Earth System Processes and Interactions, Vol. 1

Kevin E. Trenberth

National Center for Atmospheric Research
P. O. Box 3000
Boulder, CO 80307

email: trenbert@cgd.ucar.edu
voice: (303) 497 1318
fax: (303) 497 1333

18 December, 2000


Introduction

We experience weather every day in all its incredible variety. Most of the time it is familiar, yet it never repeats exactly. We also experience the changing seasons and associated kinds of weather. In summer, fine sunny days may be interrupted by outbreaks of rain and thunderstorms. Outside of the tropics as winter approaches, the days get shorter, it gets colder, and the weather typically fluctuates from warmer and fine spells to cooler and rainy or maybe snowy conditions. In the tropics, the seasonal variations are more often experienced as monsoonal fluctuations between a wet season and a somewhat longer dry season. These seasonal changes are the largest climate changes we experience at any given location. Because they arise in a well-understood way from the regular orbit of the Earth around the sun, we expect them, and we look forward to them. We plan summer vacations and winter ski trips accordingly. Farmers plan their crops and harvests around the seasonal cycle. By comparison, variations in the average weather from one year to the next are quite modest, and longer-term changes in climate occurring over decades or human lifetimes may be even smaller in magnitude. Neverthless, these variations can be very disruptive and costly if we do not expect them and plan for them.

Climate changes have occurred in the past naturally, over decades to millenia for various reasons. Interannual variations are also an important ingredient of climate and can arise through, for example, interactions between the atmosphere and the oceans, as is the case with El Niño. This article discusses weather and climate variations in the context of the Earth system as a whole, and provides a basis for understanding the reasons why climate may vary, and how that may be manifested in terms of weather. The main focus is on the atmosphere as the most variable component of the Earth system; it is afterall where we live and makes up the air we breathe. But the atmosphere interacts with the oceans, the land surface and its vegetation and the other components of the climate system, so those too are important, even from this perspective. Their role in climate is also addressed here.

Like the oceans, the atmosphere is a global commons (Sorros, 1997). It is globally connected and air that is over one nation can easily lie over another on the next continent a day later. Recent attempts by manned balloons to circumnavigate the globe have dramatically shown how the winds can carry the balloon half way around the world in a week or less and that air currents often take the balloon in unwanted directions. So the atmosphere belongs to no one nation, rather all nations may use it for their own purposes (such as discharging pollution and effluent into it) and thus it is also subject to abuse and the phenomenon known as the "tragedy of the commons" (Hardin 1968) in which the best interests of an individual or individual nation may conflict with the health of the commons itself. Human influences on climate change, often referred to as "global warming", are therefore also discussed.

The Earth System includes many other important processes and phenomena that can not be dealt with here. Even in the atmosphere alone, environmental problems include ozone depletion and the "ozone hole", acid rain, air quality and pollution, and a few decades ago, radioactivity and atomic bomb test debris. Other problems exist in the oceans and on land, such as biodiversity, deforestation, desertification, exploitation of water resources and fisheries, and so on, and many of these environmental problems may be exacerbated by climate change, so that it is the intersection of these that make for major challenges in the years ahead.


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