Aiguo Dai, Filippo Giorgi,and Kevin E. Trenberth
J. Geophys. Res., V.104, 6377-6402.
Abstract
We analyzed diurnal variations in precipitation, surface
pressure, and atmospheric static energy over the United States from observations
and NCAR regional climate model (RegCM)
simulations. Consistent with previous studies, the mean
(1963-1993) pattern of the diurnal cycle of summer U.S. precipitation is
characterized by late afternoon maxima over the Southeast and the Rocky
Mountains and midnight maxima over the region east of the Rockies and the
adjacent plains. Diurnal variations of precipitation is weaker in other
seasons, with early to late morning maxima over most of the United States
in winter. The diurnal cycle in precipitation frequency accounts for most
of the diurnal variations, while the
diurnal variations in precipitation intensity are small.
The broad pattern of the diurnal cycle of summer precipitation is fairly
stable, but the interannual variability in the diurnal cycle of winter
precipitation is large. The diurnal cycle of July convective available
potential energy (CAPE) is dominated by a solar driven march of a high-CAPE
(2-4 kJ/kg) tongue moving from the
Southeast into the Northwest, with maximum values in
the late afternoon to early evening over most of the United States.
The solar driven diurnal and semidiurnal cycles of surface pressure result
in significant large-scale convergence over most of the western United
States during the day and over the region east of the
Rockies at night. The diurnal cycle of low-level large-scale convergence
suppresses daytime convection and favors nighttime moist convection over
the region east of the Rockies and the adjacent plains. The nocturnal maximum
in the region east of the Rockies is also enhanced by the eastward propagation
of late afternoon thunderstorms generated over the Rockies. Over the Southeast
and the
Rockies, both the static instability and the surface
convergence favor afternoon moist convection in summer, resulting in very
strong late afternoon maxima of precipitation over these regions.
RegCM simulations of 1993 summer precipitation with three different cumulus
convection schemes (Grell, Kuo, CCM3) all had deficiencies in capturing
the broad pattern of the diurnal cycle of precipitation over the United
States. The model also overestimated precipitation frequency and
underestimated precipitation intensity. The simulated diurnal cycles of
surface pressure and CAPE were weak compared to observations. All the schemes
produced too much cloudiness over the Southeast for July 1993 which reduced
surface
solar radiation and thus daytime peak warming at the
surface. The model's criteria for onset of moist convection appear to be
too weak, so moist convection in the model starts too early and occurs
too often with all the three schemes.