Publications

2023

• Cai, W., F. Jia, S. Li, A. Purich, G. Wang, L. Wu, B. Gan, A. Santoso, T. Geng, B. Ng, Y. Yang, D. Ferreira, G.A. Meehl, and M.J. McPhaden., 2023: Antarctic shelf ocean warming and sea ice melt affected by projected El Niño changes. Nature Climate Change, https://doi.org/10.1038/s41558-023-01610-x.
• Li, H., A. Hu, G.A. Meehl, N. Rosenbloom, and W.G. Strand, 2023: Impact of tropical cyclone wind forcing on the global climate in a fully coupled climate model, J. Climate, 1–40, https://doi.org/10.1175/jcli-d-22-0211.1.
• Meehl, G.A., 2023: The role of the IPCC in climate science. Oxford Research Encyclopedia of Climate Science, https://doi.org/10.1093/acrefore/9780190228620.013.933.
• Molina, M.J., J.H. Richter, A.A. Glanville, K. Dagon, J. Berner, A. Hu, and G.A. Meehl, 2023: Subseasonal representation and predictability of North American weather regimes using cluster analysis, AMS Artificial Intelligence for the Earth Systems, 2, doi: 10.1175/AIES-D-22-0051.1.
• Li, H., A. Hu, and G.A. Meehl, 2023: Role of tropical cyclones in determining ENSO characteristics, Geophys. Res. Letts., 50, https://doi.org/10.1029/2022gl101814.
• Karmouche, S., E. Galytska, J. Runge, G.A. Meehl, A.S. Phillips, K. Weigel, and V. Eyring, 2023: Regime-oriented causal model evaluation of Atlantic-Pacific teleconnections in CMIP6, Earth System Dynamics, 14, 309–344, https://doi.org/10.5194/esd-14-309-2023.
• Wu, X., S.G. Yeager, C. Deser, N. Rosenbloom, and G.A. Meehl, 2023: Volcanic forcing degrades multiyear-to-decadal prediction skill in the tropical Pacific, Science Advances, 9, eadd9364, https://doi.org/10.1126/sciadv.add9364.
• Meehl, G.A., C. Shields, J.M. Arblaster, H. Annamalai, R. Neale, J.-C. Golaz, J. Fasullo, L. Van Roekel, A. Capotondi, and A. Hu, 2023: Climate base state influences on South Asian monsoon processes derived from analyses of E3SMv2 and CESM2, Geophys. Res. Lett., 50, e2023GL104313, https://doi.org/10.1029/2023GL104313.
• Meehl, G.A., B. Kirtman, J. Richter, A.A Glanville, N. Rosenbloom, and S. Yeager, 2023: Evaluating skill in predicting the Interdecadal Pacific Oscillation in initialized decadal climate prediction hindcasts in E3SMv1 and CESM1 using two different initialization methods and a small set of start years, Climate Dynamics, https://doi.org/10.1007/s00382-023-06970-w.
• Li, H., J.H. Richter, A. Hu, G.A. Meehl, and D. McMartin, 2023: Processes involved with hydrological responses in the subpolar North Atlantic in two sensitivity experiments with increased stratospheric aerosols, J. Climate, 36, 7675–7688, https://doi.org/10.1175/JCLI-D-23-0225.1.
• Capotondi, A., G.A. Meehl and coauthors, 2023: Mechanisms of tropical Pacific decadal variability, Nature Reviews Earth and Environment, https://doi.org/10.1038/s43017-023-00486-x.

