Recent Publications

This list, organized by publication date, is currently for August 2009 - July 2010 and will updated quarterly.

Authors from CAS are in bold.


  • Alexander, M. A., R. Tomas, C. Deser, and D. L. Lawrence, 2010: The Atmospheric Response to Projected Terrestrial Snow Changes in the Late 21st Century. J. Climate, submitted. [Complete Article (.pdf)]
  • Ciasto, L. M., M. A. Alexander, C. Deser, and M. H. England, 2010: On the persistence of cold season SST anomalies associated with the Annular Modes. J. Climate, submitted. [Complete Article (.pdf)]
  • Dai, A., J. Wang, P.W. Thorne, D.E. Parker, L. Haimberger, and X.L. Wang, 2010: A new approach to homogenize daily radiosonde humidity data. J. Climate, submitted.
  • Schneider, D. P., C. Deser, and Y. Okumura, 2010: An assessment and interpretation of the observed warming of West Antarctica in the austral spring. Climate Dyn., submitted. [Complete Article (.pdf)]
  • Solomon, A., L. Goddard, A. Kumar, J. Carton, C. Deser, I. Fukumori, A. Greene, G. Hegerl, B. Kirtman, Y. Kushnir, M. Newman, D. Smith, D. Vimont, T. Delworth, J. Meehl, and T. Stockdale, 2010: Distinguishing the roles of natural and anthropogenically forced decadal climate variability: Implications for prediction. Bull. Amer. Met. Soc., submitted. [Complete Article (.pdf)]
  • Tian, X., Z. Xie, A. Dai, B. Jia, and C. Shi, 2010: A microwave land data assimilation system: Scheme and preliminary evaluation over China. J. Geophys. Res., submitted.
  • Trenberth, K. E., 2010: Changes in precipitation with climate change. Climate Research, submitted. [PDF]
  • Zhong, Y., G. Miller, B. Otto-Bliesner, C. Ammann, M. Holland, D. Bailey, and D.P. Schneider, 2010: Explosive volcanism as a trigger for abrupt multi-centennial climate change: A coupled sea ice-ocean mechanism, Clim. Dyn, submitted.

Accepted/In Revision:

  • Anderson, B. T., J. R. Knight, M. A. Ringer, C. Deser, A. S. Phillips, J. -H. Yoon, and A. Cherchi, 2010: Climate forcings and climate sensitivities diagnosed from atmospheric global circulation models. Climate Dyn., accepted. [Complete Article (.pdf)]
  • Dai, A., 2010: Drought under global warming: A review. Wiley Interdisciplinary Reviews: Climate Change, in revision.
  • Fasullo, J.T. 2010: Robust Land-Ocean Contrasts in Energy and Water Cycle Feedbacks, J. Clim., in review.
  • Goes, J. I., 1, P. G. Thoppil, H. R. Gomes, S.G.P., Matondkar, S. Parab, J. T. Fasullo, A. Al-Azri, C. Coit, R. M. Dwivedi, 2010: The response of the Arabian Sea ecosystem to recent climatic trends, in review.
  • Huber, M., R. Knutti, I. Mahlstein, M. Wild, and J. T. Fasullo, 2010: Constraints on climate sensitivity from radiation patterns in climate models, J. Climate, in review.
  • Okumura, Y. M., C. Deser, 2010: Asymmetry in the Duration of El Niño and La Niña. J. Climate, accepted. [Complete Article (.pdf)]
  • Tian, X., Z. Xie, and A. Dai, 2010: An ensemble conditional nonlinear optimal perturbation approach: Formulation and applications to parameter calibration. Water Resour. Res., revised. 

In Press:

  • Knutti, R., R. Furrer, C. Tebaldi, J. Cermak, G.A. Meehl, 2010: Challenges in combining projections from multiple climate models, J Climate, in press [Complete Article (.pdf)]
  • Shapiro, M., J. Shukla, G. Brunet, C. Nobre, M. Béland, R. Dole, K. Trenberth, R. Anthes, G. Asrar, L. Barrie, P. Bougeault, G. Brasseur, D. Burridge, A. Busalacchi, J. Caughey, D. Chen, J. Church, T. Enomoto, B. Hoskins, O. Hov, A. Laing, H. Le Treut, J. Marotzke, G. McBean, G. Meehl, M. Miller, B. Mills, J. Mitchell, M. Moncrieff, T. Nakazawa, H. Olafsson, T. Palmer, D. Parsons, D. Rogers, A. Simmons, A. Troccoli, Z. Toth, L. Uccellini, C. Velden, M. Wallace, 2010: An Earth-system prediction initiative for the 21st century. Bull Amer. Meteor. Soc., in press. [PDF]
  • Yoo, S.-H. and J.T. Fasullo, C.-H. Ho, S. Yang, 2010: On the Relationship between Indian Ocean SST and the Transition from El Nino to La Nina, J. Geo. Res., in press.


