carbon cycle in the Western US.  Proc. Sierra Nevada Science Conference, Berkeley, CA, UC Berkeley.

Strand, W.G., 2002: Climate Scenarios 2002-2012, High Performance Network Planning Workshop, Washington DC Aug 13-15, 2002.

Trenberth, K. E., 2001: Global warming is happening.  Proc. 2001: An Energy Odyssey, Denver, CO,American Association of Petroleum Geologists, 6 pp.

Trenberth, K. E., 2001: Outstanding issues in the hydrological cycle in climate research.  Proc. Climate and Ozone Programme Conference, Bergen, Norway, Norwegian Institute for Air Research, N-95102, 39–42.

Trenberth, K. E., and J. M. Caron, 2001: Meridional atmosphere and ocean heat transports. Proc. WCRP/SCOR Workshop on Intercomparison and Validation of Ocean-Atmosphere Flux Fields, Potomac, MD, World Climate Research Programme, WCRP-115, WMO/TD 1083. 10–13.

Trenberth, K. E., 2002: Why and how does precipitation change? Workshop on Predictability & Limits-to-Prediction in Hydrological Systems, National Research Council, National Academy Press, 94–97.

Trenberth, K. E., 2002: Doing nothing a sure path to disaster. Denver Post perspective, June 30, 2002.

Trenberth, K. E., 2002: The extreme weather events of 1997 and 1998. Consequences: The Nature and Implications of Environmental Change, 5, 2–15.

Trenberth, K. E., 2002: Components of a climate observing system.  13th Symposium on Global Change and Climate Variations, Orlando, FL, Amer. Meteor. Soc., 1–2.

Trenberth, K. E., 2002: Stronger evidence for human influences on global climate: The 2001 IPCC assessment. 52nd Pugwash Conf. on Science and World Affairs, La Jolla, CA, Pugwash, position paper.

Trenberth, K. E., and *S. Schubert, 2002: Reanalysis for climate. Paper for CLIVAR SSG-11, Xian, China, WCRP.

Trenberth, K. E. and D. P. Stepaniak, 2002: Diagnostics of vertically integrated fluxes of energy. 13th Symposium on Global Change and Climate Variations, Orlando, FL, Amer. Meteor. Soc., 60–61.

Wang, J., A. Dai, D. J. Carlson, R. H. Ware, and J. C. Liljegren, 2002:  Diurnal variation in water vapor and liquid water profiles from a new microwave radiometer profiler. In: proceedings of the 6th Symposium on Integrated Observing Systems, 14-17 Jan. 2002, Orlando, FL,  pp. 198-201.

Williamson, D. L., 2001:  Numerical methods for atmospheric general circulation models: Refinements or fundamental advancements?  Meteorology at the Millennium, R. Pearce, Ed., Academic Press, 23-28.