2022

• Molina, M.J., A. Hu, and G.A. Meehl, 2022: Response of global SSTs and ENSO to the Atlantic and Pacific Meridional Overturning Circulations. J. Climate, https://doi-org.cuucar.idm.oclc.org/10.1175/JCLI-D-21-0172.1
• Meehl, G.A., H. Teng, D. Smith, S. Yeager, W. Merryfield, F. Doblas-Reyes, and A.A. Glanville, 2022: The effects of bias, drift, and trends in calculating anomalies for evaluating skill of seasonal-to-decadal initialized climate predictions, Clim. Dynamics, https://doi.org/10.1007/s00382-022-06272-7.
• Meehl, G.A., H. Teng, N. Rosenbloom, A. Hu, C. Tebaldi, and G. Walton, 2022: How the Great Plains Dust Bowl Drought spread heat extremes around the Northern Hemisphere, Nature Scientific Reports, doi:10.1038/s41598-022-22262-5.
• Dagon, K., J. Truesdale, J. C. Biard, K.E. Kunkel, G.A. Meehl, and M.J. Molina, 2022: Machine learning-based detection of weather fronts and associated extreme precipitation in historical and future climates, J. Geophys. Res. Atmos., 127, e2022JD037038, https://doi. org/10.1029/2022JD037038.
• Han, W., L. Zhang, G.A. Meehl, S. Kido, T. Tozuka, Y. Li, A. Caznave, A. Hu, M.J. McPhaden, N. Rosenbloom, G. Strand, and J. West, 2022: Sea level extremes and compounding marine heatwaves in coastal Indonesia, Nature Communications, 13:6410, https://doi.org/10.1038/s41467-022-34003-3.

2021

• Tebaldi, C., G.A. Meehl, N. Rosenbloom, and co-authors, 2021: Climate model projections from the Scenario Model Intercomparison Project (ScenarioMIP) of CMIP6, Earth Sys. Dyn., 12, 253–293, https://doi.org/10.5194/esd-12-253-2021
• Meehl, G.A., J.H. Richter, et al., 2021: Initialized Earth system prediction from subseasonal to decadal timescales, Nature Reviews Earth and Environment, https://doi.org/10.1038/s43017-021-00155-x
• Gao, F., T. Wu, J. Zhang, A. Hu, and G.A. Meehl, 2021: Shortened duration of warming slowdowns with elevated greenhouse gas emissions. J. Meteorol. Res., 41, doi: 10.1007/s13351-020-0134-3
• Meehl, G.A., H. Teng, A. Capotondi, and A. Hu, 2021: The role of interannual ENSO events in decadal timescale transitions of the Interdecadal Pacific Oscillation, Climate Dynamics, doi: 10.1007/s00382-021-05784-y
• Li, X., W. Cai, G.A. Meehl, and co-authors, 2021: Tropical teleconnection impacts on Antarctic climate changes, Nature Reviews Earth and Environment, https://doi.org/10.1038/s43017-021-00204-5
• Saurral, R., W. Merryfield, M. Tolstykh, W.-S. Lee, F. Doblas-Reyes, J. Garcia-Serrano, F. Massonet, G.A. Meehl, and H. Teng, 2021: A dataset for intercomparing the transient behavior of dynamical model-based subseasonal to decadal climate predictions, JAMES, 13, e2021MS002570. https://doi.org/10.1029/2021MS002570
• Power, S., M. Lengaigne , A. Capotondi, M. Khodri , J. Vialard, B. Jebri , E. Guilyardi, S. McGregor, J.-S. Kug, M. Newman, M. McPhaden, G.A. Meehl, D. Smith, A. Wittenberg, J. Cole, M. Collins, G.-I. Kim, W. Cai, Y. Okumura, F. Delage, K. Cobb, C. Chung, Y. Planton, P. Braconnot, A. Levine, J. Emile-Geay, F. Zhu, R. Colman, J. Sprintall, D. Vimont, G. Wang, X. Zhang, J.-J. Luo , X. Lin, M. Balmaseda, E. Di Lorenzo, B. Henley, 2021: A review of decadal climate variability in the tropical Pacific: Characteristics, causes, predictability and prospects, Science, 374, DOI: 10.1126/science.aay9165
• Zhang, L. W. Han, G.A. Meehl, A. Hu, N. Rosenbloom, T. Shinoda, M.J. McPhaden, 2021: Diverse impacts of Indian Ocean Dipole on El Niño-Southern Oscillation, J. Clim., 34, 9057—9070, DOI: 10.1175/JCLI-D-21-0085.1
• Yang, D., J.M. Arblaster, G.A. Meehl, and M.H. England, 2021: The role of coupled feedbacks in the decadal variability of the Southern Hemisphere eddy-driven jet, J. Geophys. Res. Atmos., 126, e2021JD035023. https://doi.org/10.1029/2021JD035023
• Hu, A., G.A. Meehl, N. Rosenbloom, M. Molina, and W.G. Strand, 2021: The influence of variability in meridional overturning on global ocean circulation, J. Climate, https://doi.org/10.1175/JCLI-D-21-0119.1

