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People at NCAR: Reto Knutti

Publications


Articles in Reviewed Journals (newest listed first)

  • Tomassini, L., P. Reichert, R. Knutti, T. F. Stocker and M. Borsuk, Robust Bayesian uncertainty analysis of climate system properties using Markov chain Monte Carlo methods, Journal of Climate, 20, 1239-1254, PDF (0.7 MB)

  • Furrer, R., R. Knutti, S. Sain, D. Nychka and G.A. Meehl, Spatial patterns of probabilistic temperature change projections from a multivariate Bayesian analysis, Geophysical Research Letters, 34, L06711, doi:10.1029/2006GL027754, PDF (0.5 MB),  PDF of supplementary material (1 MB)

  • Bahn, O., L. Drouet, N.R. Edwards, A. Haurie, S. Kypreos, R. Knutti, T.F. Stocker and J.-P. Vial, 2006, The coupling of optimal economic growth and climate dynamics, Climatic Change, 79, 103-119, DOI:10.1007/s10584-006-9108-4ss, PDF (0.5 MB)

  • Knutti, R., G.A. Meehl, M.R. Allen and D. A. Stainforth, 2006, Constraining climate sensitivity from the seasonal cycle in surface temperature, Journal of Climate, 19 (17), 4224-4233, PDF (0.8 MB)

  • Flückiger, J., R. Knutti, J.W.C. White, 2006, Oceanic processes as potential trigger and amplifying mechanisms for Heinrich events, Paleoceanography, 21, PA2014, doi:10.1029/2005PA001204.PDF (0.7 MB)

  • Allen, M., N. Andronova, B. Booth, S. Dessai, D. Frame, C. Forest, J. Gregory, G. Hegerl, R. Knutti, C. Piani, D. Sexton, D. Stainforth, 2006, Observational constraints on climate sensitivity, in Avoiding Dangerous Climate Change, (Eds.) J.S. Schellnhuber, W. Cramer, N. Nakicenovic, T.M.L. Wigley, G. Yohe., Cambridge Univ. Press.PDF (0.8 MB or PDF of complete book (17 MB), see chapter 29

  • Knutti, R., F. Joos, S. A. Mueller, G. K. Plattner and T. F. Stocker, 2005, Probabilistic climate change projections for stabilization profiles, Geophysical Research Letters, 32, L20707, doi:10.1029/2005GL023294,. PDF (0.3 MB)

  • Rahmstorf, S., M. Crucifix, A. Ganopolski, H. Goosse, I. Kamenkovich, R. Knutti, G. Lohmann, R. Marsh, L. A. Mysak, Z. Wang, A. J. Weaver, 2005, Thermohaline circulation hysteresis: a model intercomparison, Geophysical Research Letters, 32, L23605, doi:10.1029/2005GL023655 PDF (0.2 MB)

  • Köhler, P., F. Joos, S. Gerber and R. Knutti, 2005, Simulating changes in vegetation distribution, land carbon storage, and atmospheric CO2 in response to a collapse of the North Atlantic thermohaline circulation, Climate Dynamics 25, 689-708, doi: 10.1007/s00382-005-0058-8 PDF (1.5 MB)

  • Knutti, R., J. Flückiger, T.F. Stocker and A. Timmermann, 2004, Strong hemispheric coupling of glacial climate through freshwater discharge and ocean circulation, Nature 430, 851-856. PDF (0.8 MB) Supplementary Material (PDF 0.6 MB) Nature: News & Views (PDF 0.1 MB)

  • Knutti, R., T. F. Stocker, F. Joos and G.-K. Plattner, 2003, Probabilistic climate change projections using neural networks, Climate Dynamics, 257-272, DOI 10.1007/s00382-003-0345-1. PDF (0.5 MB)

  • Anderson, T.L., R. J. Charlson, S. E. Schwartz, R. Knutti, O. Boucher, H. Rodhe and J. Heintzenberg, 2003, Climate forcing by aerosols - a hazy picture, Science 300, 1103-1104.PDF (0.1 MB)

  • Knutti, R., T. F. Stocker, F. Joos and G.-K. Plattner, 2002, Constraints on radiative forcing and future climate change from observations and climate model ensembles, Nature 416, 719-723. PDF (0.2 MB), related News&Views

  • Knutti, R. and T. F. Stocker, 2002, Limited predictability of the future thermohaline circulation close to an instability threshold, Journal of Climate, 15, 179-186. PDF (0.2 MB)

