Papers from the Climate Analysis Section
The full text and figures of some of the following papers are available online, below.
The publication list for Climate Analysis Section staff is currently available for 1995, 1996, 1997, 1998, 1999, 2000, 2001, 2002, 2003, 2004, 2005, 2006, 2007, 2008
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Alexander, M., A. Capotondi, A. Miller, F. Chai, R. Brodeur, and C. Deser, 2008: Decadal variability in the northeast Pacific in a physical-ecosystem model: Role of mixed layer depth and trophic interactions J. Geophys. Res.: Vol 113, C02017, doi:10.1029/2007JC004359
Anthes, R. A., P. A. Bernhardt, Y. Chen, L. Cucurull, K. F. Dymond, D. Ector, S. Healy, S.-P. Ho, D. C. Hunt, Y.-H. Kuo, H. Liu, K. Manning, C. McCormick, T. K. Meehan, W. J. Randel, C. Rocken, W. Schreiner, S. V. Sokolovskiy, S. Syndergaard, D. C., 2008: The COSMIC/FORMOSAT-3 mission: Early results. Bull. Amer. Meteor. Soc., 89,313-333.
Bhatt, U.S., M. A. Alexander, C. Deser, J. E. Walsh, J. S. Miller, M. S. Timlin, J. Scott, R. A. Tomas,, 2008: The Atmospheric Response to Realistic Reduced Summer Arctic Sea Ice Anomalies AGU monograph Arctic Sea Ice Decline: Observations, Projections, Mechanisms, and Implications: submitted
Dai, A, 2008: Temperature and pressure dependence of the rain-snow phase transition over land and ocean Geophys. Res. Lett., 35, L12802, doi:10.1029/2008GL033295.
Deser, C., A. S. Phillips, 2008: Atmospheric Circulation Trends, 1950-2000: The Relative Roles of Sea Surface Temperature Forcing and Direct Atmospheric Radiative Forcing. Journal of Climate: in press.
Deser, C., and H. Teng, 2008: Evolution of Arctic Sea Ice Concentration Trends and the Role of Atmospheric Circulation Forcing, 1979-2007. J. Geophys. Res., 35, L02504, doi:10.1029/2007GL032023
Deser, C., and H. Teng, 2008: Recent Trends in Arctic Sea Ice and the Evolving Role of Atmospheric Circulation Forcing, 1979-2007 AGU Monograph Arctic Sea Ice Decline: Observations, Projections, Mechanisms, and Implications, DeWeaver and Bitz, Editors: accepted.
Fasullo, J. T., K. E. Trenberth, 2008: The annual cycle of the energy budget. Part I: Global mean and land-ocean exchanges. J. Climate, 21, 2297-2312.
Fasullo, J. T., K. E. Trenberth, 2008: The annual cycle of the energy budget. Part II: Meridional structures and poleward transports. J. Climate, 21, 2313-2325.
Folland, C., J. Knight, H. Linderholm, D. Fereday, S. Ineson, and J. W. Hurrell, 2008: The summer North Atlantic Oscillation: past, present and future Journal of Climate in press
Hobbins, M. T., A. Dai, M. L. Roderick, and G. D. Farquhar, 2008: Revisiting potential evapotranspiration parameterizations as drivers of long-term water balance trends Geophys. Res. Lett., 35, L12403, doi:10.1029/2008GL033840.
Hurrell, J.W. and C. Deser, 2008: Atlantic Climate Variability Journal of Marine Systems: in press
Hurrell, J.W., J.J. Hack, D. Shea, J.M. Caron, and J. Rosinski, 2008: A new sea surface temperature and sea ice boundary data set for the Community Atmosphere Model Journal of Climate: in press
Lawrence, D.M., A.G. Slater, R.A. Tomas, M.M. Holland, and C. Deser, 2008: Accelerated Arctic land warming and permafrost degradation during rapid sea ice loss Geophys. Res. Lett., 35, L11506, doi:10.1029/2008GL033985.
Linderholm, H.W., C. K. Folland, and J. W. Hurrell, 2008: Reconstructing Summer North Atlantic Oscillation (SNAO) variability over the last five centuries In: Tree rings in archaeology, climatology and ecology Elferts D., et al. (Eds.), TRACE, 6, 8-16.
Moss T., M. Babiker, S. Brinkman, E. Calvo, T. Carter, J. Edmonds, I. Elgizouli, S. Emori, L. Erda, K. Hibbard, R. Jones, M. Kainuma, J. Kelleher, J-F. Lamarque, M. Manning, B. Matthews, G. Meehl, L. Meyer, J. Mitchell, N. Nakicenovic, B. O'Neill,, 2008: Towards New Scenarios for Analysis of Emissions, Climate Change, Impacts, and Response Strategies. Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change, Geneva, 132 pp.
Okumura, Y.M., C. Deser, A. Hu, A. Timmermann, and S-.P. Xie, 2008: North Pacific Climate Response to a Rapid Weakening of the Atlantic Meridional Overturning Circulation: Oceanic and Atmospheric Pathways Journal of Climate: submitted
Oleson, K. W., G.-Y. Niu, Z.-L. Yang, D. M. Lawrence, P. E. Thornton, P. J. Lawrence, R. Stockli, R. E. Dickinson, G. B. Bonan, S. Levis, A. Dai, and T. Qian, 2008: Improvements to the Community Land Model and their impact on the hydrological cycle. J. Geophys. Res., 113, G01021, doi:10.1029/2007JG000563.
Overland, J., J. Alheit, A. Bakun, J. W. Hurrell, D. Mackus, and A. Miller, 2008: Climate controls on marine ecoystems and fish populations Journal of Marine Systems in press
Pielke, R., T. M. L. Wigley, and C. Green, 2008: Dangerous assumptions Nature, 452, 531-532.
Tian, X., Z. Xie, and A. Dai, 2008: A land surface soil moisture data assimilation system based on the dual-UKF method and the Community Land Model J. Geophys. Res., 113, D14127, doi:10.1029/2007JD009650.
Trenberth, K. E., 2008: The Impact of Climate Change and Variability on Heavy Precipitation, Floods, and Droughts In The Encyclopedia of Hydrological Sciences. John Wiley & Sons, Ltd., Chichester, UK. DOI 10.1002/0470848944.hsa211
Trenberth, K. E., 2008: Observational needs for climate prediction and adaptation. WMO Bulletin, 57 (1), 17-21.[Paper]
Trenberth, K. E., and L. Smith, 2008: The three dimensional structure of the atmospheric energy budget: methodology and evaluation Climate Dynamics, DOI:10.1007/s00382-008-0389-3
Trenberth, K. E., J. Fasullo, 2008: An observational estimate of ocean energy divergence. J. Phys. Oceanogr., 38, 984-999.
Trenberth, K. E., T. Koike and K. Onogi, 2008: Progress and prospects for reanalysis for weather and climate. Eos, 89, 26, 24 June 2008, 234-235.
Ueyama, Rei and C. Deser, 2008: A Climatology of Diurnal and Semidiurnal Surface Wind Variations over the Tropical Pacific Ocean based on the Tropical Atmosphere Ocean Moored Buoy Array Journal of Climate:in press
Zeng, Z, W. Randel, S. Sokolovskiy, C. Deser, Y-H Kuo, M. Hagan, J. Du, and W. Ward, 2008: Detection of migrating diurnal tide in the tropical upper troposphere and lower stratosphere using the Challenging Minisatellite Payload radio occultation data J. Geophys. Res.: Vol 113, D03102, doi:10.1029/2007JD008725
Zhou, L. A. Dai, Y. Dai, R. S. Vose, C.-Z. Zou, Y. Tian, and H. Chen, 2008: Spatial dependence of diurnal temperature range trends on precipitation from 1950 to 2004 Climate Dynamics, DOI 10.1007/s00382-008-0387-5
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Cassou, C., C. Deser and M.A. Alexander, 2007: Investigating the impact of reemerging sea surface temperature anomalies on the winter atmospheric circulation over the North Atlantic. J. Climate, 20, 3510-3526
Dai, A., L. Xin, and K.-L. Hsu, 2007: The diurnal cycle of precipitation in surface and satellite observations over low- and mid-latitudes. Climate Dynamics, 29, 727-744.
Dai, A., T. Qian, K. E. Trenberth, 2007: Changes in continental discharge from 1949-2004 J. Climate. Submitted.
Deser, C., R. A. Tomas, and S. Peng, 2007: The Transient Atmospheric Circulation Response to North Atlantic SST and Sea Ice Anomalies. J. Climate, 20, 4751-4767
Frierson, D., J. Lu, and G. Chen, 2007: The width of the Hadley cell in simple and comprehensive general circulation models. Geophys. Res. Lett., 34, L18804, doi:10.1029/2007GL031115.
Jochum, M., C. Deser, A. S. Phillips, 2007: Tropical Atmospheric Variability Forced by Oceanic Internal Variability J. Clim., 20, 765-771.
