Sea ice effects on climate sensitivity and low frequency variability

Gerald A. Meehl, Julie M. Arblaster and Warren G. Strand Jr.

National Center for Atmospheric Research
P. O. Box 3000
Boulder, CO 80307


Abstract

A change in a sea ice parameter in a global coupled climate model results in a reduction in amplitude (of about 60%) and a shortening of the predominant period of decadal low frequency variability in the time series of globally averaged surface air temperature. These changes are global in extent and also are reflected in time series of area-averaged SSTs in the equatorial eastern Pacific Ocean, the principal components of the first EOFs of global surface air temperature and sea level pressure, and other quantities. Coupled ocean-atmosphere-sea ice processes acting on a global scale are modified to produce the change of climate sensitivity and low frequency decadal timescale oscillations in the model. Global climate sensitivity is reduced when ice albedo feedback is weakened due to the change in sea ice that makes it more difficult to melt. The changes in the amplitude and timescale of the low frequency variabilty in the model are traced to changes in the base state of the climate simulations as affected by modifications associated with the changes in sea ice. Making sea ice more difficult to melt results in increased sea ice area, colder high latitudes, increased meridional surface temperature gradients, and, to a first order, stronger surface winds in most regions which strengthens near-surface currents, particularly in the Northern Hemisphere, and decreases the advection timescale in the upper ocean gyres. Additionally, in the North Atlantic there is enhanced meridional overturning due to increased density mainly in the Greenland Sea region. This also contributes to an intensified North Atlantic gyre. The changes in base state due to the sea ice change result in a more predominant decadal timescale of near 14 years and reduced contributions from the lower frequencies.
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Hongjun Zhang: zhangho@ucar.edu