2020

• Xu, Y., X. Wu, R. Kumar, M. Barth , M. Gao, L. Lin, B. Jones, and G.A. Meehl, 2020: Substantial increase in the joint occurrence and human exposure of heatwave and high-PM hazards over South Asia in the mid-21st century. AGU Advances, 1, e2019AV000103, https://doi.org/10.1029/2019AV000103.
• Pendergrass, A.G., G.A. Meehl, R. Pulwarty, M. Hobbins, A. Hoell, A. AghaKouchak, C.J.W. Bonfils, A.J.E. Gallant, M. Hoerling, D. Hoffmann, L. Kaatz, F. Lehner, D. Llewellyn, P. Mote, R. Neale, J.T. Overpeck, A. Sheffield, K. Stahl, M. Svoboda, M.C. Wheeler, A.W. Wood, and C.A. Woodhouse, 2020: Flash droughts: High impact events that present a new challenge for subseasonal to seasonal prediction. Nature Climate Change, doi:10.1038/s41558-020-0709-0.
• Richter, J.H., J.A. Anstey, N. Butchart, Y. Kawatani, G. A. Meehl, S. Osprey, I. R. Simpson, 2020: Progress in simulating the Quasi-Biennial Oscillation in CMIP models, J. Geophys. Res. Atmospheres, 125, DOI: 10.1029/2019JD032362.
• Cazenave, A., G.A. Meehl, M. Montoya, J.R. Toggweiler, and C. Wieners., 2020: Climate change and impacts on variability and interactions, in Interacting Climates of Ocean Basins: Observations, Mechanisms, Predictability, and Impacts, Carlos R. Mechoso, Editor, Cambridge University Press, ISBN: 9781108492706.
• Yang, D., J.M. Arblaster, G.A. Meehl, M.H. England, E.-P Lim, S. Bates, and N. Rosenbloom, 2020: Role of tropical variability in driving decadal shifts in the Southern Hemisphere eddy-driven jet. J. Climate, 33, 5445—5463, DOI: 10.1175/JCLI-D-19-0604.1.
• Meehl, G.A., C. Shields, J.M. Arblaster, H. Annamalai, and R. Neale, 2020: Intraseasonal, seasonal, and interannual characteristics of regional monsoon simulations in CESM2, JAMES, DOI:10.1029/2019MS001962.
• Meehl, G.A., C.A. Senior, V. Eyring, G. Flato, J.-F. Lamarque, R.J. Stouffer, K.E. Taylor, and M. Schlund, 2020: Context for interpreting equilibrium climate sensitivity and transient climate response from the CMIP6 Earth system models, Science Advances, doi:10.1126/sciadv.aba1981.
• Meehl, G.A, J.M. Arblaster, S. Bates, J.H. Richter, C. Tebaldi, A. Gettelman, B. Medeiros, J. Bacmeister, P. DeRepentigny, N. Rosenbloom, C. Shields, A. Hu, H. Teng, M.J. Mills, and G. Strand, 2020: Characteristics of future warmer base states in CESM2, Earth and Space Science, https://doi:10.1029/2020EA001296.
• Meehl, G.A., A. Hu, F. Castruccio, M.H. England, S.C. Bates, G. Donabasoglu, S. McGregor, J.M. Arblaster, S.-P. Xie, and N. Rosenbloom, 2020: Atlantic and Pacific tropics connected by mutually interactive decadal-timescale processes, Nature Geo., doi:10.1038/s41561-020-00669-x.
• Bock, L., A. Lauer, M. Schlund, M. Barreiro, N. Bellouin, C. Jones, G.A. Meehl, V. Predoi , M.J. Roberts, and V. Eyring, 2020: Quantifying progress across different CMIP phases with the ESMValTool. J. Geophys. Res., https://doi.org/10.1029/2019JD032321.
• Ligouri, G., S. McGregor, J.M. Arblaster, M.S. Singh, and G.A. Meehl, 2020: A joint role for forced and internally-driven variability in the decadal modulation of global warming. Nature Comms., 11, 3827, https://doi.org/10.1038/s41467-020-17683-7.