Kwon, Y.-O., C. Deser, 2007: North Pacific Decadal Variability in the Community Climate System Model Version 2. J. Climate, 20, 2416-2433
Meehl, G. A., K. Hibbard, and AGCI session participants, 2007: Summary Report: A strategy for climate change stabilization experiments with AOGCMs and ESMs. Aspen Global Change Institute 2006 Session Earth System Models: The Next Generation. WCRP Informal Report No 3/2007, ICPO Publication No 112, IGBP Report No 57. 37 pp.
Qian, T., A. Dai, K. E. Trenberth, 2007: Hydroclimatic trends in the Mississippi river basin from 1948 to 2004 J. Climate. 20, 4599-4614.
Ramanathan, V., and co-authors., 2007: Evaluating Progress of the U.S. Climate Change Science Program: Methods and Preliminary Results National Research Council, National Academies Press, Washington, D.C., 178 pp.
Serreze, M. C., A. P. Barrett, A. J. Slater, M. Steele, J. Zhang, and K. E. Trenberth, 2007: The large-scale energy budget of the Arctic. J. Geophys. Res.,112, D11122, doi:10.1029/2006JD008230[Paper]
Shapiro, M., J. Shukla, B. Hoskins, J. Church, K. Trenberth, M. Béland, G. Brasseur, M. Wallace, G. McBean, J. Caughey, D. Rogers, G. Brunet, L. Barrie, A. Henderson-Sellers, D. Burridge, T. Nakazawa, M. Miller, P. Bougeault, R. Anthes, Z. Toth, an, 2007: The socioeconomic and environmental benefits of a revolution in weather, climate and earth-system prediction: A weather, climate and earth-system prediction project for the 21st century In The Full Picture, Tudor Rose (Pub.) on behalf of Group on Earth Observations. ISBN 978-92-990047-0-8, 278pp; 136-138.
Sun, Y., S. Solomon, A. Dai, and R. Portmann, 2007: How often will it rain? J. Climate, 20, 4801-4818.
Trenberth, K. E., 2007: The Way We Will Be 50 Years From Today. The climate in 2057: hot and dry with occasional outpourings of conscience, Mike Wallace, Ed., Adler & Robin Books, Inc., in press.
Trenberth, K. E., A. Dai, 2007: Effects of Mount Pinatubo volcanic eruption on the hydrological cycle as an analog of geoengineering. Geophys. Res. Lett., 34, L15702, doi:10.1029/2007GL030524.
Trenberth, K. E., C. A. Davis, J. Fasullo, 2007: The water and energy budgets of hurricanes: Case studies of Ivan and Katrina J. Geophys. Res., 112, D23106, doi:10.1029/2006JD008303[Access paper via author's webpage]
Trenberth, K. E., J. Fasullo, 2007: The water and energy budgets of hurricanes and implications for climate change. J. Geophys. Res., 112, D23107, doi:10.1029/2006JD008304[Paper]
Trenberth, K. E., L. Smith, T. Qian, A. Dai and J. Fasullo, 2007: Estimates of the global water budget and its annual cycle using observational and model data. J. Hydrometeor., 8, 758-769.[Paper]
Wang, J., L. Zhang, A. Dai, T. Van Hove, and J. Van Baelen, 2007: A near-global, 2-hourly data set of atmospheric precipitable water from ground-baded GPS measurements. J. Geophys. Res., 112, D11107, doi:10.1029/2006JD007529
Alexander, M., J. Yin, G. Branstator, A. Capotondi, C. Cassou, R. Cullather, Y.-O. Kwon, J. Norris, J. Scott, I. Wainer, 2006: Extratropical atmosphere-ocean variability in CCSM3 J. Clim., in press.
Anthes, R.A., R.W. Corell, G. Holland, J.W. Hurrell, M. MacCracken, K.E. Trenberth, 2006: Hurricanes and Global Warming: Potential Linkages and Consequences Bull. Am. Met. Soc., 87, 623-628.
Dai, A., 2006: Recent Climatology, Variability and Trends in Global Surface Humidity J. Clim., 19, 3589-3606.
Dai, A., T. R. Karl, B. Sun, K. E. Trenberth, 2006: Recent trends in cloudiness over the United States: A tale of monitoring inadequacies. Bull. Am. Met. Soc., 87, 597-606.
Deser, C., A. Capotondi, R. Saravanan, A. S. Phillips, 2006: Tropical Pacific and Atlantic Climate Variability in CCSM3 J. Clim., 19, 2451-2481
Deser, C., A. S. Phillips, 2006: Simulation of the 1976/1977 climate transition over the North Pacific: sensitivity to tropical forcing. J. Clim., 19, 6170-6180
Fengge, S, J. C. Adam, K. E. Trenberth, D. P. Lettenmaier, 2006: Evaluation of surface water fluxes of the pan-Arctic land region with a land surface model and ERA-40 reanalysis J. Geophys. Res., 111, D05 110, doi:10.1029/2005JD006387.[Paper]
Hoerling, M. P., J. W. Hurrell, J. Eischeid, 2006: Detection and Attribution of 20th Century Northern and Southern African Monsoon Change Journal of Climate: Vol. 19, pp. 3989-4008
Hurrell J.W., M. Visbeck, A. Busalacchi, R. A. Clarke, T. L. Delworth, R. R. Dickson, W.E. Johns, K.P. Koltermann, Y. Kushnir, D. Marshall, C. Mauritzen, M. S. McCartney, A. Piola, C. Reason, G. Reverdin, F. Schott, R. Sutton, I. Wainer, D. Wright, 2006: Atlantic Climate Variability and Predictability: A CLIVAR perspective Journal of Climate: Vol. 19, pp. 5100-5121
Hurrell, J.W., J.J. Hack, A.S.Phillips,J.Caron, J.Yin, 2006: The Dynamical Simulation of the Community Atmosphere Model Version 3 (CAM3). Journal of Climate: Vol. 19, pp 2162-2183[Paper] (.pdf)
Park, S., M. A. Alexander, C. Deser, 2006: The impact of cloud radiative feedback, remote ENSO forcing, and entrainment on the persistence of North Pacific sea surface temperature anomalies J. Climate, 19, 6243-6261
Peng, G., E.P. Chassignet,Y.-O. Kwon, St. C. Riser, 2006: Investigation of Variability of the North Atlantic Subtropical Mode Water Using Profiling Float Data and Numerical Model Output Ocean Modeling, 13, 65-85.
Qian, T., A. Dai, K.E. Trenberth, K.W. Oleson, 2006: Simulation of Global Land Surface Conditions from 1948 to 2004: PartI: Forcing Data and Evaluations J. Hydromet., 7, 953-975.[Paper] (.pdf)
Trenberth, K. E., 2006: The role of the oceans in climate. Flotsam and Jetsam, 35, 1,5-7.
Trenberth, K. E., B. Moore, T.R. Karl, C. Nobre, 2006: Monitoring and Prediction of the Earth's Climate: A Future Perspective. J. Climate (CLIVAR special issue), in press.[Access paper via author's webpage]
Trenberth, K. E., D. J. Shea, 2006: Atlantic hurricanes and natural variability in 2005. Geophys. Res. Lett., 33, L12704, doi:10.1029/2006GL026894.[Paper]
Trenberth, K. E., L. Smith, 2006: The vertical structure of temperature in the tropics: Different flavors of El Nino J. Clim., 19, 4956-4973.[Paper]
AchutaRao, K.M., B.D. Santer, P.J. Gleckler,K.E. Taylor, D.W. Pierce, T.P. Barnett, T.M.L. Wigley, 2005: Variability of Ocean Heat Uptake: Reconciling Observations and Models J. Geophys. Res.,submitted
Betts, A.K., J.H.Ball, P.Viterbo,A.Dai,J. Marengo, 2005: Hydrometeorology of the Amazon in ERA-40 J. Hydrometeor., 6, 764-774.[Access abstract via author's webpage]
Capotondi, A., M. A. Alexander, .C. Deser, A. Miller, 2005: Low-frequency pycnocline variability in the Northeast Pacific. J. Phys. Oceanogr., 35, 1403-1420.
Capotondi, A., M. A. Alexander, C. Deser, M. J. McPhaden, 2005: Anatomy and decadal evolution of the Pacific Subtropical-Tropical Cells (STCs) J. Climate, 18, 3739-3758.
Cassou, C., L. Terray, A.S. Phillips, 2005: Tropical Atlantic influence on European heatwaves J. Clim. Lett., 18, 2805-2811.
D'Arrigo, R., R. Wilson, C. Deser, G. Wiles, E. Cook, et al., 2005: Tropical-North Pacific climate linkages over the past four centuries. J. Climate, 18, 5253-5265.
Dai, A, 2005: Precipitation characteristics in eighteen coupled climate models. Geophys. Res. Lett., 35, L12802, doi:10.1029/2008GL033295.[Access paper via author's webpage]
Dai, A., A. Hu, G.A. Meehl, W.M. Washington, W.G. Strand, 2005: Atlantic themohaline circulation in a coupled model: Unforced variations vs. forced changes J. Clim, 18, 2990-3013.
Fasullo, J. T., 2005: Atmospheric Hydrology of the Anomalous 2002 Indian Summer Monsoon Monthly Weather Review, 133, 2996-3014.
