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CMG-Bayesian Hierarchical Models
for High-Resolution Climate Reconstructions

Agenda All-Hands Aug. 8, 2008


CMG Home

Project Description

 - Motivation and Goals
 - Project Outline

Collaborators

 - Project PIs and
    Collaborators
 - Visitors, Guests

Data and Resources

 - BHM: R-Codes / Packages
 - RealWorld Instrumental
 - RealWorld Proxies
 - Model Pseudo-Proxies
 - Noise models
 - Field-reconstructions

Publications/Talks

 - Reviewed
 - Reports
 - Talks
 - Bibliography

Education/Outreach

 - BHM-Concept
 - Slides
 - Podcasts
 - Teachers Materials
    "Little Ice Age":
   * Proxy Records
   * Math/Stats


 

Meeting Site: NCAR-Mesa Lab, Fleischman Building Board Room

For non-locals: Pickup at Days Inn: 8:15 AM and transfer to NCAR

8:30 - 8:50 Continental Breakfast

Welcome / Introduction (Caspar Ammann)

  • 9:00 - 9:15 Welcome, Participant Introduction
  • 9:15 - 9:30 Overview and Goals (Caspar)

Bayesian Hierarchical Models (Doug Nychka)

  • 9:30 - 9:45 Introduction BHM concept (Doug)
  • 9:45 - 10:00 First implementation (Bo)
  • 10:00 - 10:10 Matt Schofield (Columbia Univ.): Applications
  • 10:10 - 10:20 Martin Tingley (Harvard): Applications
  • 10:20 - 10:45 Discussion BHM: Needs, next steps, priors ...
Break and Group Picture

High-Frequency Proxy - Tree-Rings (Malcolm Hughes)

  • 11:00 - 11:15 Introduction Tree-Ring Records (Malcolm)
  • 11:15 - 11:30 Vaganov-Shashkin Model Introduction (Suz, Kevin)
  • 11:30 - 11:45 New proxies and model-derived records (Mike)
  • 12:00 - 12:30 Discussion High-Resolution Records: Needs ...
Lunch at Mesa Lab Cafeteria

Low-Frequency Proxies - Borehole Records and Pollen (Dave Chapman)

  • 1:30 - 1:45 Introduction Borehole Records (Dave)
  • 1:45 - 2:00 Borehole Records - New data and (Rob)
  • 2:00 - 2:10 Shaopeng Huang (Univ. Michigan): Boreholes and Trees
  • 2:10 - 2:30 Discussion Borehole Records: Needs, longer time scales ...
  • 2:30 - 2:50 Pollen Records - Introduction (Gene)
  • 2:50 - 3:15 Outlook use of Pollen Records (Gene)
Break

Discussion and Planning (Caspar Ammann)

  • 3:45 - 4:30 Challenges and next steps
  • 4:30 - 5:00 Coordination and Planning Year #2, Wrapup
Transfer for Reception and Dinner at the Ammann's