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CAS People

John Fasullo, Project Scientist


PDFs of recent publications

[ 2016, 2015, 2014, 2013, 2012, 2011, 2010, 2009, 2008, 2007, 2006, 2005, 2004, 2003, pre-2002]

2017 ---- in prep/review ----

Fasullo, J.T., and P. R. Gent, 2017: On the Relationship between Ocean Heat Content and Sea Surface Height, in review.

Wang, P. X., Wang, B., Cheng, H., Fasullo, J., Guo, Z. T., Kiefer, T., and Liu, Z. Y.: 2017, The Global Monsoon across Time Scales: Mechanisms and outstanding issues, in revision.

Fasullo, J.T., B. Otto-Bleisner, and S. Stevenson, 2017: A Future Year Without A Summer, in revision.

Fasullo, J.T., B. Otto-Bleisner, and S. Stevenson, 2017: ENSO's Changing Influence in a Warming Climate, in revision.

**published/in press: 79 peer reviewed; 85 total; h-index 34; i10 index 56**

Trenberth, K. E. and J. T. Fasullo, 2017: Atlantic meridional heat transports computed from balancing Earth’s energy locally, Geo.Phys. Res. Lett.,44, doi:10.1002/2016GL072475..

Cheng, L, K. Trenberth, J.T. Fasullo, T. Boyer, J. Abraham, J. Zhu, 2017: Re-assessment of Earth’s energy imbalance since 1960 based on ocean heat content changes, Science Advances, 3, doi: 10.1126/sciadv.1601545.

Stevenson, S., A. Capotondi, J. Fasullo and B. Otto-Bliesner, 2017: Forced Changes to 20th Century ENSO Diversity in a Last Millennium Context, Climate Dynamics, doi:10.1007/s00382-017-3573-5.

Stevenson, S., B. Otto-Bliesner, J. Fasullo, 2017: Considering Eruption Season to Reconcile Model and Proxy Responses to Tropical Volcanism, Proc. Nat. Acad. Sci., 114, 1822–1826, doi: 10.1073/pnas.1612505114.


Fasullo, J. T., and R. S. Nerem, 2016: Interannual Variability in Global Mean Sea Level Estimated from the CESM Large and Last Millennium Ensembles, Water, 8 (11), 491; doi:10.3390/w8110491.

Fasullo, J. T., R. S. Nerem, and B. Hamlington, 2016: Is detection of accelerated sea level rise imminent? Scientific Reports, 6, 31245, doi:10.1038/srep31245.

Trenberth, K. E., J. T. Fasullo, K. von Schuckmann and L. Cheng, 2016: Insights into Earth’s energy imbalance from multiple sources. J. Climate, 29, 7495-7505. doi:10.1175/JCLI-D-16-0339, http://dx.doi.org/10.1175/JCLI-D-16-0339.1

Covey, C., P.J. Gleckler, C. Doutriaux, D.N. Williams, A. Dai, J.T. Fasullo, K.E. Trenberth, and A. Berg, 2016: Metrics for the Diurnal Cycle of Precipitation: Toward Routine Benchmarks for Climate Models, J. Clim.,http://dx.doi.org/10.1175/JCLI-D-15-0664.1.

Fasullo, J.T., D. Lawrence, and S. Swenson, 2016: Are GRACE-Era Terrestrial Water Trends Driven By Anthropogenic Climate Change? Advances in Meteorology,doi:10.1155/2016/4830603.

Mayer, M., J. Fasullo, K E. Trenberth, L. Haimberger, 2016: ENSO-Driven Energy Budget Perturbations in CMIP models, Clim. Dyn., doi:10.1007/s00382-016-3057-z., in the news: The Guardian

Stevenson, S., B. Otto-Bliesner, J. Fasullo, and E. Brady, 2016: 'El Nino Like' Hydroclimate Responses to Last Millennium Volcanic Eruptions J. Clim., http://dx.doi.org/10.1175/JCLI-D-15-0239.1.


Trenberth, K. E., Y. Zhang, and J. T. Fasullo 2015: Relationships among top-of- atmosphere radiation and atmospheric state variables in observations and CESM, J. Geophys. Res. Atmos., 120, doi:10.1002/2015JD023381

Grise, K., L. M. Polvani, and J.T. Fasullo, 2015: Re-examining the emergent constraint between climate sensitivity and the Southern Hemisphere radiation budget in CMIP models J. Clim.doi: http://dx.doi.org/10.1175/JCLI-D-15-0031.1

Loeb, N.G., H. Wang, A. Cheng, S. Kato, J. T. Fasullo, K.M. Xu, R. P. Allan, 2015: Observational Constraints on Atmospheric and Oceanic Cross-Equatorial Heat Transports, Clim. Dyn, doi:10.1007/s00382-015-2766-z.