Feddema, J.J., K. Oleson, G. Bonan, L.O. Mearns, L.E. Buja, G.A. Meehl, W.M. Washington, 2005: How important is land cover change for simulating future climates? Science, submitted.
Gleckler, P.J., T.M.L. Wigley, B.D. Santer, J.M. Gregory, K. AchutaRao, K.E. Taylor, 2005: Krakatau's long goodbye in the ocean. Nature, submitted.
Goes, J. I., P. G. Thoppil, H. D. Gomes, J. T. Fasullo, 2005: Warming of the Eurasian landmass is making the Arabian Sea more productive. Science, 308, 545-547.
Kwon, Y.-O., S.C. Riser, 2005: The General Circulation of the Western Subtropical North Atlantic Observed by Using Profiling Floats J. Geophys. Res., 110(C10), C10012, doi:10.1029/2005JC002909.
Liang, X.-Z., J. Pan, J. Zhu, K.E. Kunkel, J.X.L. Wang, A. Dai, 2005: Regional climate model downscaling of the U.S. Summer Climate and Future Change J. Geophys. Res., accepted.
Madden, R. A., P. R. Julian, 2005: Historical Perspective Intraseasonal Variability in the Atmosphere-Ocean climate system,eds. k.-M. Lau and D. E. Waliser. Springer, 436pp.
Meehl, G.A., A. Hu, 2005: Megadroughts in the Indian monsoon and southwest North America and a mechanism for associated multi-decadal sea surface temperature anomalies J. Clim., submitted[Abstract]
Meehl, G.A., H. Teng, G. Branstator, 2005: Future Changes of El Nino in Two Global Coupled Climate Models Clim. Dyn., submitted
Meehl, G.A., J.M. Arblaster, C. Tebaldi, 2005: Understanding future patterns of precipitation extremes in climate model simulations Geophys. Res. Lett., submitted
Meinshausen, M., W. Hare, T. M. L. Wigley, D. van Vuuren, M. den Elzen, R. Swart, 2005: Multi-gas emission pathways to meet arbitrary climate targets. Climatic Change, in press.
Park, S., M. A. Alexander, C. Deser, 2005: Estimation of the surface heat flux response to sea surface temperature anomalies over the global oceans. J. Climate, 18,4582-4599.
Rasch, P.J., M.J. Stevens, L. Ricciardulli, A. Dai, A. Negri, R. Wood, B.A. Boville, B. Eaton, J.J. Hack, 2005: A Characterization of Tropical Transient Activity in the CAM3 Atmospheric Hydrologic Cycle J.Clim., submitted
Santer, B.D., R. Sausen, T.M.L. Wigley, J. Boyle, K. AchutaRao, et. al., 2005: Behavior of Tropopause height and atmospheric temperature in models, reanalyses, and Observations. Part I: Decadal changes J. Geophys. Res., accepted
Santer, B.D., T.M.L. Wigley, C. Mears, F. J. Wentz, S. A. Klein, et. al., 2005: Amplification of Surface Temperature Trends and Variability in the Tropical Atmosphere Science, 309, 1551-1556.
Smith, S. J., A. M. Thomson, N. J. Rosenberg, R. C. Izaurralde, R. A. Brown, T. M. L. Wigley, 2005: Climate change impacts for the conterminous USA: An integrated assessment – Part 1. Climatic Change, 69, 7-25.
Smith, S. J., H. Pitcher, T.M.L. Wigley, 2005: Future sulfur dioxide emissions. Climatic Change, 73, 267-318.
Stenseth, N.C, Ottersen, G, Hurrell, J.W., Mysterud, A., Lima, M., Chan, KS., Yoccoz, N.G., and Adlandsvik, B., 2005: Studying climate effects on ecology through the use of climate indices:the North Atlantic Oscillation, El Nino Southern Oscillation and beyond The Royal Society: in press[Paper] (.pdf)
Sun, Y., S. Solomon, A. Dai, R. Portmann, 2005: How often does it rain? J. Clim., in press.
Trenberth, K. E., 2005: A changing world for climate research. Geotimes, December 2005, 24-25.
Trenberth, K. E., 2005: Observed global changes in climate. Changements Climatiques: quels impacts en France Greenpeace Climate Impact Report, November 2005, in press.
Trenberth, K. E., 2005: Uncertainty in Hurricanes and Global Warming Science, 308, 1753-1754[Paper]
Trenberth, K. E., D. J. Shea, 2005: Relationships between precipitation and surface temperature Geophys. Res. Lett., 32, L14703, doi:10.1029/2005GL022760.[Paper]
Trenberth, K. E., D. P. Stepaniak, L. Smith, 2005: Interannual Variability of Patterns of Atmospheric Mass Distribution J. Climate, 18, 2812-2825.[Access paper via author's webpage]
Trenberth, K. E., J. Fasullo, L. Smith, 2005: Trends and variability in column-integrated atmospheric water vapor Clim. Dyn., 24, 741-758.[Paper]
Trenberth, K. E., J. W. Hurrell, D. P. Stepaniak, 2005: The Asian monsoon: Global perspectives. Asian Monsoon, B. Wang, Ed., Praxis Publishing Ltd. 67-87 and color section 9-19.
Trenberth, K. E., L. Smith, 2005: The Mass of the Atmosphere: a Constraint on Global Analyses J. Clim., 18, 864-875.[Paper]
Uppala, S. M., P.W. Kållberg, A.J. Simmons, U. Andrae, V. da Costa Bechtold, M. Fiorino, J.K Gibson, J. Haseler, A. Hernandez, G.A. Kelly, X. Li, K. Onogi, S. Saarinen, N. Sokka, R.P. Allan, E. Andersson, K. Arpe, M.A. Balmaseda, A.C.M. Beljaars, L, 2005: The ERA-40 reanalysis Quart. J. Roy. Meteor. Soc., 131, 2961-3012.[Paper]
Wang, J., L. Zhang, A. Dai, 2005: Global estimates of water-vapor-weighted mean temperature of the atmosphere for GPS applications. J. Geophys. Res., 110, D21101, doi:10.1029/2005JD006215.
Wigley, T. M. L., 2005: The climate change commitment Science, 307, 1766-1769
Wigley, T. M. L., C. Ammann, B.D. Santer, S.C.B. Raper, 2005: The effect of the climate sensitivity on the response to volcanic forcing J. Geophys. Res., 110 (D9), doi: 10.1029/2004JD005557.
Wigley, T. M. L., C. M. Ammann, B. D. Santer, K. E. Taylor, 2005: Comment on “Climate forcing by the volcanic eruption of Mount Pinatubo” by David H. Douglass and Robert S. Knox” Geophys. Res. Lett., 32, L05704, doi:10.1029/2005GL023312.
Wigley, T. M. L., R. G. Richels, J. A. Edmonds, 2005: Overshoot pathways to CO2 stabilization in a multi-gas context. Human Induced Climate Change: An Interdisciplinary Perspective, M. D. Schlesinger and J. Weyant, Eds., Cambridge University Press, in press.
Wigley, T. M. L., S. C. B. Raper, 2005: Extended scenarios for glacier melt due to anthropogenic forcing. Geophys. Res. Lett., 32, L05704, doi: 10.1029/2004GLO21238.
Yin, J. H., 2005: A Consistent Poleward Shift of the Storm Tracks in Simulation of 21st Centruy Climate Geophys. Res. Lett., 32, doi:10.1029/2005GL023684.
Cassou, C., C. Deser, L. Terray, J.W. Hurrell, M. Drévillon, 2004: Summer sea surface temperature conditions in the North Atlantic and their impact upon the atmospheric circulation in early winter J. Climate, 17, 3349-3363
Cassou, C., L. Terray, C. Deser, M. Drevillon, J.M. Hurrell, 2004: North Atlantic winter regimes: Spatial asymmetry, stationarity with time, and oceanic forcing J. Clim., 17, 1055-1068[Abstract]
Dai, A., K. E. Trenberth, 2004: The diurnal cycle and its depiction in the Community Climate System Model J. Climate, 17, 930-951[Paper] (.pdf)
Dai, A., K. E. Trenberth, T. Qian, 2004: A global dataset of Palmer Drought Severity Index for 1870-2002: Relationship with soil moisture and effects of surface warming. J. Hydrometeor., 5, 1117-1130.[Paper] (.pdf)
Dai, A., P.J. Lamb, K.E. Trenberth, M. Hulme, P.D. Jones, P. Xie, 2004: The Recent Sahel Drought is Real Int. J. Climate, 1323-1331[Paper] (.pdf)
Dai, A., W.M. Washington, G.A. Meehl, T.W. Bettge, W.G. Strand, 2004: The ACPI climate change simulations. Climatic Change, 62, 29-42[Paper] (.pdf)
Deser, C., A. S. Phillips, J.W. Hurrell, 2004: Pacific Interdecadal Climate Variability: Linkages between the Tropics and North Pacific during boreal winter since 1900 J. Clim., 17, 3109-3124
Deser, C., G. Magnusdottir, R. Saravanan, 2004: The effects of North Atlantic SST and sea-ice anomalies on the winter circulation in CCM3. Part I: Main features and storm-track characteristics of the response J.Clim, 17, 857-876
Deser, C., G. Magnusdottir, R. Saravanan, A. Phillips, 2004: The effects of North Atlantic SST and sea-ice anomalies on the winter circulation in CCM3. Part II: Direct and indirect components of the response J.Clim, 17, 877-889
Fasullo, J., 2004: A stratified diagnosis of the Indian monsoon Eurasian snow cover relationship Journal of Climate, 17, 1110-1122.