  • Stocker, T. F., R. Knutti, G.-K. Plattner, 2001, The future of the thermohaline circulation - a perspective, In: The Ocean and Rapid Climate Changes: Past, Present, and Future, D. Seidov et al. (eds.), Geophysical Monograph 126, American Geophysical Union, 277-293. PDF (0.5 MB)

  • Knutti, R. and T. F. Stocker, 2000, Influence of the thermohaline circulation on projected sea level rise, Journal of Climate, 13, 1997-2001. PDF (0.2 MB)

  • Knutti, R., T. F. Stocker and D. G. Wright, 2000, The effects of sub-grid-scale parameterizations in a zonally averaged ocean model, Journal of Physical Oceanography , 30, 2738-2752. PDF (0.3 MB)

 

Articles submitted or in press

  • Tebaldi, C. and R. Knutti, The use of the multi-model ensemble in probabilistic climate projections, Philosophical Transactions of the Royal Society A, in press

  • Jun, M., R. Knutti and D. W. Nychka, Spatial analysis to quantify numerical model bias and dependence: How many climate models are there?, Journal of the American Statistical Association Applications and Case Studies, in press

  • Bahn, O., N.R. Edwards, R. Knutti and T.F. Stocker, Climate policy preventing an Atlantic thermohaline circulation collapse, Climatic Change, submitted

  • Flückiger, J., R. Knutti, J. W. C. White and H. Renssen, Modeled seasonality of glacial abrupt climate change, Climate Dynamics, submitted

  • Sanderson, B., R. Knutti, T. Aina, C. Christensen, N. Faull, D. J. Frame, W. J. Ingram, C. Piani, D. A. Stainforth, D. A. Stone and M. R. Allen, Constraints on model response to greenhouse gas forcing and the rose of sub-grid scale processes, Journal of Climate, in revision

  • R. Knutti, M. R. Allen, P. Friedlingstein, J. M. Gregory, G. C. Hegerl, G. A. Meehl, M. Meinshausen, J. M. Murphy, G.-K. Plattner, S. C. B. Raper, T. F. Stocker, P. A. Stott, H. Teng, T. M. L Wigley, A review of uncertainties in global temperature projections over the twenty-first century, Journal of Climate, submitted

  • Plattner, G.-K, R. Knutti, F. Joos, T. F. Stocker, W. von Bloh, V. Brovkin, D. Cameron, E. Driesschaert, S. Dutkiewicz, M. Eby, N. R. Edwards, T. Fichefet, J. C. Hargreaves, C. D. Jones, M. F. Loutre, H. D. Matthews, A. Mouchet, S. A. Mueller, S. Nawrath, A. Price, A. Sokolov, K. M. Strassmann, and A. J. Weaver, Long-term climate commitments projected with climate - carbon cycle models, Journal of Climate, submitted

  • R. Knutti and L. Tomassini, Observational constraints on the transient climate response, Geophysical Research Letters, submitted

 

Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change

  • Lead author of: Meehl, G.A., T.F. Stocker, W.D. Collins, P. Friedlingstein, A.T. Gaye, J.M. Gregory, A. Kitoh, R. Knutti, J.M. Murphy, A. Noda, S.C.B. Raper, I.G. Watterson, A.J. Weaver and Z.-C. Zhao, 2007: Global Climate Projections. In: Climate Change 2007: The Physical Science Basis. Contribution of Working Group I to the Fourth Assessment Report of the Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change [Solomon, S., D. Qin, M. Manning, Z. Chen, M. Marquis, K.B. Averyt, M. Tignor and H.L. Miller (eds.)]. Cambridge University Press, Cambridge, United Kingdom and New York, NY, USA. PDF (12.0 MB)

  • Contributing author to:
    Hegerl, G.C., F. W. Zwiers, P. Braconnot, N.P. Gillett, Y. Luo, J.A. Marengo Orsini, N. Nicholls, J.E. Penner and P.A. Stott, 2007: Understanding and Attributing Climate Change. In: Climate Change 2007: The Physical Science Basis. Contribution of Working Group I to the Fourth Assessment Report of the Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change [Solomon, S., D. Qin, M. Manning, Z. Chen, M. Marquis, K.B. Averyt, M. Tignor and H.L. Miller (eds.)]. Cambridge University Press, Cambridge, United Kingdom and New York, NY, USA. PDF (5.8 MB)

