Special Issue on SSPs: Quantification of the new SSPs for climate change research

Edited by Keywan Riahi and Detlef van Vuuren

One key element of the development of the new Shared Socioeconomic Pathways is the quantification of these scenarios by Integrated Assessment Models (IAMs) and other models. A special issue of the journal Global Environmental Change (scroll down to special section articles) describes the quantification of drivers and IAM model outcomes and forms a key reference to SSPs. The following papers are part of the special issue and include papers on

  • The narratives of the SSPs
  • The quantification of the SSPs for population
  • The quantification of the SSPs for economic activity
  • The quanification of the SSPs for urbanization
  • IAM model scenarios based on the SSPs. 
     

Accepted journal articles

van Vuuren DP, Riahi K, Calvin K, Dellink R, Emmerling J, Fujimori S, KC S, Kriegler E, O’Neill BC, 2017. The Shared Socio-economic Pathways: Trajectories for human development and global environmental change. Global Environmental Change, 42, 148-152. DOI: 10.1016/j.gloenvcha.2016.10.009.

Riahi K, van Vuuren DP, Kriegler E, Edmonds J, O'Neill BC, Fujimori S, Bauer N,Calvin K, Dellink R, Fricko O, Lutz W, Popp A, Crespo Cuaresma J, Samir KC, Leimbach M, Jiang L, Kram T, Rao S, Emmerling J, Ebi K, Hasegawa T, Havlik P,Humpenöder F, Da Silva LA, Smith S, Stehfest E, Bosetti V, Eom J, Gernaat D,Masui T, Rogelj J, Strefler J, Drouet L, Krey V, Luderer G, Harmsen M, Takahashi K, Baumstark L, Doelman J, Kainuma M, Klimont Z, Marangoni G, Lotze-Campen H,Obersteiner M, Tabeau A, and Tavoni M., 2016. The shared socioeconomic pathways and their energy, land use, and greenhouse gas emissions implications: An overview. Global Environmental Change, 42, 153-168. DOI: 10.1016/j.gloenvcha.2016.05.009.

O'Neill BC, Kriegler E, Ebi KL, Kemp-Benedict E, Riahi K, Rothman DS, van Ruijven BJ, van Vuuren DP, Birkmann J, Kok K, Levy M, Solecki W, 2015. The roads ahead: Narratives for shared socioeconomic pathways describing world futures in the 21st century. Global Environmental Change, 42, 169-180. DOI:10.1016/j.gloenvcha.2015.01.004.

KC S, Lutz W, 2014. The human core of the shared socioeconomic pathways: Population scenarios by age, sex and level of education for all countries to 2100, Global Environmental Change, 42, 181-192. DOI:10.1016/j.gloenvcha.2014.06.004.

Jiang L, O’Neill BC, 2015. Global urbanization projections for the Shared Socioeconomic Pathways. Global Environmental Change, 42, 193-199. DOI:10.1016/j.gloenvcha.2015.03.008.

Dellink R, Chateau J, Lanzi E, Magné B, 2015. Long-term economic growth projections in the Shared Socioeconomic Pathways. Global Environmental Change, 42, 200-214. DOI:10.1016/j.gloenvcha.2015.06.004.

Leimbach M, Kriegler E, Roming N, Schwanitz J, 2015. Future growth patterns of world regions – A GDP scenario approach. Global Environmental Change, 42, 215-225. DOI:10.1016/j.gloenvcha.2015.02.005.

Crespo JC, 2015. Income projections for climate change research: A framework based on human capital dynamics. Global Environmental Change, 42, 226-236. DOI:10.1016/j.gloenvcha.2015.02.012.

van Vuuren DP, Stehfest E, Gernaat DEHJ, Doelman JC, van den Berg M, Harmsen M, de Boer HS, Bouwman LF, Daioglou V, Edelenbosch OY, Girod B, Kram T, Lassaletta L, Lucas PL, van Meijl H, Müller C, van Ruijven BJ, van der Sluis S, Tabeau A. Energy, land-use and greenhouse gas emissions trajectories under a green growth paradigm. Global Environmental Change, 42, 237-250. DOI: 10.1016/j.gloenvcha.2016.05.008.