Fasullo, J., 2004: Biennial characteristics of Indian monsoon rainfall. Journal of Climate, 17, 2972-2982.
Hoerling, M.P., J.W. Hurrell, T. Xu, G.T. Bates, A. Phillips, 2004: Twentieth Century North Atlantic Climate Change. Part II: Understanding the Effect of Indian Ocean Warming Climate Dynamics, 23, 391-405[Paper]
Hu, A., G. A. Meehl, W. M. Washington, A. Dai, 2004: Response of the Atlantic thermohaline circulation to increased atmospheric CO2 in a coupled model. J. Climate, 17,4267-4279.[Paper] (.pdf)
Hurrell, J.W., M.P. Hoerling, A. Phillips, T. Xu, 2004: Twentieth Century North Atlantic Climate Change. Part I: Assessing Determinism Climate Dynamics, 23, 371-389[Paper]
Hurrell, J.W., R.R. Dickson, 2004: Climate variability over the North Atlantic. Marine Ecosystems and Climate Variation - the North Atlantic. N.C. Stenseth, G. Ottersen, J.W. Hurrell, and A. Belgrano, Eds. Oxford University Press
Karl, T. R., K. E. Trenberth, 2004: What is climate change? Climate Change and Biodiversity, L. Hannah and T. E. Lovejoy, Eds., Yale University Press, 15-28.
Kwon, Y.-O., K.Kim, Y.-G. Kim, K.-R. Kim, 2004: Diagnosing long-term trends of the water mass properties in the East Sea (Sea of Japan) Geophys. Res. Lett., 31, L20306
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Trenberth, K. E., 2001: The IPCC Assessment of global warming 2001 THE FORUM FOR ENVIRONMENTAL LAW, SCIENCE, ENGINEERING and FINANCE (FAILSAFE) electronic journal, spring (March) issue, 8-26[Paper][Abstract]
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Joyce, Terrence M., Clara Deser, Michael A. Spall, 2000: The Relation between Decadal Variability of Subtropical Mode Water in the North Atlantic and Large--Scale Patterns of Air-Sea Forcing. Journal of Climate, 13, 14, 2550-2569[Abstract]
Lal, M., G. A. Meehl, J. M. Arblaster, 2000: Simulation of Indian summer monsoon rainfall and its intraseasonal variability. Regional Environmental Change, 1, 163-179
Lejenäs, H., R. A. Madden, 2000: Mountain torques caused by normal-mode global Rossby Waves, and the impact on atmospheric angular momentum. J. Atmos. Sci.,57, 1045-1051
Madden, R. A., 2000: Tropical meteorology: Intra-Seasonal Oscillation (Madden-Julian Oscillation). Encyclopedia of Atmospheric Sciences, Academic Press, in press[Abstract]
Meehl, G. A., F. Zwiers, J. Evans, T. Knutson, L. O. Mearns, P. Whetton, 2000: Trends in extreme weather and climate events: Issues related to modeling extremes in projections of future climate change. Bull. Amer. Meteor. Soc., 81, 427-436[Abstract]
Meehl, G. A., G. J. Boer, C. Covey, M. Latif, R. J. Stouffer, 2000: The Coupled Model Intercomparison Project (CMIP). [Paper]
Meehl, G. A., J. M. Arblaster, W. G. Strand, Jr., 2000: Sea ice effects on climate model sensitivity and low frequency variability. Climate Dyn., 16, 257-271[Abstract]
Meehl, G. A., T. Karl, D. R. Easterling, S. Changnon, R. Pielke, Jr., D. Changnon, J. Evans, P. Ya Groisman, T. R. Knutson, K. Kunkel, L. O. Mearns, C. Parmesan, R. Pulwarty, T. Root, R. B. Street, R. T. Sylves, P. Whetton, F. Zwiers, 2000: An introduction to trends in extreme weather and climate events: Observations, socio-economic impacts, terrestrial ecological impacts, and model projections Bull. Amer. Meteor. Soc., 81, 413-416[Abstract]
Meehl, G. A., W. D. Collins, B. Boville, J. T. Kiehl, T. M. L Wigley, J. M. Arblaster, 2000: Response of the NCAR Climate System Model to increased CO2 and the role of physical processes. J. Climate, 13, 1879-1898[Abstract]
Meehl, G. A., W. M. Washington, J. M. Arblaster, T. W. Bettge, W. G. Strand Jr., 2000: Anthropogenic forcing and decadal climate variability in sensitivity experiments of 20th and 21st century climate. J. Climate, 13, 3728-3744
Murphy, S., T. R. Keen, 2000: The sensitivity of relocatable local area models to temporal interpolation noise at open boundaries. Journal of Atmospheric Oceanic Technology, 6, 862-878[Abstract]
Santer, B. D., T. M. L Wigley, D. J. Gaffen, L. Bengtsson, C. Doutriaux, J.S. Boyle, M. Esch, J. J. Hnilo, P. D. Jones, G. A. Meehl, E. Roeckner, K.E. Taylor, M.F. Wehner, 2000: Interpreting differential temperature trends at the surface and in the lower troposphere. Science, 287, 1227-1232[Abstract]
Santer, B. D., T. M. L. Wigley, J. S. Boyle, D. J. Gaffen, J. J. Hnilo, D. Nychka, D. E. Parker, K. E. Taylor, 2000: Statistical significance of trends and trend differences in layer-average temperature time series. J. Geophys. Res., 105, 7337-7356[Abstract]
Smith, S. J., T. M. L. Wigley, 2000: Global warming potentials: 1. Climatic implications of emissions reductions. Climatic Change, 44, 445-457[Abstract]
Smith, S. J., T. M. L. Wigley, 2000: Global warming potentials: 2. Accuracy. Climatic Change, 44, 459-469[Abstract]
Smith, S. J., T. M. L. Wigley, J. A., Edmonds, 2000: A new route toward limiting climate change? Science, 290, 1109-1110
Smith, S. J., T. M. L. Wigley, N. Nakicenovic, S. C. B. Raper, 2000: Climate implications of preliminary greenhouse gas emissions scenarios. Technological Forecasting and Social Change, 65, 195-204
Trenberth, K. E., 2000: Conceptual framework for changes of rainfall and extremes of the hydrological cycle with climate change. Exchanges, 5, 12-13
Trenberth, K. E., 2000: Earth system processes and interactions. Encyclopedia of Global Environmental Change, Vol. 1, John Wiley & Sons Ltd., in press[Abstract]
Trenberth, K. E., 2000: Millennium Perspectives. Bull. Amer. Meteor. Soc., 81, 100
Trenberth, K. E., 2000: Short-term climate variations: Recent accomplishments and issues for future progress. Storms, R. Pielke, Jr., and R. Pielke, Sr., Eds., Routledge, 126-141
Trenberth, K. E., D. P. Stepaniak, J. M. Caron, 2000: The global monsoon as seen through the divergent atmospheric circulation Journal of Climate, 13, 3969-3993[Abstract]
Trenberth, K. E., D. P. Stepaniak, J. W. Hurrell, M. Fiorino, 2000: Quality of reanalyses in the tropics. J. Climate, 14, 1499-1510[Abstract]
Trenberth, K. E., J. M. Caron, 2000: The Southern Oscillation Revisited: Sea level pressures, surface temperatures and precipitation Journal of Climate, 13, 4358-4365
Trenberth, K. E., K. Miller, L. Mearns, S. Rhodes, 2000: Effects of Changing Climate on Weather and Human Activities. Understanding Global Change: Earth Science and Human Impacts Series, Global Change Instruction Program, UCAR. University Science Books. 46 pp[Paper][Abstract]
van Loon, H., D. Shea, 2000: The global 11-year solar signal in July, August. Geophy. Res. Lett., 27, 2965-2968
van Loon., H., K. Labitzke, 2000: The influence of the 11-year solar cycle on the stratosphere below 30 km: a review. Space Science Reviews, 94, 259-278
Washington, W. M., J. W. Weatherly, G. A. Meehl, A. J. Semtner, Jr., T. W. Bettge, A.P. Craig, W. G. Strand, Jr., J. M. Arblaster, V. B. Wayland, R. James, Y. Zhang, 2000: Parallel Climate Model (PCM) control and transient simulations Climate Dyn.16, 755-774[Abstract]
Wigley, T. M. L., 2000: ENSO, volcanoes and record breaking temperatures. Geophys. Res. Lett., 27, 4101-4104[Abstract]
Wigley, T. M. L., 2000: Stabilization of CO2 concentration levels. The Carbon Cycle, T. M. L. Wigley and D.S. Schimel, Eds., Cambridge University Press, 258-276
Wigley, T. M. L., B. D Santer, K. E. Taylor, 2000: Correlation approaches to detection. Geophys. Res. Lett., 27, 2973-2976[Abstract]
Wigley, T. M. L., D. S. Schimel, 2000: The Carbon Cycle. Cambridge University Press, 292 pp
Wilby, R. L., T. M. L. Wigley, 2000: Downscaling General Circulation Model output: a reappraisal of methods and limitations. Climate Prediction and Agriculture. Proceedings of the START/WMO International Workshop, Geneva, Switzerland, 27-29 September 1999, M. V. K. Sivakumar, Ed., International START Secretariat, in press
Wilby, R. L., T. M. L. Wigley, 2000: Precipitation predictors for downscaling: Observed and general circulation model relationships. International Journal of Climatology, 20, 641-661
Alexander, M., C. Deser, M. Timlin, 1999: The re-emergence of SST anomalies in the North Pacific Ocean. J. Climate, 12, 2419-2433
Alexander, Michael A., Clara Deser, Michael S. Timlin, 1999: The Reemergence of SST Anomalies in the North Pacific Ocean. Journal of Climate: 12, 8, 2419-2433[Abstract]
