Climate Change Research Publications

Santer, B. D., C. Mears, F. J. Wentz, K. E. Taylor, P. J. Gleckler, T. M. L. Wigley, T. P. Barnett, J. S. Boyle, W. Brueggemann, N. P. Gillett, S. A. Klein, G. A. Meehl, T. Nozawa, D. W. Pierce, P. A. Stott, W. M. Washington, M. F. Wehner, 2007: Identification of human-induced changes in atmospheric moisture content. Proc. Nat. Acad. Sci., 104, 15248-15253, doi: 10.1073/pnas.0702872104.4

Zhu, P., J. J. Hack, J. T. Kiehl, C. S. Bretherton, 2007: Climate sensitivity of tropical and subtropical marine low cloud amount to ENSO and global warming due to doubled CO2. J. Geophys. Res., 112, D17108, doi: 10.1029/2006JD008174.2

Zhu, P., J. J. Hack, J. T. Kiehl, 2007: Diagnosing cloud feedbacks in General Circulation Models. J. Climate, American Meteorological Society, 20, 2602-2622, doi: 10.1175/JCLI4140.1.1

Deser, C., R. A. Tomas, S. Peng, 2007: The transient atmospheric circulation response to North Atlantic SST and sea ice anomalies. J. Climate, 20, 4751-4767.3

Lawrence, D. M., P. E. Thornton, K. W. Oleson, G. B. Bonan, 2007: The partitioning of evapotranspiration into transpiration, soil evaporation, and canopy evaporation in a GCM: Impacts on land-atmosphere interaction. J. Hydrometeorol., 8, 862-880, doi: 10.1175/JHM596.1.1

Levis, S., G. B. Bonan, P. J. Lawrence, 2007: Present-day springtime high-latitude surface albedo as a predictor of simulated climate sensitivity. Geophys. Res. Lett., 34, L17703, doi: 10.1029/2007GL030775.2

Wigley, T. M. L., C. Ammann, B. D. Santer, S. C. D. Raper, 2007: The effect of the climate sensitivity on the response to volcanic forcing. J. Geophys. Res.. (Accepted)3

Hibbard, K. A., G. Meehl, P. Cox, P. Friedlingstein, 2007: A strategy for climate change stabilization experiments. EOS Trans. Amer. Geophys. Union, 88(20), 217,219,221.4

Ammann, C. M., E. R. Wahl, 2007: Importance of the geophysical context for statistical evaluation of climate reconstruction procedures. Climatic Change, doi: doi:10.1007/s10584-007-9726-x.2

Shell, K. M., R. C. J. Somerville, 2007: Sensitivity of climate forcing and response to dust optical properties in an idealized model. J. Geophys. Res., 112, D03206, doi: 10.1029/2006JD07198.2

Jansen, E., J. Overpeck, K. R. Briffa, J. C. Duplessy, F. Joos, V. Masson-Delmotte, D. O. Olago, B. L. Otto-Bliesner, W. R. Peltier, S. Rahmstorf, R. Ramesh, D. Raynaud, D. H. Rind, O. Solomina, R. Villalba, D. Zhand, 2007: Palaeoclimate. Chapter 6. Climate Change 2007: The Physical Science Basis, IPCC AR4 WG1 Final Report, S. Solomon, D. Qin, M. Manning, Z. Chen, M. C. Marquis, K. B. Avery, M. Tignor, and H. L. Miller, Eds., IPCC, Cambridge University Press, 433-497.3

Lawrence, D. M., A. G. Slater, 2007: Incorporating organic soil into a global climate model. Clim. Dyn., doi: doi:/10.1007/s00382-007-0278-1.3

Shell, K. M., R. C. J. Somerville, 2007: Direct radiative effects of mineral dust and volcanic aerosols in a simple aerosol climate model. J. Geophys. Res., 112, D03205, doi: 10.1029/2006JD007197.2

Tebaldi, C., R. Knutti, 2007: The use of multi-model ensemble in probabilistic climate projections. Phil. Trans. R. Soc. A, 365, 2053-2075, doi: 10.1098/rsta.2007.2076.3

Forster, P., R. Somerville, N. Bindoff, J. Christensen, K. Denman, G. Hegerl, B. Hewitson, E. Jansen, P. Jones, P. Lemke, G. A. Meehl, J. Overpeck, V. Ramaswamy, D. Randall, T. Stocker, K. Trenberth, H. Le Treut, J. Willebrand, R. Wood, F. Zwiers, 2007: Climate with care. New Scientist, 193 (2596), 27, doi: 10.1016/S0262-4079(07)60732-5.4

Nicolsky, D. J., V. E. Romanovsky, V. A. Alexeev, D. M. Lawrence, 2007: Improved modeling of permafrost dynamics in a GCM land-surface scheme. Geophys. Res. Lett., 34, L08501, doi: doi:/10.1029/2007GL029525.3