Otto-Bliesner, B. et al., The Last Millennium Ensemble Project with the Community Earth System Model (CESM): A Resource for Studying Climate Variability and Change since 850, Bull. Amer. Met. Soc., doi:http://dx.doi.org/10.1175/BAMS-D-14-00233.1.

Trenberth, K.E., J.T. Fasullo and T. Shephard, 2015: Attribution of climate extreme events Nature Climate Change, doi:10.1038/nclimate2657.

Stevens, B., A Abe-Ouchi, S Bony, G Hegerl, G Schmidt, S Sherwood, M Webb; Contributors: M Allen, T Andrews, J Annan, K Armour, N Bellouin, R Caballero, J Church, M Crucifix, A Dessler, T Edwards, J Fasullo, O Geoffrey, C Golaz, J Gregory, R Knutti, M Latif, N Lewis, T Mauritsen, D Sexton, G Stephens, R Sutton, J Vial, K Yu, M Zelinka, 2015: RINGBERG15: EARTH’S CLIMATE SENSITIVITIES, Report from a workshop held on 23-27 March 2015, Schloss Ringberg, Germany WCRP Report No. 11/2015.

Fasullo, J.T., B.W. Sanderson, and K.E. Trenberth, 2015: Recent Progress in Constraining Climate Sensitivity with Models Current Climate Change Reports, 1, 268-275,doi: 10.1007/s40641-015-0021-7.

Trenberth, K. E., Y. Zhang, J. T. Fasullo, and S. Taguchi, 2015: Climate variability and relationships between top-of-atmosphere radiation and temperatures on Earth. J. Geophys. Res., 120, 3642-3659, Doi: 10.1002/2014JD022887.


Phillips, A. S., C. Deser, and J. Fasullo, 2014: A new tool for evaluating modes of variability in climate models. EOS, 95, 453-455, doi: 10.1002/2014EO490002.

Wang, P. X., Wang, B., Cheng, H., Fasullo, J., Guo, Z. T., Kiefer, T., and Liu, Z. Y.: The global monsoon across timescales: coherent variability of regional monsoons, Clim. Past, 10, 2007-2052, doi:10.5194/cp-10-2007-2014, 2014..

Abraham, J., Fasullo, J., & Laden, G., 2014: Continued Global Warming in the Midst of Natural Climate Fluctuations. Reports of the National Center for Science Education, 34(6).

Abraham, J. P., Kumar, S., Bickmore, B. R., & Fasullo, J. T. (2014). Issues Related to the Use of One-dimensional Ocean-diffusion Models for Determining Climate Sensitivity. J Earth Sci Clim Change, 5(220), 2.

Fasullo, J.T., 2014: Challenges in Constraining Climate Sensitivity: Should IPCC AR5’s Lower Bound Be Revised Upward?(revised for Skeptical Science)

Trenberth, K.E., J. T. Fasullo, G. Branstator, and Adam S. Phillips, 2014: Seasonal aspects of the recent pause in surface warming, Nature Climate Change, doi:10.1038/nclimate2341.

Abraham, J.P., J. Cook, J. T. Fasullo, P. H. Jacobs, S. A. Mandia, and D. A Nuccitelli, Review of the Consensus and Asymmetric Quality of Research on Human-Induced Climate Change, Cosmopolis, Vol. 2014-1, pp. 3-18, 2014.

Trenberth, K. E., J. T. Fasullo and M. A. Balmaseda: 2014: Earth's energy imbalance. J. Climate, 27, 3129-3144. doi:10.1175/JCLI‐D-13-00294.

Trenberth, K. E., and J. T. Fasullo, 2014: An apparent hiatus in global warming? Earth's Future. Doi: 10.002/2013EF000165.


Fasullo, J.T., 2013: Rainfall's oceanic underpinnings, Nature Geoscience: News and Views, doi:10.1038/ngeo1997.

Tilmes, S., et al. 2013: The hydrological impact of geoengineering in the Geoengineering Model Intercomparison Project (GeoMIP), Geophys. Res. Lett., 118, doi:10.1002/jgrd.50868.

Fasullo, J.T., 2013: Some Levelheadedness Regarding Sea Level Variability., Global Water Forum.