Dai, A., 1999: Recent changes in the diurnal cycle of precipitation over the United States. Geophys. Res. Lett., 26, 341-344[Paper] (.pdf)
Dai, A., C. Deser, 1999: Diurnal and semidiurnal variations in global surface wind and divergence fields. J. Geophys. Res., 104, 31109-31125[Paper] (.pdf)
Dai, A., F. Giorgi, K. E. Trenberth, 1999: Observed and model-simulated diurnal cycles of precipitation over the contiguous United States. Geophy. Res., 104, 6377-640[Paper] (.pdf) [Abstract]
Dai, A., J. Wang, 1999: Diurnal and semidiurnal tides in global surface pressure fields. J. Atmos. Sci., 56, 3874-3891[Paper] (.pdf) [Abstract]
Dai, A., K. E. Trenberth, T. R. Karl, 1999: Effects of clouds, soil moisture, precipitation and water vapor on diurnal temperature range. J. Climate, 12, 2451-2473[Access paper via author's webpage][Access abstract via author's webpage]
Deser, C., 1999: On the annularity of the Arctic Oscillation. J. Geophys. Res., in press
Deser, C., M. A. Alexander, M. S. Timlin, 1999: Evidence for a wind-driven intensification of the Kuroshio Current Extension from the 1970s to the 1980s. J. Climate, 12, 1697-1706[Paper]
Gould, J., K. E. Trenberth, 1999: The WCRP Joint Scientific Committee - 20th Meeting (JSC XX). Exchanges, 4, 2, 7
Hoffert, M. I., A. K. Caldeira, A. K. Jain, E. F. Haites, L. D. D. Harvey, S. D. Potter, M. E. Schlesinger, S. H. Schneider, R. G. Watts, T. M. L. Wigley, D. J. Wuebbles, 1999: Energy implications of CO2 stabilization. Nature, 395, 881-884
Hurrell, J. W., K.E. Trenberth, 1999: Global Sea Surface Temperature Analyses: Multiple Problems and Their Implications for Climate Analysis, Modeling and Reanalysis. Bull. Amer. Meteor. Soc., 30, 2661-2678[Paper][Abstract]
Karl, T., K. E. Trenberth, 1999: The human impact on climate. Sci. Amer., 281, 100-105
Madden, R. A., D. J. Shea, 1999: The potential for long-range predictability of temperature and precipitation over Japan. J. Meteor. Soc. Japan, 77, 1111-1121[Abstract]
Madden, R. A., D. J. Shea, R. W. Katz, J. W. Kidson, 1999: The potential for long-range predictability of precipitation over New Zealand. Int. J. Climate, 19, 405-421
Madden, R. A., T. J. Hoar, R. F. Milliff, 1999: Scatterometer winds composited according to the phase of the Tropical Intraseasonal Oscillation. Tellus, 51A, 263-272
Newton, C. W., H. R. Newton, 1999: The life cycles of extratropical cyclones. The Bergen School Concepts Comes to America, M. Shapiro and S. Gronas, Eds., Amer. Meteor. Soc., 41-59
Prather, M., R. Sausen, A. S. Grossman, J. M. Haywood, D. Rind, B. H. Subbaraya, P. Forster, A. Jain, M. Ponater, U. Schumann, W.-C. Wang, T. M. L. Wigley, D. J. Wuebbles, 1999: Potential climate change from aviation. Aviation and the Global Atmosphere, J. E. Penner, D. H. Lister, D. J. Griggs, D. J. Dokken and M. McFarland, Eds., Cambridge University Press, 185-215
Santer, B. D., J. J Hnilo, T. M. L Wigley, J. S. Boyle, C. Doutriaux, M. Fiorino, D. E. Parker, K. E. Taylor, 1999: Uncertainties in observationally based estimates of temperature change in the free atmosphere. J. Geophys. Res., 104, 6305-6333[Abstract]
Schneider, N., S. Venzke, A. J. Miller, D. W. Pierce, T. P. Barnett, C. Deser, M. Latif, 1999: Pacific thermocline bridge revisited. Geophys. Res. Lett., 26, 1329-1332[Abstract]
Schneider, Niklas, Arthur J. Miller, Michael A. Alexander, Clara Deser, 1999: Subduction of Decadal North Pacific Temperature Anomalies: Observations and Dynamics. Journal of Physical Oceanography: 29, 5, 1056-1070[Abstract]
Trenberth, K. E., 1999: A perspective on the weather events of 1997 and 1998. Consequences, 4, in press
Trenberth, K. E., 1999: Atmospheric moisture recycling: Role of advection and local evaporation. J. Climate, 12, 1368-1381
Trenberth, K. E., 1999: Conceptual framework for changes of extremes of the hydrological cycle with climate change. Clim. Change, 42, 327-339[Paper]
Trenberth, K. E., 1999: Global climate project shows early promise. Eos, 80, 274-275
Trenberth, K. E., 1999: The extreme weather events of 1997 and 1998. Consequences, 5, 1, 2-15[Access paper via author's webpage]
Trenberth, K. E., J. W. Hurrell, 1999: Reply to Rajagopalan, Lall and Cane's comment about 'The interpretation of short climate records with comments on the North Atlantic and Southern Oscillations.' Bull. Amer. Met. Soc, 80, 2726-2728
Trenberth, K. E., J. W. Hurrell, 1999: Comment on 'The interpretation of short climate records with comments on the North Atlantic and Southern Oscillations.' Bull. Amer. Met. Soc., 80, 2721-2722
Trenberth, K. E., T. Owen, 1999: Workshop on indices and indicators for climate extremes. Breakout Group A: Storms. Clim. Change, 42, 9-21
van Loon, H., D. J. Shea, 1999: A probable signal of the 11-year solar cycle in the troposphere of the Northern Hemisphere. Geophys. Res. Lett. 26, 2893-2896[Abstract]
Wigley, T. M. L., 1999: The Science of Climate of Climate Change: Global and U.S. Perspectives. Pew Center on Global Climate Change, 48 pp
Wigley, T. M. L., P. J. Jaumann, B. D. Santer, K. E. Taylor, 1999: Relative detectability of greenhouse-gas and aerosol climate change signals. Climate Dyn., 14, 781-790
Wigley, T. M. L., R. L. Smith, B. D. Santer, 1999: The autocorrelation function and human influences on climate (response to comment by Tsonis and Elsner). Science, 285 (Technical Comment), 495a
Boville, B. A., J. W. Hurrell, 1998: A comparison of the atmospheric circulations simulated by the CCM3 and CSM1. J. Climate, 11, 1327-1341[Abstract]
Dai, A., K. E. Trenberth, T. R. Karl, 1998: Global variations in droughts and wet spells: 1900-1995 Geophys. Res. Lett., 25, 3367-3370[Paper] (.pdf)
Deser, Clara, Catherine Smith, 1998: Diurnal and semidiurnal variations of the surface wind field over the tropical Pacific Ocean. Journal of Climate: 11, 7, 1730-1748
Deser, Clara, Mike Timlin, 1998: Atmosphere-Ocean Interaction on Weekly Timescales in the North Atlantic and P acific. Journal of Climate: 10, 3, 393-408
Dickson, R. R., J. W. Hurrell, M. McCartney, H. L. Bryden, R. Williams, J. Marshall, 1998: The North Atlantic Oscillation. Chapter 5 of CLIVAR Implementation Plan, WCRP No. 103, WMO/TD-No. 869, ICOP No. 14, 163-192
Giorgi, F., G. A. Meehl, A. Kattenberg, H. Grassl, J. F. B. Mitchell, R. J. Stouffer, T. Tokioka, A. J. Weaver, T. M. L. Wigley, 1998: Simulation of regional climate change with global coupled climate models and regional modeling techniques. IPCC Special Report on the Regional Impacts of Climate Change: An Assessment of Vulnerability, R. T. Watson, M. C. Zinyowera, R. H. Moss, Eds., Cambridge University Press, 427-437
Hack, J. J., J. T. Kiehl, J. W. Hurrell, 1998: The hydrologic and thermodynamic characteristics of the NCAR CCM3. J. Climate, 11, 1179-1206
Henson, B., K.E. Trenberth, 1998: Children of the Tropics: El Niño and La Niña. From the Learning about Science Easily and Readily Series (LASERS)[Paper]
Hurrell, J. W., 1998: Relationships among recent atmospheric circulation changes, global warming, and satellite temperatures. Sci. Progress, 81, 205-224[Abstract]
Hurrell, J. W., H. van Loon, D. J. Shea, 1998: The mean state of the troposphere. Meteorology of the Southern Hemisphere, D. Karoly and D. Vincent, Eds., Amer. Meteor. Soc., 1-46
Hurrell, J. W., J. J. Hack, B. A. Boville, D. L. Williamson, J. T. Kiehl, 1998: The dynamical simulation of the NCAR Community Climate Model Version 3 (CCM3). J. Climate, 11, 1207-1236[Abstract]
Hurrell, J. W., K.E. Trenberth, 1998: Difficulties in Obtaining Reliable Temperature Trends: Reconciling the Surface and Satellite MSU Records. Journal of Climate, 11,945-967[Paper][Abstract]
Kiehl, J. T., J. J. Hack, J. W. Hurrell, 1998: The energy budget of the NCAR Community Climate Model: CCM3. J. Climate, 11, 1151-1178[Abstract]
Madden, R. A., H. Lejenäs, J. J. Hack, 1998: Semi-diurnal variations in the budget of angular momentum in a general circulation model and in the real atmosphere. J. Atmos. Sci., 55, 2561-2575
Meehl, G. A., 1998: Scale interactions in atmosphere, ocean and coupled models Climatic Impact of Scale Interactions for the Tropical Ocean-Atmosphere System, J. Slingo, P. Delecluse, and G. Komen, Eds., Euroclivar Publication, 13, 44-45[Abstract]