Alexeev, V. A., D. J. Nicolsky, V. E. Romanovsky, D. M. Lawrence, 2007: An evaluation of deep soil configurations in the CLM3 for improved representation of permafrost. Geophys. Res. Lett., 34, L09502, doi: doi:/10.0129/2007GL029536.3

Ammann, C. M., F. Joos, D. S. Schimel, B. L. Otto-Bliesner, R. A. Tomas, 2007: Solar influence on climate during the past millennium: Results from transient simulations with the NCAR Climate System Model. Proc. Nat. Acad. Sci., 104, 3713-2718.3

van Loon, H., G. A. Meehl, D. J. Shea, 2007: Coupled air-sea response to solar forcing in the Pacific region during northern winter. J. Geophys. Res., 112, D02108, doi: 10.1029/2006JD007378.1

Weber, S. L., S. S. Drijfhout, A. Abe-Ouchi, M. Crucifix, M. Eby, A. Ganopolski, S. Murakami, B. L. Otto-Bliesner, W. R. Peltier, 2007: The modern and glacial overturning circulation in the Atlantic ocean in PMIP coupled model simulations. Clim. Past, 3, 51-64.3

Otto-Bliesner, B. L., C. D. Hewitt, T. M. Marchitto, E. Brady, A. Abe-Ouchi, M. Crucifix, S. Murakami, S. L. Weber, 2007: Last glacial maximum ocean thermohaline circulation: PMIP2 model intercomparisons and data constraints. Geophys. Res. Lett., 34, L12706, doi: 10.1029/2007GL029475.3

Bracconot, P., B. L. Otto-Bliesner, S. Harrison, M. Abe-Ouchi, C. Crucifix, D. Hewitt, M. Kageyama, A. Kitoh, O. Marti, U. Merkel, T. Motoi, R. Ohgaito, W. R. Peltier, J. Valdes, L. Weber, Y. Zhao, 2007: Results of the PMIP2 coupled simulations of the mid-Holocene and Last Glacial Maximum Part 2: Feedbacks with emphasis on the location of the ITCZ and mid- and high-latitude heat budgets. Clim. Past, 3, 279-296.3

Bracconot, P., B. L. Otto-Bliesner, S. Harrison, M. Abe-Ouchi, C. Crucifix, D. Hewitt, M. Kageyama, A. Kitoh, O. Marti, U. Merkel, T. Motoi, R. Ohgaito, W. R. Peltier, J. Valdes, L. Weber, Y. Zhao, 2007: Results of the PMIP2 coupled simulations of the mid-Holocene and Last Glacial Maximum Part 1: Experiments and large scale features. Clim. Past, 3, 261-277.3

Osborne, T. M., D. M. Lawrence, A. J. Challinor, J. M. Slingo, T. R. Wheeler, 2007: Development and assessment of a coupled crop-climate model. Global Change Biology, 13, 169-183.3

Hu, A., G. A. Meehl, W. Han, 2007: Role of the Bering Strait in the thermohaline circulation and abrupt climate change. Geophys. Res. Lett., 34, L05704, doi: 10.1029/2006GL028906.2

Hu, A., G. A. Meehl, W. Han, 2007: Causes of a fresher, colder northern North Atlantic in late 20th century in a coupled model. Prog. Oceanog., 73, 384-405.3

Mann, M. E., S. Rutherford, E. Wahl, C. M. Ammann, 2007: Reply to comment on "Testing the fidelity of methods used in proxy-based reconstructions of past climate. J. Climate, 20, 3699-3703.4

Graham, N. E., M. R. Hughes, C. M. Ammann, K. M. Cobb, M. P. Hoerling, D. J. Kennett, J. P. Kennett, B. Rein, L. Stott, P. E. Wigand, T. Xu, 2007: Tropical pacific - mid-latitude teleconnections in medieval times. Climatic Change, doi: 10.1007/s10584-007-9239-2.3

Mann, M. E., S. Rutherford, E. Wahl, C. Ammann, 2007: Robustness of proxy-based climate field reconstruction methods. J. Geophys. Res., 112, D12109, doi: 10.1029/2006JD008272.4

Tomassini, L., L. P. Reichert, R. Knutti, T. F. Stocker, M. Borsuk, 2007: Robust Bayesian uncertainty analysis of climate system properties using Markov chain Monte Carlo methods. J. Climate, 20, 1239-1254.3

Furrer, R., R. Knutti, S. R. Sain, D. W. Nychka, G. A. Meehl, 2007: Spatial patterns of probabilistic temperature change projections from a multivariate Bayesian analysis. Geophys. Res. Lett., 34, L06711, doi: 10.10.1029/2006GL027754.2