2019

• Eyring, V., P.M. Cox, G.M. Flato, P.J. Gleckler, G. Abramowitz, P. Caldwell, W.D. Collins, B. Gier, A.D. Hall, F.M. Hoffman, G.C. Hurtt, A. Jahn, C.D. Jones, S.A. Klein, J. Krasting, L. Kwiatkowski, R. Lorenz, E. Maloney, G.A. Meehl, A. Pendergrass, R. Pincus, A.C. Ruane, J.L. Russell, B. Sanderson, B. Santer, S.C. Sherwood, I. Simpson, R.J. Stouffer, and M.S. Williamson, 2019: Taking model evaluation to the next level: The multiple and growing benefits of confronting climate models with observations. Nature Climate Change, 9, 102–110, https://doi.org/10.1038/s41558-018-0355-y
• Meehl, G.A., J.M. Arblaster, C.T.Y. Chung, M. M. Holland, A. DuVivier, L. Thompson, D. Yang, and C.M. Bitz, 2019: Recent sudden Antarctic sea ice retreat caused by connections to the tropics and sustained ocean changes around Antarctica, Nature Comms., 10:14, https://doi.org/10.1038/s41467-018-07865-9
• Arblaster, J.M., G.A. Meehl, and G. Wang, 2019: Understanding the recent decline in Antarctic sea ice extent. The Conversation, https://theconversation.com/why-antarcticas-sea-ice-cover-is-so-low-and-no-its-not-just-about-climate-change-109572
• Wu, T., A. Hu, F. Gao, J. Zhang, and G.A. Meehl, 2019: New insights into natural variability and anthropogenic forcing of global/regional climate evolution, npj Climate and Atmospheric Science, 2, https://doi.org/10.1038/s41612-019-0075-7
• Zhang, L., W. Han, K.B. Karnauskas, G.A. Meehl, A. Hu, N. Rosenbloom, and T. Shinoda, 2019: Indian Ocean warming trend reduces Pacific warming response to anthropogenic greenhouse gases: An interbasin thermostat mechanism. Geophs. Res. Lett., https://doi.org/10.1029/2019GL084088
• Meehl, G.A., D. Yang, J.M. Arblaster, S. Bates, N. Rosenbloom, R. Neale, J. Bacmeister, P. Lauritzen, F. Bryan, J. Small, J. Truesdale, C. Hannay, C. Shields, W.G. Strand, J. Dennis, and G. Danabasoglu, 2019: Effects of model resolution, physics, and coupling on Southern Hemisphere storm tracks in CESM1.3. Geophys. Res. Lett., https://doi.org/10.1029/2019GL084057