Meehl, G. A., 1998: Climate modeling. Meteorology of the Southern Hemisphere, D. Karoly and D. Vincent, Eds., American Meteorological Society, 365-410
Meehl, G. A., J. M. Arblaster, 1998: The Asian-Australian monsoon and El Niño-Southern Oscillation in the NCAR Climate System Model. J. Climate, 11, 1356-1385
Meehl, G. A., J. M. Arblaster, W. G. Strand Jr., 1998: Global scale decadal climate variability. Geophys. Res. Lett., 25, 3983-3986[Abstract]
Meehl, G. A., J. W. Hurrell, H. van Loon, 1998: A modulation of the mechanism of the semiannual oscillation in the Southern Hemisphere. Tellus, 50A, 442-450[Abstract]
Milliff, R. F., T. J. Hoar, R. A. Madden, 1998: Fast, eastward-moving disturbances in the surface winds of the equatorial Pacific. Tellus, 50A, 26-41
Sun, D. -Z., K. E. Trenberth, 1998: Coordinated heat removal from the tropical Pacific during the 1986-87 El Niño. Geophys. Res. Lett., 25, 2659-2662
Trenberth, K. E., 1998: Atmospheric moisture residence times and cycling: Implications for rainfall rates with climatic change. Climatic Change, 39, 667--694[Paper]
Trenberth, K. E., 1998: Development and Forecasts of the 1997-98 El Niño: CLIVAR Scientific Issues Based in part on presentations made at the Seventh session of the CLIVAR SSG in Santiago, Chile (April 1998)[Access paper via author's webpage][Access abstract via author's webpage]
Trenberth, K. E. et. al., 1998: The CLIVAR Initial Implementation Plan. WCRP 103, WMO/TD 869, ICPO 14, 356 pp[Access paper via author's webpage]
Trenberth, K. E., C. J. Guillemot, 1998: Estimating evaporation-minus-precipitation as a residual of the atmospheric water budget. Global Energy and Water Cycles, K. Browning and R. Gurney, Eds., Cambridge University Press, 236-246
Trenberth, K. E., C. J. Guillemot, 1998: Evaluation of the atmospheric moisture and hydrological cycle in the NCEP/NCAR reanalyses Climate Dyn., 14, 213-231[Access paper via author's webpage]
Trenberth, K. E., G. W. Branstator, D. Karoly, A. Kumar, N. -C. Lau, C. Ropelewski, 1998: Progress during TOGA in understanding and modeling global teleconnections associated with tropical sea surface temperatures. J. Geophys. Res., 103, 14 291-14 324
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Wigley, T. M. L., R. L. Smith, B. D. Santer, 1998: Anthropogenic influence on the autocorrelation structure of hemispheric-mean temperatures. Science, 282,1676-1679[Paper][Abstract]
Wilby, R. L., T. M. L. Wigley, D. Conway, P. D. Jones, B. C. Hewitson, J. Main, D. S. Wilks, 1998: Statistical downscaling of general circulation model output: A comparison of methods. Water Resour. Res., 34, 2995-3008
Dai, A., A. D. Del Genio, I. Y. Fung, 1997: Clouds, precipitation, and temperature range Nature, 386, 665-666.[Access paper via author's webpage]
Dai, A., I. Y. Fung, A. D. Del Genio, 1997: Surface observed global land precipitation variations during 1900-1988. J. Climate, 10, 2943-2962[Access paper via author's webpage][Access abstract via author's webpage]
Edmonds, J., M. Wise, H. Pitcher, R. Richels, T. M. L. Wigley, M. C. MacCracken, 1997: An integrated assessment of climate change and the accelerated introduction of advanced energy technologies: An application of MiniCAM 1.0. Mitigation and Adaptation Strategies for Global Change, 1, 311-339
Flannery, B. P., H. Kheshgi, G. Marland, M. C. MacCracken ( contributing author list includes T. M. L. Wigley, and 6 others), 1997: Geoengineering Climate. Engineering Response to Global Climate Change: Planning a Research and Development Agenda, R. G. Watts, Ed., Lewis Publishers, 379-427
Giorgi, F., J. W. Hurrell, M. R. Marinucci, M. Beniston, 1997: Elevation signal in surface climate change: A model study. J. Climate, 10, 288-296
Harvey, L. D. D., J. Gregory, M. Hoffert, A. Jain, M. Lal, R. Leemans, S. C. B. Raper, T. M. L. Wigley, J. de Wolde, 1997: An introduction to simple climate models used in the IPCC Second Assessment Report. IPCC Technical Paper 2. Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change, Geneva, Switzerland, 50 pp
Hurrell, J. W., H. Van Loon, 1997: Decadal Variations in Climate associated with the North Atlantic Oscillation Climatic Change, 36, pp 301-326[Abstract]
Hurrell, J. W., K. E. Trenberth, 1997: Spurious trends in satellite MSU temperature record arising from merging different satellite records. Nature, 386, 164-167[Abstract]
Jones, P. D., T. J. Osborn, T. M. L. Wigley, P. M. Kelly, B. D. Santer, 1997: Comparisons between the microwave sounding unit temperature record and the surface temperature record from 1979 to 1996: Real differences or potential discontinuities? J. Geophys. Res., 102, 30 135-30 145
Kiehl, J. T., K. E. Trenberth, 1997: Earth's Annual Global Mean Energy Budget. Bull. Amer. Meteor. Soc., 78, 197-208[Paper] (.pdf) [Abstract]
Kittel, T. G. F., F. Giorgi, G. A. Meehl, 1997: Intercomparison of regional biases and doubled CO2 sensitivity of coupled atmosphere-ocean general circulation model experiments. Climate Dyn., 14, 1-15
Lamb, H. H., K. M. Clayton, T. M. L. Wigley, 1997: The Climatic Research Unit at Twenty-Five Years. Climates of the British Isles, M. Hulme and E. Barrow, Eds., Routledge, London, UK, xxvii-xxix
Lejenäs, H., R. A. Madden, J. J. Hack, 1997: Global atmospheric angular momentum and Earth-atmosphere exchange of angular momentum simulated in a general circulation model. J. Geophys. Res., 102, 1931-1941[Abstract]
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Madden, R., J. Kidson, 1997: The potential for long-range predictability of temperature over New Zealand. International J. Climatology, 17, 483-495
Meehl, G. A., 1997: Global coupled climate model experiments with increased CO2 and direct and indirect effects of sulfate aerosols. Mission Earth: Modeling and Simulation for a Sustainable Global System, M. G. Clymer and C. R. Mechoso, Eds., ISBN: 1-56555-106-0, SCS Publishing, San Diego, CA, 31-36
Meehl, G. A., 1997: Modification of surface fluxes from component models in global coupled models. J. Climate, 10, 2811-2825
Meehl, G. A., 1997: Pacific region climate change. J. Ocean and Coastal Management, 37, 137-147
Meehl, G. A., 1997: The south Asian monsoon and the tropospheric biennial oscillation (TBO). J. Climate, 10, 1921-1943
Meehl, G. A., G. J. Boer, C. Covey, M. Latif, R. J. Stouffer, 1997: Intercomparison makes for a better climate model. Eos, 78, 445-446, 451
Meehl, G. A., W. M. Washington, 1997: Pacific region climate change in a global coupled climate model. Numerical Simulations in the Environmental and Earth Sciences, Fernando Garcia-Garcia, Gerardo Cisneros, Agust'n Fernandez-Eguiarte, Roman Alvarez, Eds., Cambridge University Press, New York, ISBN 0-521-58047-1, 58-63
Penner, J. E., T. M. L. Wigley, P. Jaumann, B. D. Santer, K. E. Taylor, 1997: Anthropogenic aerosols and climate change: A method for calibrating forcing. Assessing Climate Change-Results from the Model Evaluation Consortium for Climate Assessment, W. Howe and A. Henderson-Sellers, Eds., Gordon and Breach Science Publishers, Amsterdam, The Netherlands, 91-111
Santer, B. D., T. M. L. Wigley, 1997: Are human activities contributing to climate change? Common Questions about Climate Change, UNEP, WMO, 9-10
Schimel, D. S., M. Grubb, F. Joos, R. K. Kaufmann, R. Moss, W. Ogana, R. Richels, T. M. L. Wigley, 1997: Stabilisation of atmospheric greenhouse gases: Physical, biological and socioeconomic implications. IPCC Technical Paper 3. Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change, Geneva, Switzerland, 52 pp
Smith, S. J., T. M. L. Wigley, D. S. Schimel, 1997: U.S. regional climate change. Results from the Hadley Centre model. Prepared for Environment Division, The White House Office of Science and Technology Policy
Trenberth, K. E., 1997: Atmospheric moisture residence times and cycling: Implications for how precipitation may change as climate changes. GEWEX (Global Energy and Water Cycle Experiment) News, August 1997[Access paper via author's webpage][Access abstract via author's webpage]
Trenberth, K. E., 1997: On the use and abuse of climate models in climate change studies. Nature, 386, 131-133
Trenberth, K. E., 1997: The Definition of El Niño. Bulletin of the American Meteorological Society, 78, 2771-2777[Paper][Abstract](All figures and tables are current through December 1999.)