  • May 2010
    • Deser, C., A. S. Phillips, and M. A. Alexander, 2010: Twentieth Century Tropical Sea Surface Temperature Trends Revisited. Geophys. Res. Lett., 37, L10701, doi:10.1029/2010GL043321. [Complete Article (.html)] [Complete Article (.pdf)]
    • Foster, G., J. D. Annan, P. D. Jones, M. E. Mann, B. Mullan, J. Renwick, J. Salinger, G. A. Schmidt, and K. E. Trenberth, 2010: Comment on "Influence of the Southern Oscillation on tropospheric temperature" by J. D. McLean, C. R. de Freitas, and R. M. Carter. J. Geophys. Res., 115, D09110, doi: 10.1029/2009JD012690. [PDF], JGR Editors' Highlight
    • Trenberth, K. E., 2010: The ocean is warming, isn't it? Nature, 465, 304. [PDF]
  • April 2010
    • Trenberth, K.E. and J.T. Fasullo, 2010: Tracking Earth's Energy, Science, 328, 316-317, doi:10.1126/science.1187272 [Article Summary (.html)]
  • March 2010
    • Li, H., A. Dai, T. Zhou, and J. Lu, 2010: Response of East Asian summer monsoon to historical SST and atmospheric forcing during 1950-2000. Climate Dynamics, 34, 501-514. doi:10.1007/s00382-008-0482-7. (Paper)
  • February 2010
    • He, Y., A. H. Monahan, C. G. Jones, A. Dai, S. Biner, D. Caya, and K. Winger, 2010: Probability distributions of land surface wind speeds over North America, J. Geophys. Res., 115, D04103, doi:10.1029/2008JD010708. (Paper)
    • Kwon, Y.-O., C. Deser and C. Cassou, 2010: Coupled atmosphere-mixed layer ocean response to ocean heat flux convergence along the Kuroshio Current Extension. Climate Dyn., DOI 10.1007/s00382-010-0764-8. [Complete Article (.pdf)] [Supplementary Figures]
    • Moss R.H., J.A Edmonds, K.A. Hibbard, M.A. Manning, S.K. Rose, D.P. van Vuuren, T.R. Carter, S. Emori, M. Kainuma, T. Kram, G.A. Meehl, J.F.B. Mitchell, N. Nakicenovic, K. Riahi, S.J. Smith, R.J. Stouffer, A.M. Thomson, J.P. Weyant, and J.T. Wilbanks, 2010: The next generation of scenarios for climate change research and assessment , Nature, 463, 747-756 [Complete Article (.pdf)]
    • Trenberth, K. E., J. T. Fasullo, C. O'Dell, and T. Wong, 2010: Relationships between tropical sea surface temperature and top-of-atmosphere radiation, Geophys. Res. Lett., 37, L03702, doi:10.1029/2009GL042314.[Complete Article (.pdf)]
    • Xie, S. -P., C. Deser, G. A. Vecchi, J. Ma, H. Teng, A. T. Wittenberg, 2010: Global warming pattern formation: sea surface temperature and rainfall. J. Climate, 23, 966-986, doi:101175/2009JCLI3329.1. [Complete Article (.pdf)]
  • January 2010
    • Deser, C., M. A. Alexander, S. -P. Xie, and A. S. Phillips, 2010: Sea surface temperature variability: patterns and mechanisms. Ann. Rev. Mar. Sci., 2010.2, 115-143, doi:10.1146/annurev-marine-120408-151453. [To request a copy, please send an email to cdeser(at)]
    • Deser, C., R. Tomas, M. Alexander, and D. Lawrence, 2010: The seasonal atmospheric response to projected Arctic sea ice loss in the late 21st century. J. Climate, 23, 333-351, 10.1175/2009JCLI3053.1. [Complete Article (.html)]
    • Fasullo, J.T., K.E. Trenberth, C. O'Dell, 2010: Lindzen and Choi Unraveled, RealClimate. [Commentary (.html)]
    • Hu AX, G.A. Meehl, B.L. Otto-Bliesner, C Waelbroeck, W Han, M-F Loutre, K Lambeck, JX Mitrovica and N Rosenbloom, 2010: Influence of Bering Strait flow and North Atlantic circulation on glacial sea-level changes, Nature Geosci., 3, 118-121 [Complete Article (.pdf)]
    • Sun, Y., Y. Ding, and A. Dai, 2010: Changing links between South Asian summer monsoon circulation and tropospheric land-sea thermal contrasts under a warming scenario. Geophys. Res. Lett., 37, L02704, doi:10.1029/2009GL041662. (Paper)
    • Timmerman, A., L. Menviel, Y. Okumura, A. Schilla, U. Merkel, O. Timm., A. Hu, B. Otto-Bliesner and M. Schulz, 2010: Towards a quantitative understanding of millennial-salce Antarctic warming events. Quarternary Science Reviews, 29, 74-85, doi:10.1016. [Complete Article (.html)]
    • Trenberth, K. E. and J.T. Fasullo, 2010: Simulation of present day and 21st century energy budgets of the southern oceans, J. Climate, 23, 440-454.. [Complete Article (.pdf)]