2018

• Yeager, S.G., G. Danabasoglu, N. Rosenbloom, W. Strand, S.C. Bates, G.A. Meehl, A. Karspeck, K. Lindsay, M.C. Long, H. Teng, and N. Lovenduski, 2018: Predicting near-term changes in the Earth System: A large ensemble of initialized decadal prediction simulations using the Community Earth System Model. Bull. Amer. Meteorol. Soc., 99, 1867—1886, Doi: 10.1175/BAMS-D-17-0098.1
• Meehl, G.A., C. Tebaldi, S. Tilmes, J.-F. Lamarque, S. Bates, A. Pendergrass, and D. Lombardozzi, 2018: Future heat waves and surface ozone. Env. Res. Lett., http://iopscience.iop.org/article/10.1088/1748-9326/aabcdc
• Li, Y., W. Han, A. Hu, and G.A. Meehl, 2018: Multidecadal changes of the upper Indian Ocean heat content during 1965-2015, J. Climate, https://doi.org/10.1175/JCLI-D-18-0116.1
• Meehl, G.A., C.T.Y. Chung, J.M. Arblaster, M.M. Holland, C.M. Bitz, 2018: Tropical decadal variability and the rate of Arctic sea ice retreat, Geophys. Res. Lett., Doi: 10.1029/2018GL079989
• Smith, D., G.A. Meehl and co-authors, 2018: Predicted chance that global warming will temporarily exceed 1.5°C, Geophys. Res. Lett., Doi: 10.1029/2018GL079362
• Han, W., D. Stammer, G.A. Meehl, A. Hu, F. Sienz, and L. Zhang, 2018: Multi-decadal trend and decadal variability of regional sea level over the Indian Ocean since the 1960s: Roles of climate modes and external forcing, Climate, 6, 0; Doi: 10.3390/cli6020000

2017

• Henley, B.J., G.A. Meehl, S.B. Power, C.K. Folland, A.D. King, J.N. Brown, D.J. Karoly, F. Delage, A.J.E. Gallant, M. Freund, and R. Neukom, 2017: Spatial and temporal agreement in climate model simulations of the Interdecadal Pacific Oscillation, Env. Res. Lett., 12, 044011
• Santer, B.D., J.C. Fyfe, G. Pallotta, G.M. Flato, G.A. Meehl, M.H. England, E. Hawkins, M.E. Mann, J.F. Painter, C. Bonfils, I. Cvijanovic, C. Mears, F.J. Wentz, S. Po-Chedley, Q. Fu, and C-Z. Zou, 2017: Causes of differences in model and satellite tropospheric warming rates. Nature Geoscience, Doi: 10.1038/ngeo2973
• Teng, H., G. Branstator, A. Karspeck, S. Yeager, and G.A. Meehl, 2017: Initialization shock in CCSM4 decadal prediction experiments, CLIVAR Exhanges, Doi: 10.22498/pages.25.1.41
• Hu, A., G.A. Meehl, D. Stammer, W. Han, W.G. Strand, 2017: The role of perturbing ocean initial condition on simulated regional sea level change, Water, 9(6), 401; Doi: 10.3390/w906040
• Meehl, G.A., H. van Loon, and Julie M. Arblaster, 2017: The role of the Southern Hemisphere semiannual oscillation in the development of a precursor to central and eastern Pacific Southern Oscillation warm events, Geophys. Res. Lett., 44, Doi: 10.1002/2017GL073832
• Han, W., G.A. Meehl, A. Hu, J. Zheng, J. Kenigson, J. Vialard, B. Rajagopalan, and M. Yanto, 2017: Decadal variability of the Indian and Pacific Walker Cells since the 1960s: Do they covary on decadal timescale? J. Climate, Doi: 10.1175/JCLI-D-16-0783.1
• DiNezio, P., C. Deser, A. Karspeck, S. Yeager, Y. Okumura, G. Danabasoglu, N. Rosenbloom, J. Caron, and G.A. Meehl, 2017: A two-year forecast for a 60-80% chance of La Nina in 2017-2018. Geophys. Res. Lett., Doi: 10.1002/2017GL074904