  • Contributing author to:
    Christensen, J.H., B. Hewitson, A. Busuioc, A. Chen, X. Gao, I. Held, R. Jones, R.K. Kolli, W.-T. Kwon, R. Laprise, V. Magana Rueda, L. Mearns, C.G. Menendez, J. Raisanen, Rinke, A. Sarr and P. Whetton, 2007: Regional Climate Projections. In: Climate Change 2007: The Physical Science Basis. Contribution of Working Group I to the Fourth Assessment Report of the Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change [Solomon, S., D. Qin, M. Manning, Z. Chen, M. Marquis, K.B. Averyt, M. Tignor and H.L. Miller (eds.)]. Cambridge University Press, Cambridge, United Kingdom and New York, NY, USA. PDF (6.8 MB)

  • Draft contributing author to:
    IPCC, 2007: Summary for Policymakers. In: Climate Change 2007: The Physical Science Basis. Contribution of Working Group I to the Fourth Assessment Report of the Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change [Solomon, S., D. Qin, M. Manning, Z. Chen, M. Marquis, K.B. Averyt, M.Tignor and H.L. Miller (eds.)]. Cambridge University Press, Cambridge, United Kingdom and New York, NY, USA. PDF (3.0 MB)

    German Translation/Deutsche Uebersetzung von Proclim: PDF (3.0 MB)

  • Contributing author to:
    Solomon, S., D. Qin, M. Manning, R.B. Alley, T. Berntsen, N.L. Bindoff, Z. Chen, A. Chidthaisong, J.M. Gregory, G.C. Hegerl, M. Heimann, B. Hewitson, B.J. Hoskins, F. Joos, J. Jouzel, V. Kattsov, U. Lohmann, T. Matsuno, M. Molina, N. Nicholls, J. Overpeck, G. Raga, V. Ramaswamy, J. Ren, M. Rusticucci, R. Somerville, T.F. Stocker, P. Whetton, R.A. Wood and D. Wratt, 2007: Technical Summary. In: Climate Change 2007: The Physical Science Basis. Contribution of Working Group I to the Fourth Assessment Report of the Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change [Solomon, S., D. Qin, M. Manning, Z. Chen, M. Marquis, K.B. Averyt, M. Tignor and H.L. Miller (eds.)]. Cambridge University Press, Cambridge, United Kingdom and New York, NY, USA. PDF (15.5 MB)

  • Contributing author to:
    Cubasch, U., G. A. Meehl, G. J. Boer, R. J. Stouffer, M. Dix, A. Noda, C. A. Senior, S. Raper and K. S. Yap, Projections of Future Climate Change, in Climate Change 2001: The Scientific Basis. Contribution of Working Group I to the Third Assessment Report of the Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change, edited by J. T. Houghton, Y. Ding, D. J. Griggs, M. Noguer, P. J. van der Linden, X. Dai, K. Maskell, and C. A. Johnson, Cambridge Univ. Press, New York, 881 pp.

    • The IPCC Third Assessment Report is available from http://www.ipcc.ch/.

 

Other unreviewed articles

  • Knutti, R., 2005, Evaluating climate impacts with intermediate complexity models, Extended abstract in the meeting report of the Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change Expert Meeting on Emission Scenarios, Washington D.C., USA, 35-37. Full meeting report (3.4 MB)

  • Knutti, R., 2004, Twentieth century climate and probabilistic estimates of climate sensitivity, Extended abstract in the meeting report of the Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change Workshop on Climate Sensitivity, Paris, France, 113-114. Full meeting report (4.4 MB)

  • Renold M., U. Beyerle, C.C. Raible, R. Knutti, T.F. Stocker, T. Craig, 2004, Climate modeling with a Linux cluster. EOS: Transactions of the American Geophysical Union. 85, 290. PDF (0.2 MB)

  • Stocker, T.F., and R. Knutti, 2003, Do simplified models have any useful skill. CLIVAR Exchanges 8 (1), 7-10. PDF (0.8 MB)

  • Stocker, T.F., and R. Knutti, 2001, Predictability of the Atlantic thermohaline circulation under global warming. CLIVAR Exchanges 6 (3), 5-7. PDF (0.34 MB)

 

Diploma thesis

  • Knutti, R., 1999, Parametrisierungen von sub-skaligen Mischungsprozessen in einem zonal gemittelten Ozean-Modell, Diploma Thesis, Climate and Evironmental Physics, Physics Institute, University of Bern, Switzerland, 143 pp.

 

Ph.D thesis

  • Knutti, R., 2002, Modelling studies on the probability and predictability of future climate change, PhD Thesis, Physics Institute, University of Bern, 138 pp.

 

Links:
NCAR
Personal Homepage of Reto Knutti

Last updated: 19-June-2007
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