Furrer, R., S. R. Sain, D. Nychka, G. A. Meehl, 2007: Multivariate Bayesian analysis of atmosphere-ocean general circulation models. Environmental and Ecological Statistics, 14(3), 249-266, doi: doi:10.1007/s10651-007-0018-z.2

Lamarque, J.-F., J. T. Kiehl, J. J. Orlando, 2007: The role of hydrogen sulfide in a Permian-Triassic boundary ozone collapse. Geophys. Res. Lett., 34, L02801, doi: 10.1029/2006GL028384.1

Meehl, G. A., H. Teng, G. W. Branstator, 2006: Future changes of El Nino in two global coupled climate models. Clim. Dyn., 26, 549-566, doi: 10.1007/s00382-005-0098-0.1

Teng, H., W. M. Washington, G. A. Meehl, L. E. Buja, G. W. Strand, 2006: 21st century arctic climate change in the CCSM3 IPCC scenario simulations. Clim. Dyn., doi: 10.1007/s00382-005-099-z.1

Ramaswamy, V., J. W. Hurrell, G. A. Meehl, 2006: Why do temperatures vary vertically (from the surface to the stratosphere) and what do we understand about why they might vary and change over time? Temperature Trends in the Lower Atmosphere: Steps for Understanding and Reconciling Differences, T. R. Karl, S. J. Hassol, C. D. Miller, and W. L. Murray, Eds., The Climate Change Science Program and the Subcommittee on Global Change Research, 15-28.3

Han, W., G. A. Meehl, A. Hu, 2006: Interpretation of tropical thermocline cooling in the Indian and Pacific oceans during recent decades. Geophys. Res. Lett., 33, L23615, doi: 10.1029/2006GL027892.2

Tebaldi, C., K. Hayhoe, J. M. Arblaster, G. A. Meehl, 2006: An intercomparison of model-simulated historical and future changes in extreme events. Climatic Change, 79, 185-211.3

Knutti, R., G. A. Meehl, M. R. Allen, D. A. Stainforth, 2006: Constraining climate sensitivity from the seasonal cycle in surface temperature. J. Climate, 19, 4224-4233.2

Pierce, D. W., T. P. Barnett, K. AchutaRao, P. Gleckler, J. Gregory, W. M. Washington, 2006: Observations and model results. J. Climate, 19, 1873-1900.3

Washington, W. M., 2006: Computer modeling the twentieth- and twenty-first-century climate. Proc. Amer. Phil. Soc., 150, 414-427.1

Li, T., P. Liu, X. Fu, B. Wang, G. A. Meehl, 2006: Tempo-spatial structures and mechanisms of the tropospheric biennial oscillation in the Indo-pacific warm ocean. J. Climate, 19, 3070-3087.3

Wyant, M. C., C. S. Bretherton, J. T. Bacmeister, J. T. Kiehl, I. M. Held, M. Zhao, S. A. Klein, B. A. Soden, 2006: A comparison of tropical cloud properties and responses in GCMs using mid-tropospheric vertical velocity. Clim. Dyn., 27, 261-279, doi: 10.1007/s00382-006-0138-4.3

Seneviratne, S. I., R. D. Koster, Z. Guo, P. A. Dirmeyer, E. Kowalczyk, D. Lawrence, P. Liu, C. H. Lu, D. Mocko, K. W. Oleson, D. Verseghy, 2006: Soil moisture memory in AGCM simulations: Analysis of global Land-Atmosphere Coupling Experiments (GLACE) data. J. Hydrometeorol., 7, 1090-1112.3

Santer, B. D., T. M. L. Wigley, P. J. Gleckler, C. Bonfils, M. Wehner, K. M. AchutaRao, T. P. Barnett, J. S. Boyle, W. Brueggemann, M. Fiorino, N. Gillett, J. E. Hansen, P. D. Jones, S. A. Klein, G. A. Meehl, S. C. B. Raper, R. W. Reynolds, K. E. Taylor, W. M. Washington, 2006: Forced and unforced ocean temperature changes in the Atlantic and Pacific tropical cyclogenesis regions. Proc. Nat. Acad. Sci., 103, 13905-13910.4

Middleton, D. E., D. E. Bernholdt, D. Brown, M. Chen, A. L. Chervenak, L. Cinquini, R. Drach, P. Fox, P. Jones, C. Kesselman, I. T. Foster, V. Nefedova, A. Shoshani, A. Sim, W. G. Strand, D. Williams, 2006: Enabling worldwide access to climate simulation data: The Earth System Grid (ESG). J. Phys.: Conf. Series, 46, 510-514, doi: 10.1088/1742-6596/46/1/070.4

Stott, P. A., J. F. Mitchell, M. R. Allen, T. L. Delworth, J. M. Gregory, G. A. Meehl, B. D. Santer, 2006: Observational constraints on past attributable warming and predictions of future global warming. J. Climate, 19, 3055-3069, doi: 10.1175/JCLI3783.1.4