Welcome to CCR's Climate Change Prediction in CGD

The CCR Section has a Climate Change and Prediction (CCP) group which focuses on present and future climate change which is primarily funded by the DOE's Office of Biological and Environmental Research program which has a Climate Change subprogram with one of its goals being to predict accurately any global and regional climate change induced by increasing atmospheric concentrations of aerosols and greenhouse gases. This is DOE's contribution to the U.S. Climate Change Science Program that integrates federal research on global change and climate change. CCP has concentrated on the decade to centuries time scales goal which is part of the priorities for the federal Climate Change Science Program (CCSP).

Recent Publications

How much climate change can be avoided by mitigation? 2009: Geophys. Res. Lett., 36, L08703, doi:10.1029/2008GL037074. Washington, W. M., R. Knutti, G. A. Meehl, H. Teng, C. Tebaldi, D. Lawrence, L. Buja, and W. G. Strand

The contribution of snow condition trends to future ground climate 2009: Clim. Dyn.,doi:10.1007/s00382-009-0537-4.

The computational future for climate and Earth system models: on the path to petaflop and beyond 2009: Phil. Trans. R. Soc. A, 367, 833-846, doi: 10.1098/rsta.2008.0219. Washington, W., L. Buja and A. Craig.

Effect of the Atlantic hurricanes on the oceanic meridional overturning circulation and heat transport 2009: Geophys. Res. Lett., 36, L03702, doi:10.1029/2008GL036680. G. Meehl and A. Hu.

The Mid-1970s Climate Shift in the Pacific and the Relative Roles of Forced versus Inherent Decadal Variability 2009: Amer. Met. Soc., 22, 780-792, doi:10.1175/2008JCLI2552.1. G. Meehl, A. Hu and B. Santer.

The sensitivity of a model projection of near-surface permafrost degradation to soil column depth and representation of soil organic matter. 2008: J. Geophys. Res., 113, doi: 10.1029/2007JF000883, F02011 D. M. Lawrence, A. Slater, V. Romanovsky, D. Nicolsky.