2016

• Eyring, V., S. Bony, G.A. Meehl, C. Senior, B. Stevens, R.J. Stouffer, and K.E. Taylor, 2016: Overview of the Coupled Model Intercomparison Project Phase 6 (CMIP6) experimental design and organization. Geosci. Model Dev., 9, 1937-1958, doi:10.5194/gmd-9-1937-2016.
• Fyfe, J.C., G.A. Meehl, M.H. England, M.E. Mann, B.D. Santer, G.M. Flato, E. Hawkins, N.P. Gillett, S.-P. Xie, Y. Kosaka, and N.C. Swart, 2016: Making sense of the early-2000s warming slowdown. Nature Climate Change, 6, 224-228, doi:10.1038/nclimate2938.
• Meehl, G.A., and R. Moss, 2016: Aspen Global Change Institute: 25 years of interdisciplinary global change science. Bull. Amer. Meteorol. Soc., DOI: http://dx.doi.org/10.1175/BAMS-D-15-00204.1.
• Meehl, G.A., A. Hu, and H. Teng, 2016: Initialized decadal prediction for transition to positive phase of the Interdecadal Pacific Oscillation. Nature Communications., 7, doi:10.1038/NCOMMS11718.
• Teng, H., G. Branstator, G.A. Meehl, and W.M. Washington, 2016: Projected intensification of subseasonal temperature variability and heat waves in the Great Plains. Geophys. Res. Lett., 43, 2165-2173, doi:10.1002/2015GL067574.
• Meehl, G.A., J.M. Arblaster, C. Bitz, C.T.Y. Chung, and H. Teng, 2016: Antarctic sea ice expansion between 2000-2014 driven by tropical Pacific decadal climate variability. Nature Geoscience, DOI: 10.1038/NGEO2751.
• Shields, C. A., J. T. Kiehl, and G. A. Meehl, 2016: Future changes in regional precipitation simulated by a half-degree coupled climate model: Sensitivity to horizontal resolution, J. Adv. Model. Earth Syst., 8, doi:10.1002/2015MS000584.
• Meehl, G.A., A. Hu, B.D. Santer, and S.-P. Xie, 2016: Contribution of the Interdecadal Pacific Oscillation to twentieth-century global surface temperature trends. Nature Climate Change, 6, DOI:10.1038/nclimate3107.
• Boer, G.J., D.M. Smith, C. Cassou, F. Doblas-Reyes, G. Danabasoglu, B. Kirtman, Y. Kushnir, M. Kimoto, G.A. Meehl, R. Msadek, W.A. Mueller, K. Taylor, F. Zwiers, M. Rixen, Y. Ruprich-Robert, and R. Eade, 2016: The decadal climate prediction project (DCPP) contribution to CMIP6. Geosci. Model Dev., 9, 1-27, doi:10.5194/gmd-9-1-2016.
• O'Neill, B.C., C. Tebaldi, D. van Vuuren, V. Eyring, P. Friedlingstein, G. Hurtt, R. Knutti, E. Kriegler, J.-F. Lamarque, J. Lowe, G.A. Meehl, R. Moss, K. Riahi, and B.M. Sanderson, 2016: The Scenario Model Intercomparison Project (ScenarioMIP) for CMIP6. Geosci. Model Dev., 9, 3461-3482, doi:10.5194/gmd-9-3461-2016.
• Eyring, V., P.J. Gleckler, C. Heinze, R.J. Stouffer, K.E. Taylor, V. Balaji, E. Guilyardi, S. Joussaume, S. Kindermann, B.N. Lawrence, G.A. Meehl, M. Righi, and D.N. Williams, 2016: Towards improved and more routine Earth system model evaluation in CMIP6, Earth System Dynamics, 7, 813-830, doi:10.5194/esd-7-813-2016.
• Purich, A., M.H. England, W.Cai, Y. Chikamoto, A. Timmermann, J.C. Fyfe, L. Frankcombe, G.A. Meehl, and J.M. Arblaster, 2016: Tropical Pacific SST drivers of recent Antarctic sea ice trends. J. Climate, 29, 8931-8948, DOI: http://dx.doi.org/10.1175/JCLI-D-16-0440.1
• Han, W., G.A. Meehl, D. Stammer, A. Hu, B. Hamlington, J. Kenigson, H. Palanisamy, and P. Thompson, 2016: Spatial patterns of sea level variability associated with natural internal climate modes. Surveys in Geophys., DOI 10.1007/s10712-016-9386-y.
• Meehl, G.A., C. Tebaldi, and D. Adams-Smith, 2016: U.S. daily temperature records past, present and future. Proc. Nat. Acad. Sci., doi: 10.1073/pnas.1606117113.