Fricko O, Havlik P, Rogelj J, Klimont Z, Gusti M, Johnson N, Kolp P, Strubegger M, Valin H, Amann M, Ermolieva T, Forsell N, Herrero M, Heyes C, Kindermann G, Krey V, McCollum DL, Obersteiner M, Pachauri S, Rao S, Schmid E, Schoepp W, Riahi K. The marker quantification of the Shared Socioeconomic Pathway 2: A middle-of-the-road scenario for the 21st century. Global Environmental Change, 42, 251-267. DOI: 10.1016/j.gloenvcha.2016.06.004.

Fujimori S, Hasegawa T, Masui T, Takahashi K, Herran DS, Dai H, Hijioka Y, Kainuma M. SSP3: AIM implementation of Shared Socioeconomic Pathways. Global Environmental Change, 42, 268-283. DOI: 10.1016/j.gloenvcha.2016.06.009.

Calvin K, Bond-Lamberty B, Clarke L, Edmonds J, Eom J, Hartin C, Kim S, Kyle P, Link R, Moss R, McJeon H, Patel P, Smith S, Waldhoff S, Wise M. The SSP4: A world of deepening inequality. Global Environmental Change, 42, 284-296. DOI: 10.1016/j.gloenvcha.2016.06.010.

Kriegler E, Bauer N, Popp A, Humpenöder F, Leimbach M, Strefler J, Baumstark L, Bodirsky BL, Hilaire J, Klein D, Mouratiadou I, Weindl I, Bertram C, Dietrich J-P, Luderer G, Pehl M, Pietzcker R, Piontek F, Lotze-Campen H, Biewald A, Bonsch M, Giannousakis A, Kreidenweis U, Müller C, Rolinski S, Schultes A, Schwanitz J, Stevanovic M, Calvin K, Emmerling J, Fujimori S, Edenhofer O. Fossil-fueled development (SSP5): An energy and resource intensive scenario for the 21st century. Global Environmental Change, 42, 297-315. DOI: 10.1016/j.gloenvcha.2016.05.015.

Bauer N, Calvin K, Emmerling J, Fricko O, Fujimori S, Hilaire J, Eom J, Krey V, Kriegler E, Mouratiadou I, Sytze de Boer H, van den Berg M, Carrara S, Daioglou V, Drouet L, Edmonds JE, Gernaat D, Havlik P, Johnson N, Klein D, Kyle P, Marangoni G, Masui T, Pietzcker RC, Strubegger M, Wise M, Riahi K, van Vuuren DP. Shared Socio-Economic Pathways of the Energy Sector – Quantifying the Narratives. Global Environmental Change, 42, 316-330. DOI:10.1016/j.gloenvcha.2016.07.006.

Popp A., Calvin K., Fujimori S., Havlik P., Humpenöder F., Stehfest E., Bodirsky B.L., Dietrich J.P., Doelmann J.C., Gusti M., Hasegawa T., Kyle P., Obersteiner M., Tabeau A., Takahashi K., Valin H., Waldhoff S., Weindl I., Wise M., Kriegler E., Lotze-Campen H., Fricko O., Riahi K., Vuuren D.P. Land-use futures in the shared socio-economic pathways. Global Environmental Change, 42, 331-345. DOI:10.1016/j.gloenvcha.2016.10.002.

Rao S, Klimont Z, Smith SJ, Van Dingenen R, Dentener F, Bouwman L, Riahi K, Amann M, Bodirsky BL, van Vuuren DP, Aleluia Reis L, Calvin K, Drouet L, Fricko O, Fujimori S, Gernaat D, Havlik P, Harmsen M, Hasegawa T, Heyes C, Hilaire J, Luderer G, Masui T, Stehfest E, Strefler J, van der Sluis S, Tavoni M. 2016. Future air pollution in the Shared Socio-economic Pathways. Global Environmental Change, 42, 346-358. DOI: 10.1016/j.gloenvcha.2016.05.012.