Fasullo, J.T., 2013: Australia's Dominant Role in Recent Sea Level Variability. OzEWEX.

Fasullo, J.T., 2013: Some Levelheadedness Regarding Sea Level Variability, Skeptical Science .

Fasullo, J. T., C. Boening, F. W. Landerer, and R. S. Nerem, 2013: Australia's unique influence on global sea level in 2010-2011, Geophys. Res. Lett., 40, 4368-4373, doi:10.1002/grl.50834 , media coverage.

Contributing author: IPCC AR5: Chapter 12: Long-term climate change: Projections, commitments and irreversibility. Collins, M., R. Knutti, J. Arblaster, J.-L. Dufresne, T. Fichefet, P. Friedlingstein, X. Gao, W.J. Gutowski, T. Johns, G. Krinner, M. Shongwe, C. Tebaldi, A.J. Weaver and M. Wehner, 2013: Long-term Climate Change: Projections, Com- mitments and Irreversibility. In: Climate Change 2013: The Physical Science Basis. Contribution of Working Group I to the Fifth Assessment Report of the Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change [Stocker, T.F., D. Qin, G.-K. Plattner, M. Tignor, S.K. Allen, J. Boschung, A. Nauels, Y. Xia, V. Bex and P.M. Midgley (eds.)]. Cambridge University Press, Cambridge, United Kingdom and New York, NY, USA.

Abraham, J.P., M. Baringer, N.L. Bindoff, T. Boyer, L.J. Cheng, J.A. Church, J.L. Conroy, C.M. Domingues, J.T. Fasullo, J. Gilson, G. Goni, S.A. Good, J. M. Gorman, V. Gouretski, M. Ishii, G.C. Johnson, S. Kizu, J.M. Lyman, A. M. Macdonald, W.J. Minkowycz, S.E. Moffitt, M.D. Palmer, A.R. Piola, F. Reseghetti, K. Schuckmann,K.E. Trenberth, I. Velicogna, J.K. Willis, A review of global ocean temperature observations: Implications for ocean heat content estimates and climate change, Rev. Geophys., 51, 450-483, doi:10.1002/rog.20022.

Trenberth, K. E., and J. T. Fasullo, 2013: Regional energy and water cycles: Transports from ocean to land. J. Climate, 26. 7837-7851, doi:10.1175/JCLI-D-00008.1

Mayer, Michael, K. E. Trenberth, Leopold Haimberger, J. T. Fasullo, 2013: The Response of Tropical Atmospheric Energy Budgets to ENSO*. J. Climate, 26, 4710-4724.doi: http://dx.doi.org/10.1175/JCLI-D-12-00681.1

Gettelman, A., J. E. Kay, J. T. Fasullo, 2013: Spatial Decomposition of Climate Feedbacks in the Community Earth System Model. J. Climate, 26, 3544-3561. doi: http://dx.doi.org/10.1175/JCLI-D-12-00497.1

Meehl, Gerald A., Aixue Hu, Julie M. Arblaster, J.T. Fasullo, K. E. Trenberth, 2013: Externally Forced and Internally Generated Decadal Climate Variability Associated with the Interdecadal Pacific Oscillation. J. Climate, 26, 7298-7310, doi: http://dx.doi.org/10.1175/JCLI-D-12-00548.1

Trenberth, K. E., and J. T. Fasullo 2013: North American water and energy cycles, Geophys. Res. Lett., 40, 365-369, doi:10.1002/grl.50107.

Schneider, D. P., C. Deser, J. Fasullo, and K. E. Trenberth, 2013: Climate Data Guide Spurs Discovery and Understanding, Eos Trans. AGU, 94(13), 121, doi: 10.1002/2013EO130001


Fasullo, J.T., and K.E. Trenberth, 2012: A Less Cloudy Future: The role of subtropical subsidence in climate sensitivity, Science 9 November 2012: 338 no. 6108 pp. 792-794, DOI: 10.1126/science.1227465., media coverage.

Boening, C., F. W. Landerer, R.S. Nerem, J.K. Willis, J.T. Fasullo, 2012: The 2011 La Nina: So strong, the oceans fell, Geophys. Res. Lett., 39, 19, doi:10.1029/2012GL053055, 2012.

Trenberth, K.E., and J.T. Fasullo, 2012: Climate extremes and climate change: The Russian heat wave and other climate extremes of 2010, J. Geophys. Res. Atmos., 117, D17103, doi:10.1029/2012JD018020.