Trenberth, K. E., 1997: Using Atmospheric Budgets as a Constraint on Surface Fluxes. J. Climate, 10, 2796-2809[Abstract]
Trenberth, K. E., 1997: Global Warming: It's Happening naturalSCIENCE: A World Wide Web Journal, 1, Article 9[Paper]
Trenberth, K. E., et al., 1997: CLIVAR. A research programme on climate variability and predictability for the 21st century. International CLIVAR Project Office, Report 101, WCRP/TD No. 853, 48 pp
Trenberth, K. E., et. al., 1997: Common questions about climate change. WMO, UNEP. 24 pp[Access paper via author's webpage][Access abstract via author's webpage]
Trenberth, K. E., J. W. Hurrell, 1997: How accurate are satellite 'thermometers'? Nature, 389, 342-343[Access abstract via author's webpage]
Trenberth, K. E., K. Miller, L. Mearns, S. Rhodes, 1997: Weather associated with changing climate and consequences for human activities. Understanding Global Change: Earth Science and Human Impacts Series, Global Change Instruction Program, UCAR, University Science Books, 46 pp
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Washington, W. M., G. A. Meehl, 1997: Climate model simulations of global warming. Assessing Climate Change: Results from the Model Evaluation Consortium for Climate Assessment, W. Howe and A. Henderson-Sellers, Eds., Gordon and Breach Science Publishers, North Ryde, Australia, 125-140
Wigley, T. M. L., 1997: Implications of recent CO2 emission-limitation proposals for stabilization of atmospheric concentrations. Nature, 390, 267-270
Wigley, T. M. L., A. Jain, F. Joos, P. R. Shukla, B. S. Nyenzi, 1997: Implications of proposed CO2 emissions limitations. IPCC Technical Paper 4, J. T. Houghton, L. G. Meira Filho, D. J. Griggs, and M. Noguer, Eds., Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change, 41 pp
Wigley, T. M. L., P. D. Jones, S. C. B. Raper, 1997: The observed global warming record: What does it tell us? Proceedings of the National Academy of Sciences (PNAS), 94, 8314-8320[Paper]
Wikle, C. K., R. A. Madden, T-C. Chen, 1997: Seasonal variation of upper tropospheric and lower stratospheric equatorial waves over the tropical Pacific. J. Atmos. Sci., 54, 1895-1909
Wilby, R. L., T. M. L. Wigley, 1997: Downscaling general circulation model output: A review of methods and limitations. Progress in Physical Geography, 21, 530-548
Hurrell, J.W., 1996: Influence of Variations in Extratropical Wintertime Teleconnections on Northern Hemisphere Temperatures. Geophysical Research Letters, 23, 665-668[Paper][Abstract]
Hurrell, J.W., K.E. Trenberth, 1996: Satellite versus Surface Estimates of Air Temperature since 1979. Journal of Climate, 9, 2222-2232[Paper][Abstract]
Kattenberg, A., F. Giorgi, H. Grassl, G. A. Meehl, J. F. B. Mitchell, R. J. Stouffer, T. Tokioka, A. J. Weaver, T. M. L. Wigley (contributing author list includes T. G. F. Kittel), 1996: Climate Models-Projections of Future Climate. Climate Change 1995: The Science of Climate Change. Contribution of Working Group I to the Second Assessment Report of the Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change, J. T. Houghton, L. G. Meiro Filho, B. A. Callander, N. Harr
Meehl, G. A., 1996: Vulnerability of fresh water resources to climate change in the tropical Pacific region. J. Water, Air and Soil Poll., 92, 203-213
Meehl, G. A., G. N. Kiladis, K. M. Weickmann, M. Wheeler, D. S. Gutzler, G. P. Compo, 1996: Modulation of equatorial subseasonal convective episodes by tropical-extratropical interaction in the Indian and Pacific Ocean regions. J. Geophys. Res., 101, 15 033-15 049
Meehl, G. A., W. M. Washington, 1996: El Nino-like climate change in a model with increased atmospheric CO2 concentrations. Nature, 382, 56-60
Meehl, G. A., W. M. Washington, D. J. Erickson III, B. P. Briegleb, P. J. Jaumann, 1996: Climate change from increased CO2 and the direct and indirect effects of sulfate aerosols. Geophys. Res. Lett., 23, 3755-3758
Milliff, R. F., R. A. Madden, 1996: The existence and vertical structure of fast, eastward-moving disturbances in the equatorial troposphere. J. Atmos. Sci., 53, 586-597[Abstract]
Newton, C. W., 1996: Extratropical cyclogenesis climatology over East Asia and North America: A synthesis (celebration of the 80th birthday of Professor Ye Duzheng). Chinese Meteorological Press, 588-607
Palutikof, J. P., T. M. L. Wigley, 1996: Developing climate change scenarios for the Mediterranean region. Climatic Change and the Mediterranean, Volume 2, L. Jeftic, S. Keckes, and J. C. Pernetta, Eds., Edward Arnold, 27-56
Raper, S. C. B., K. R. Briffa, T. M. L. Wigley, 1996: Glacier change in Northern Sweden from A.D. 500: A simple geometric model of Storglaciaren. J. Glaciol., 42, 341-351
Raper, S. C. B., T. M. L. Wigley, R. A. Warrick, 1996: Global sea-level rise: Past and future. Sea-Level Rise and Coastal Subsidence, J. D. Milliman and B. U. Haq, Eds., Kluwer Academic Publishers, 11-45
Santer, B. D., K. E. Taylor, T. M. L. Wigley, T. C. Johns, P. D. Jones, D. J. Karoly, J. F. B. Mitchell, A. H. Oort, J. E. Penner, V. Ramaswamy, M. D. Schwarzkopf, R. J. Stouffer, S. Tett, 1996: A search for human influences on the thermal structure of the atmosphere. Nature, 382, 39-46
Santer, B. D., T. M. L. Wigley, T. P. Barnett, E. Anyamba, 1996: Detection of climate change and attribution of causes. Climate Change 1995: The Science of Climate Change, Contribution of Working Group I to the Second Assessment Report of the Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change, J. T. Houghton, L. G. Meira Filho, B. A. Callander, N. Harr
Schimel, D., D. Alves, I. G. Enting, M. Heimann, F. Joos, D. Raynaud, T. M. L. Wigley, 1996: CO2 and the carbon cycle. Climate Change 1995: The Science of Climate Change, Contribution of Working Group I to the Second Assessment Report of the Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change, J. T. Houghton, L. G. Meira Filho, B. A. Callander, N. Harr
Slingo, J. M., K. R. Sperber, J. S. Boyle, J.-P. Ceron, M. Dix, B. Dugas, W. Ebisuzaki, J. Fyfe, D. Gregory, J.-F. Gueremy, J. Hack, A. Harzallah, P. Inness, A. Kitoh, W. K.-M. Lau, B. McAvaney, R. Madden, A. Matthews, T. N. Palmer, C.-K. Park, D., 1996: Intraseasonal oscillations in 15 atmospheric general circulation models: Results from an AMIP diagnostic subproject. Clim. Dyn., 12, 325-357
Trenberth, K. E., 1996: Coupled climate system modeling. Climate Change, People and Policy: Developing Southern Hemisphere Perspectives, Ann Henderson-Sellers and Tom Giambelluca, Eds., John Wiley & Sons Ltd., 63-88
Trenberth, K. E., 1996: El Nino-Southern Oscillation. Climate Change, People and Policy: Developing Southern Hemisphere Perspectives, Ann Henderson-Sellers and Tom Giambelluca, Eds., John Wiley & Sons. Ltd., 145-173
Trenberth, K. E., 1996: Short-term Climate Variations: Recent accomplishments and issues for future progress. Bull. Amer. Meteor. Soc., 78, 1081-1096
Trenberth, K. E., 1996: What is happening to El Nino? 1996 Book of the Year, Encyclopedia Britannica, 164 pp
Trenberth, K. E., 1996: What is happening to El Nino? 1997 Yearbook of Science and the Future, Encyclopedia Britannica, 88-99
