Current Research

I'm an associate scientist working with Marika Holland in the Climate and Global Dynamics Division of the National Center for Atmospheric Research. I serve as the CCSM Polar Climate Working Group and sea ice model liaison. I'm interested in climate system modelling and the interactions between sea ice, the atmosphere, and the oceans.

In my line of work, I've had the opportunity to travel a fair bit. Here are some photographs which I've taken in Alaska, Tasmania, on a field work experience at Cape Herschel on Ellesmere Island in the Canadian Arctic, and other various locations.

Recent Publications

Holland, M. M., D. A. Bailey, and S. Vavrus, 2009: Inherent sea ice predictability in a rapidly changing Arctic environment. Climate Dynamics (submitted).

Vavrus, S., M. Holland, and D. Bailey, 2009: The role of Arctic clouds during intervals of rapid sea ice loss. Climate Dynamics (submitted).

Gent, P. R., S. G. Yeager, R. B. Neale, S. Levis, and D. A. Bailey, 2009: Improvements in a Half Degree Atmosphere/Land Version of the CCSM. Climate Dynamics, doi:10.1007/s00382-009-0614-8

Durner, G. M., D. C. Douglas, R. M. Nielsen, S. C. Amstrup, T. L. McDonald, I. Stirling, M. Mauritzen, E. W. Born, Ø. Wiig, E. DeWeaver, M. C. Serreze, S. E. Belikov, M. M. Holland, J. Maslanik, J. Aars, D. A. Bailey, and A. E. Derocher, 2009: Predicting 21st century polar bear habitat distribution from global climate models. Ecological Monographs, 79(1), pp 25-58, doi:10.1890/07-2089.1

Holland, M. M., C. M. Bitz, B. Tremblay, D. A. Bailey, 2008: The role of natural versus forced change in future rapid summer Arctic ice loss, in Arctic Sea Ice Decline: Observations, Projections, Mechanisms, and Implications, Geophys. Monogr. Ser., vol. 180, edited by E. T. DeWeaver, C. M. Bitz, and L.-B. Tremblay, pp. 133--150, AGU, Washington, D. C.

Bailey, D. A., P. B. Rhines, and S. Häkkinen, 2005: Formation and pathways of North Atlantic Deep Water in a coupled ice-ocean model of the Arctic-North Atlantic Oceans. Climate Dynamics, 25(5), 497-516, doi:10.1007/s00382-005-0050-3.

Arbetter, T. E., A. H. Lynch, and Bailey, D. A., 2004: The relationship between synoptic forcing and polynya formation in the Cosmonaut Sea: 1. Polynya climatology. J. Geophys. Res., 109(C4), C04022, doi:10.1029/2003JC001837.

Bailey, D. A., A. H. Lynch, and T. E. Arbetter, 2004: The relationship between synoptic forcing and polynya formation in the Cosmonaut Sea: 2. Regional climate model simulations. J. Geophys. Res., 109(C4), C04023, doi:10.1029/2003JC001838.