Trenberth, K.E. and J.T. Fasullo, 2012: Tracking Earth's energy: From El Nino to global warming. Surveys in Geophysics, Special Issue,33, 413-426, doi:10.1007/s10712-011-9150-2.

Jochum, M., A. Jahn, S. Peacock, D. Bailey, J.T. Fasullo, J. Kay, S. Levis, and B. Otto-bliesner, 2012: True to Milankovitch: Glacial inception in the new Community Climate System Model. J. Climate,25, 2226-2239. doi:10.1175/JCLI-D-11-00044.1.*

Trenberth, K. E., and J. T. Fasullo, 2012: Atmospheric moisture transports from ocean to land in reanalyses. GEWEX Newsletter, 22, 1, 8-10. http://www.gewex.org/gewexnews/Feb2012.pdf


Fasullo, J.T., 2011: A Mechanism for land-ocean contrasts in global monsoon trends in a warming climate, PAGES Special Issue on Global Monsoons, Climate Dynamics,39, 1137-1147,,doi: 10.1007/s00382-011-1270-3.

Trenberth, K.E., J.T. Fasullo and J. P. Abraham, 2011: Commentary: Issues in establishing climate sensitivity in recent studies, Remote Sens. 2011, 3(9), 2051-2056; doi:10.3390/rs3092051.

Meehl, G. A., J. M. Arblaster, J.T. Fasullo, A. Hu and K.E. Trenberth 2011: Model-based evidence of deep-ocean heat uptake during surface-temperature hiatus periods, Nature Climate Change, 1, 360-364, DOI: 10.1038/NCLIMATE1229.

Trenberth, K.E. and J.T. Fasullo, 2011: Misdiagnosis of surface temperature feedback, Real Climate, July 29 2011.

Trenberth, K.E., J.T. Fasullo and J. Mackaro 2011: Atmospheric moisture transports from ocean to land and global energy flows in reanalyses, J. Climate, 24, 4907-4924. doi: 10.1175/2011JCLI4171.1 *

Huber, M., R. Knutti, I. Mahlstein, M. Wild, and J.T. Fasullo, 2011: Constraints on climate sensitivity from radiation patterns in climate models, J. Climate, 24,1034-1052, doi: 10.1175/2010JCLI3403.1.*


Han, W. and co-authors, 2010: Patterns of Indian Ocean sea level change in a warming climate, 2010: Nature Geosciences,3, 546 - 550, 11 July 2010, doi:10.1038/NGEO901.

Fasullo, J.T. 2010:Robust land-ocean contrasts in energy and water cycle feedbacks, J. Climate, 23, 4677-4693, doi:10.1175/2010JCLI3451.1.*

Yoo, S., J.T. Fasullo, S. Yang, and C. Ho, 2010: On the relationship between Indian Ocean sea surface temperature and the transition from El Nino to La Nina, J. Geophys. Res. Atm., 115, D15114, doi:10.1029/2009JD012978.

Trenberth, K.E., Fasullo, J.T. 2010:Tracking Earth's Energy, Science, 328, 316-317, doi:10.1126/science.118727.

Fasullo, J.T., K.E. Trenberth, C. O'Dell, 2010: Lindzen and Choi Unraveled, RealClimate.

Trenberth, K.E., J.T. Fasullo, C. O'Dell, and T. Wong, 2010: Relationships between tropical sea surface temperature and top-of-atmosphere radiation, Geophys. Res. Lett., 37, L03702, doi:10.1029/2009GL042314.**

Trenberth, K.E., and J.T. Fasullo, 2010: Simulation of present day and 21st century energy budgets of the southern oceans, J. Climate, 23, 440-454, doi:10.1175/2009JCLI3152.1.*


Menon, S., Koch, D., Beig, G., Sahu, S., Fasullo, J., and Orlikowski, D.: Black carbon aerosols and the third polar ice cap, Atmos. Chem. Phys. Discuss., 9, 26593-26625, 2009 doi:10.5194/acpd9=265932009.