  • December 2009
    • Hurrell, J., G.A. Meehl, D. Bader, T. Delworth, B. Kirtman, and B. Wielicki, 2009: A Unified Modeling Approach to Climate System Prediction, BAMS, 90, 1819-1832 [Complete Article (.pdf)]
    • Meehl G.A., C. Tebaldi, G. Walton, D. Easterling and L. McDaniel, 2009: Relative increase of record high maximum temperatures compared to record low minimum temperatures in the U.S., Geophys. Res. Letts., 36, L23701, doi:10.1029/2009GL040736 [Complete Article (.pdf)]
  • November 2009
    • Menon, S., Koch, D., Beig, G., Sahu, S., Fasullo, J., and Orlikowski, D., 2009: Black carbon aerosols and the third polar ice cap, Atmos. Chem. Phys. Discuss., 9, 26593-26625. [Article Summary (.html)]
  • October 2009
    • Meehl G.A., L. Goddard, J. Murphy, R. J. Stouffer, G. Boer, G. Danabasoglu, K. Di xon, M. A. Giorgetta, A. M. Greene, E. Hawki ns, G. Hegerl, D. Karoly, N. Keenlyside, M. Kimoto, B. Kirtman, A. Navarra, R. Pulwarty, D. Smith, D. Stammer, and T. Stockdale, 2009: Decadal prediction, can it be skillful?, BAMS, 90, 1467-1485 [Complete Article (.pdf)]
    • Schubert, S., D. Gutzler, H. Wang, A. Dai, T. Delworth, C. Deser, K. Findell, R. Fu, W. Higgins, M. Hoerling, B. Kirtman, R. Koster, A. Kumar, D. Legler, D. Lettenmaier, B. Lyon, V. Magana, K. Mo, S. Nigam, P. Pegion, A. Phillips, R. Pulwarty, D. Rind, A. Ruiz-Barradas, J. Schemm, R. Seager, R. Stewart, M. Suarez, J. Syktus, M. Ting, C. Wang, S. Weaver, N. Zeng, 2009: A USCLIVAR project to assess and compare the responses of global climate models to drought-related SST forcing patterns: Overview and results.J. Climate, 22, 5251-5272, doi:10.1175/2009JCLI3060.1 [Complete Article (.pdf)]
    • Trenberth, K. E., 2009: An imperative for climate change planning: tracking Earth's global energy. Current Opinion in Environmental Sustainability, 1, 19-27, doi:10.1016/j.cosust.2009.06.001. [PDF] Click here for the Science Direct link including a video presentation of the abstract.
  • September 2009
    • Kaufman, D.S., D.P. Schneider, N.P. McKay, C.M. Ammann, R.S. Bradley, K.R. Briffa, G.H. Miller, B.L. Otto-Bliesner, J.T. Overpeck et al., 2009: Recent warming reverses long-term Arctic cooling, Science, 325, 1236-1239, doi:10.1126/science.1173983.
  • August 2009
    • Hurrell, J. W., and C. Deser, 2009: North Atlantic climate variability: The role of the North Atlantic Oscillation. J. Mar. Syst., 78, No. 1, 28-41, doi:10.1016/j.jmarsys.2008.11.026.
      [Complete Article (.html)]
    • Meehl G.A., J.M. Arblaster, K. Matthes, F. Sassi and H. van Loon, 2009: Amplifying the Pacific Climate System Response to a Small 11-Year Solar Cycle Forcing, Science, 325, 1114, DOI: 10.1126/science.1172872 [Complete Article (.pdf)]
    • Schneider D.P., C.M. Ammann, B.L. Otto-Bliesner, and D.S. Kaufman, 2009: Climate response to large, high latitude and low-latitude volcanic eruptions in the Community Climate System Model, J. Geophys. Res., 104 (D15101), doi:10.1029/2008JD011222.
    • Tian, X., Z. Xie , A. Dai , C. Shi , B. Jia , F. Chen , K. Yang, 2009: A dual-pass variational data assimilation framework for estimating soil moisture profiles from AMSR-E microwave brightness temperature. J. Geophys. Res., 114, D16102, doi:10.1029/2008JD011600.(Paper)
    • Trenberth, K. E. and J. Fasullo, 2009: Changes in the flow of Energy through the Earth's Climate System, Meteorologische Zeitschrift, 18(4), 369-377. [Complete Article (.pdf)]
    • Tsukernik, M., C. Deser, M. Alexander, and R. Tomas, 2009: Atmospheric forcing of Fram Strait sea ice export: A closer look. Climate Dyn., doi:10.1007/s00382-009-0647-z. [Complete Article (.pdf)]
    • Zhou, L., R. E. Dickinson, A. Dai, and P. Dirmeyer, 2009: Detection and attribution of anthropogenic forcing to diurnal temperature range changes from 1950 to 1999: Comparing multi-model simulations with observations. Climate Dynamics, 10.1007/s00382-009-0644-2. (Paper)

For earlier publications, please see individual author pages, which can be found here

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