AGU Session: Pattern Scaling and Other Climate Model Emulators: Strengths, Limitations and Relevance for Future Scenario Choices

Start Date: Monday, December 15, 2014
End Date: Friday, December 19, 2014
Location: 2896
Session Link: 2014 AGU Fall Meeting

Session ID#: 2896

Session Description

Researchers assessing the future impacts of climate change rely on projections of future climate conditions, but the number of scenarios that can be simulated by climate and earth system models is limited. Pattern scaling and climate model emulation has been presumed to be able to fill this gap, but it is unclear whether these approaches are up to the task. This session invites presentations by users and developers of emulation techniques in order to take stock of the current state of this research area and its most promising future directions. The goal is to provide guidance to impact modelers and to the design of climate model experiments in the Climate Model Intercomparison Project (CMIP6), which would greatly benefit from the use of model emulation to fill gaps in its scenario coverage.

Co-Sponsor(s)

  • SI - Societal Impacts and Policy Sciences
     

Index Terms

1626 Global climate models [GLOBAL CHANGE] 
1627 Coupled models of the climate system [GLOBAL CHANGE] 
1630 Impacts of global change [GLOBAL CHANGE] 
1637 Regional climate change [GLOBAL CHANGE]

Primary Convener:  Claudia Tebaldi, Climate Central, Princeton, NJ, United States; National Center for Atmospheric Research, Climate and Global Dynamics Division, Boulder, CO, United States

Co-Convener:  Brian C O'Neill, NCAR, Boulder, CO, United States