Trenberth, K.E., and J.T. Fasullo, 2009: Global warming due to increasing absorbed solar radiation. Geophys. Res. Lett., 36, L07706, doi:10.1029/2009GL037527.**

Trenberth, K.E. and J.T. Fasullo, 2009: Changes in the flow of Energy through the Earth's Climate System, Meteorologische Zeitschrift, 18, 4, 369-377, DOI 10.1127/0941-2948/2009/0388. ****

Trenberth, K.E., J.T. Fasullo, and J.T. Kiehl, 2009: Earth's Global Energy Budget. Bull. Amer. Met. Soc. 90, 3, 311-323., DOI:10.1175/2008BAMS2634.1*


Trenberth, K.E., and J.T. Fasullo, 2008; Energy budgets of Atlantic hurricanes and changes from 1970, Geochem. Geophys Geosyst., 9, Q09V08, doi:10.1029/2007GC001847.**

Trenberth, K.E. and J.T. Fasullo, 2008: An observational estimate of ocean energy divergence, J.Phys. Ocn. 38, 5, 984-999.*

Fasullo, J.T. and K.E. Trenberth, 2008: Part I: The annual cycle of the energy budget: Global mean and land-ocean exchanges, J. Climate, 21, 10, 2297-2313.*

Fasullo, J.T. and K.E. Trenberth, 2008: Part II: The annual cycle of the energy budget: Meridional structures and poleward transports, J. Climate, 21, 10, 2314-2326.*


Trenberth, K.E. L. Smith, T. Qian, A. Dai. and J.T. Fasullo, 2007: Estimates of the global water budget and its annual cycle using observational and model data, J. Hydro. Met., 8 ,758-769, doi:10.1175/JHM600.1.**

Trenberth, K.E. , C. A. Davis, and J.T. Fasullo, 2007: The water and energy budget of hurricanes: Case studies of Ivan and Katrina. J. Geo. Res.-Atmos., 112 (D23), doi:10.1029/2006JD008303. **

Trenberth, K.E. and J.T. Fasullo, 2007: The water and energy budgets of hurricanes and implications for climate change. J. Geo. Res-Atmos., 112 (D23), doi:10.1029/2006JD008304.*


Fasullo, J.T., 2006: Assessing tropical cyclone trends in the context of potential sampling biases. Geophys. Res. Lett., 33, L24808, doi:10.1029/2006GL027852.*


Fasullo, J. 2005: Atmospheric Hydrology of the anomalous 2002 Indian summer monsoon, Mon. Wea. Rev, 10, 2996-3014, doi:10.1175/MWR3014.1.*

Trenberth, K.E., J.T. Fasullo, and L. Smith, 2005: Trends and variability in Column-integrated atmospheric water vapor. Climate Dynamics., 24, 741-758, doi:10.1007/s00382-005-0017-4.*

Goes, J., P. G. Thoppil**, H.R. Gomes, J.T. Fasullo, 2005: Warming of the Eurasian landmass Is making the Arabian Sea more productive, Science, 308, 5721, 545-547, doi:10.1126/science.1106610.*


Fasullo, J., 2004a: A stratified diagnosis of the Indian monsoon-Eurasian snow cover relationship. J. Climate, 17, 1110-1122., doi:10.1175/1520-0442(2004)017<1110:ASDOTI>2.0.CO;2*

Fasullo, J. 2004b: Biennial characteristics of Indian monsoon rainfall. J. Climate, 17, 2972-2982, doi:10.1175/1520-0442(2004)017<2972:BCOIMR>2.0.CO;2*


Fasullo, J. and P.J. Webster, 2003: A hydrological definition of Indian monsoon onset and withdrawal. J. Climate, 16, 3200-3211, doi:10.1175/1520-0442(2003)016<3200a:AHDOIM>2.0.CO;2.*

Sun, D.Z., J.T. Fasullo, T. Zhang, and A. Roubicek, 2003: On the radiative and dynamical feedbacks over the equatorial Pacific cold tongue. J. Climate, 16, 2425-2432, doi:10.1175/2786.1. *


Fasullo, J. and P.J. Webster, 1999: Warm pool SST variability in relation to the surface energy balance. J. Climate, 12, 1292-1305, doi:10.1175/1520-0442(1999)012<1292:WPSVIR>2.0.CO;2 *

Fasullo, J. and P.J. Webster, 2000: Atmospheric and surface variations during westerly wind bursts in the tropical western Pacific. Q J Roy Meteor Soc, 126, 899-924, doi:10.1256/smsqj.56406.

Fasullo, J. and D.Z. Sun, 2001: Radiative sensitivity to water vapor under all-sky conditions. J. Climate, 14, 2798-2807, doi:10.1175/1520-0442(2001)014<2798:RSTWVU>2.0.CO;2.*,

Fasullo, J. and P.J. Webster, 2002: Hydrological signatures relating the Asian summer monsoon and ENSO. J. Climate, 15, 3082-3095, doi:10.1175/1520-0442(2002)015<3082:HSRTAS>2.0.CO;2.*

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John Fasullo, Project Scientist