Estimates of Freshwater Discharge from Continents: Latitudinal and Seasonal Variations

Aiguo Dai and Kevin E. Trenberth

National Center for Atmospheric Research
P. O. Box 3000
Boulder, CO 80307

email: trenbert@cgd.ucar.edu
voice: (303) 497 1318
fax: (303) 497 1333


Abstract

Annual and monthly mean values of continental freshwater discharge into the individual and global oceans are estimated at 1o resolution using several methods. The most accurate estimate is based upon stream-flow data from the world's largest 921 rivers, which are supplemented with estimates of discharge from un-monitored regoins by means of a river transport model (RTM) forced by a runoff field. The RTM simulation is also used to derive the river mouth outflow from thr faerthest downstream gauge records. Separate estimates are also made using RTM simulations forced by three different runoff fields, the first of which is based on observed stream-flow and a water balance model, and the others are from estimates of precipitation P minus evaporation E computed as residuals from the atmospheric moisture budget using atmospheric reanalyses from the National Centers for Environmental Prediction/National Center for Atmospheric Research (NCEP/NCAR) and the European Centre for Medium Range Weather Forecasts (ECMWF). Compared with previous estimates, improvements are made in extending observed discharge downstream to the river mouth, in accounting for the un-monitored stream-flow, in discharging runoff at correct loations, and in providing a annual cycle of continental discharge. The use of river mouth outflow increases the global continental discharge by ~19% compared with that based on un-adjusted stream-flow from the farthest downstream stations. Out river-based estimate of global continental discharge is 37288±662 km 3 yr-1 (~7% of global P). While this number is comparable to earlier estimates, its partitioning into individual ocean basins and its latitudinal distribution differ substantialy from earlier studies. The total discharge into the Arctic, the Pacific, and global oceans peaks in June whereas it peaks in May for the Atlantic and in August for the Indian Ocean. Snow accumulation and melt have large effects on the annual cycle of discharge into all the ocean basins except for the Indian Ocean and the Mediterranean and Black Seas. The discharge and its latitudinal distribution implied by the observation-based runoff and the ECMWF reanalysis-bases P-E agree well with the river-based estimates, whereas the discharge implied by the NCEP/NCAR reanalysis-based P-E has a negative bias. This result suggests that the P-E data from the reanalyses may be used to study the interannual to decadal variations in continental discharge.
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Hongjun Zhang: zhangho@ucar.edu