Trenberth, K. E., C. J. Guillemot, 1996: Physical processes involved in the 1988 drought and 1993 floods in North America. J. Climate, 9, 1288-1298[Abstract]
Trenberth, K. E., J. T. Houghton, L. G. Meira Filho, 1996: The climate system: An overview. Climate Change 1995. The Science of Climate Change. Contribution of Working Group 1 to the Second Assessment Report of the Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change, J. T. Houghton, L. G. Meira Filho, B. Callander, N. Harris
Trenberth, K. E., J. W. Hurrell, 1996: Decadal climate variations in the Pacific. Natural Climate Variability on Decade-to-Century Time Scales, W. Sprigg, E. Rice, and others, Eds., National Academy Press, 472-481
Ware, R., M. Exner, D. Feng, M. Gorbunov, K. Hardy, B. Herman, W. Kuo, T. Meehan, W. Melbourne, C. Rocken, W. Schreiner, S. Sokolovskiy, F. Solheim, X. Zou, R. Anthes, S. Businger, K. E. Trenberth, 1996: GPS sounding of the atmosphere from low Earth orbit: Preliminary results. Bull. Amer. Meteor. Soc., 77, 19-40
Warrick, R. A., C. Le Provost, M. Meier, J. Oerlemans, P. Woodworth, (contributing author list includes T.M.L. Wigley and 18 others), 1996: Changes in sea level. Climate Change 1995: The Science of Climate Change, Contribution of Working Group I to the Second Assessment Report of the Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change, J. T. Houghton, L. G. Meira Filho, B. A. Callander, N. Harr
Washington, W. M., G. A. Meehl, 1996: High-latitude climate change in a global coupled ocean-atmosphere-sea ice model with increased atmospheric CO2. J. Geophys. Res., 101, 12 795-12 801
Wigley, T. M. L., R. Richels, J. A. Edmonds, 1996: Economic and environmental choices in the stabilization of atmospheric CO2 concentrations. Nature, 379, 240-243
Wigley, T. M. L., S. C. B. Raper, 1996: Modelling low-frequency climate variability: The greenhouse effect and the interpretation of paleoclimatic data. The Natural Variability of the Climate System on 10-100 Year Timescales, D. G. Martinson, K. Bryan, M. Ghil, M. M. Hall, T. R. Karl, E. S. Sarachik, S. Sorooshian, and L. D. Talley, Eds., National Academy Press, 169-174
Albritton, D.L., R.G. Derwent, I.S.A. Isaksen, M. Lal, D.J. Wuebbles (contributing author list includes T.M.L. Wigley and seven others), 1995: Trace gas radiative forcing indices. In Climate Change 1994: Radiative Forcing of Climate Change and An Evaluation of the IPCC IS92 Emission Scenarios (J.T. Houghton, L.G. Meira Filho, J. Bruce, Hoesung Lee, B.A. Callander, E. Haites, N. Harris, and K. Maskell,
Campbell, G.G., T.G.F. Kittel, G.A. Meehl, W.M. Washington, 1995: Low-frequency variability and CO2 transient climate change. Part 2: EOF analysis of CO2 and model-configuration sensitivity. Global and Planetary Change 10, 201-216
Deser, C., M.L. Blackmon, 1995: On the relationship between tropical and north Pacific sea surface temperature variations. Journal of Climate 8, 1677-1680
Hulme, M., S.C.B. Raper, T.M.L. Wigley, 1995: An integrated framework to address climate change (ESCAPE) and further developments of the global and regional climate modules (MAGICC) Energy Policy 23, 347-355[Abstract]
Hurrell, J.W, 1995: Transient eddy forcing of the rotational flow during northern winter. Journal of the Atmospheric Sciences 52, 2286-2301[Abstract]
Hurrell, J.W., 1995: Comparison of NCAR Community Climate Model (CCM) climates. Climate Dynamics 11, 25-50[Abstract]
Karl, T., F. Bretherton, W. Easterling, K. E. Trenberth, 1995: Long-term climate monitoring of the global climate observing system (GCOS). Climatic Change, 31, 135-147
Kiladis, G.N., G.A. Meehl, K.M. Weickmann, 1995: The large-scale circulation associated with westerly wind bursts and deep convection over the western equatorial Pacific. Journal of Geophysical Research 99, 18,527-18,544
Madden, R.A., P. Speth, 1995: Atmospheric angular momentum, friction, and mountain torques on intraseasonal time scales. Journal of Climate 52, 3681-3694
Meehl, G.A., 1995: Climate sensitivity and cloud albedo feedback in a global coupled ocean-atmosphere GCM. Climate Sensitivity to Radiative Perturbations: Physical Mechanisms (H. Le Treut, Ed.), NATO ASI Series I 34, 231-237
Meehl, G.A., 1995: Coupled land-ocean-atmosphere processes and south Asian monsoon variability. Science 266, 263-267
Meehl, G.A., 1995: Global coupled general circulation models. Bulletin of the American Meteorological Society 76, 951-957
Meehl, G.A., W.M. Washington, 1995: Cloud albedo feedback and the super greenhouse effect in a global coupled GCM. Climate Dynamics 11, 399-411
Santer, B. D., K. E. Taylor, T. M. L. Wigley, J. E. Penner, P. D. Jones, U. Cubasch, 1995: Towards the detection and attribution of an anthropogenic effect on climate. Clim. Dyn., 12, 77-100
Schimel, D., I.G. Enting, M. Heimann, T.M.L. Wigley, D. Raynaud, D. Alves, U. Siegenthaler, 1995: CO2 and the carbon cycle. In Climate Change 1994: Radiative Forcing of Climate Change and An Evaluation of the IPCC IS92 Emission Scenarios (J.T. Houghton, L.G. Meira Filho, J. Bruce, Hoesung Lee, B.A. Callander, E. Haites, N. Harris, and K. Maskell,
Shea, D.J., H. van Loon, J.W. Hurrell, 1995: The tropical- subtropical semi-annual oscillation in the upper troposphere. International Journal of Climatology 15, 975-983
Shea, D.J., R. Jenne, W.M. Spangler, 1995: Daily maximum and minimum temperature datasets archived at NCAR and some applications. Atmospheric Research 37, 11-17
Trenberth, K. E, T. J. Hoar, 1995: The 1990-1995 El Nino-Southern Oscillation Event: Longest on record. Geophys. Res. Lett., 23, 57-60[Abstract]
Trenberth, K. E., 1995: Atmospheric circulation climate changes. Climatic Change, 31, 427-453[Abstract]
Trenberth, K. E., 1995: Long-term climate monitoring of Global Climate Observing System (GCOS). Report of Breakout Group 5. Climatic Change, 31, 163-180[Abstract]
Trenberth, K. E., 1995: Truncation and use of model-coordinate data. Tellus, 47, 287-303.
Trenberth, K. E., 1995: Truncation and use of model-coordinate data. Tellus 47A, 287-303
Trenberth, K. E., C.J. Guillemot, 1995: Evaluation of the global atmospheric moisture budget as seen from analyses. Journal of Climate 8, 2255-2272[Paper]
Trenberth, K. E., C.J. Guillemot, 1995: The total mass of the atmosphere. Journal of Geophysical Research 99, 23,079-23,088
Trenberth, K. E., J. W. Hurrell, 1995: Decadal coupled atmosphere-ocean variations in the North Pacific Ocean. In Canadian Special Publication of Fisheries and Aquatic Sciences 121, Climate Change and Northern Fish Population (R.J. Beamish, Ed.), Ottawa, Canada, 15-24
Trenberth, K. E., J. W. Hurrell, A. Solomon, 1995: Conservation of mass in three dimensions. Journal of Climate 7, 692-708[Abstract]
Weber, R.O., R.A. Madden, 1995: Optimal averaging for determination of global mean temperature: Experiments with model data. Journal of Climate 8, 418-430
Wigley, T. M. L., 1995: Global-mean temperature and sea level consequences of greenhouse gas concentration stabilization. Geophysical Research Letters 22, 45-48
Wigley, T. M. L., S. C. B. Raper, 1995: An heuristic model for sea level rise due to the melting of small glaciers. Geophys. Res. Lett., 22, 2749-2752
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