2015

• Hu, A., G.A. Meehl, W. Han, B. Otto-Bliesner, A. Abe-Ouchi, and N. Rosenbloom, 2015: Effects of the Bering Strait closure on AMOC and global climate under different background climates. Progress in Oceanography, 174-196, DOI:10.1016/j.pocean.2014.02.004.
• Taschetto, A.S., R.R. Rodrigues, G. A. Meehl, S. McGregor, and M. H. England, 2015: How sensitive are the Pacific-North Atlantic teleconnections to the position and intensity of El Niño-related warming. Clim. Dyn., DOI:10.1007/s00382-015-2679-x.
• Meehl, G.A., 2015: Decadal climate variability and the early-2000s hiatus. U.S. CLIVAR Variations, 13, 1-6.
• Meehl, G.A., J.M. Arblaster, and C.T.Y. Chung, 2015: Disappearance of the southeast U.S. "warming hole" with the late-1990s transition of the Interdecadal Pacific Oscillation. Geophys. Res. Lett., 42, 5564-5570, doi:10.1002/2015GL064586.
• Boer, G., G.A. Meehl, and D. Smith, 2015: Towards improving decadal climate predictions. Eos Transactions, 96, doi:10.1029/2015EO041555https://eos.org/, https://eos.org/meeting-reports/toward-improving-decadal-climate-predictions.
• Hu, A., S. Levis, G.A. Meehl, W. Han, W.M. Washington, K.W. Oleson, B.J. van Ruijven, M. He, and W.G. Strand , 2015: Impact of solar panels on global climate. Nature Climate Change, DOI: 10.1038/NCLIMATE2843.
• Meehl, G.A., H. Teng, N. Maher, and M.H. England, 2015: Effects of the Mt. Pinatubo eruption on decadal climate prediction skill. Geophys. Res. Lett., 42, 10,840-10,846, doi:10.1002/2015GL066608.

2014

• Meehl, G.A., and H. Teng, 2014: CMIP5 multi-model initialized decadal hindcasts for the mid-1970s shift and early-2000s hiatus and predictions for 2016-2035. Geophys. Res. Lett., 41, doi:10.1002/2014GL059256.
• Meehl, G.A., R. Moss, K.E. Taylor, V. Eyring, R.J. Stouffer, S. Bony, and B. Stevens, 2014: Climate model intercomparisons: Preparing for the next phase. Eos Trans., AGU, 95(9), 77.
• Sejas, S.A., M. Cai, A. Hu, G.A. Meehl, W.M. Washington, and P.C. Taylor, 2014: Individual feedback contributions to the seasonality of surface warming. J. Climate, 27, 5653-5669, doi: http://dx.doi.org/10.1175/JCLI-D-13-00658.1.
• Meehl, G.A., H. Teng and J.M. Arblaster, 2014: Climate model simulations of the observed early-2000s hiatus of global warming. Nature Climate Change, 4, 898-902, DOI: 10.1038/NCLIMATE2357.
• Thompson, D.M., J.E. Cole, G.T. Shen, A.W. Tudhope and G.A. Meehl, 2014: Early 20th century global warming linked to tropical Pacific wind strength. Nature Geoscience, DOI: 10.1038/ngeo2321.
• Meehl, G.A., and H. Teng, 2014: Regional precipitation simulations for the mid-1970s shift and early-2000s hiatus. Geophys. Res. Lett., 41, doi: 10.1002/2014GL061778.
• Meehl, G.A. and R. Moss, 2014: Twenty-five Years of Interdisciplinary Global Change Science, Eos, 95, 478, DOI: 10.1002/2014EO500007.
• van Loon, H., and G. A. Meehl (2014), Interactions between externally forced climate signals from sunspot peaks and the internally generated Pacific Decadal and North Atlantic Oscillations, Geophys. Res. Lett., 41, 161166, doi:10.1002/2013GL058670.
• England, M. H., S. McGregor, P. Spence, G. A. Meehl, A. Timmermann, W. Cai, A. Sen Gupta, M. J. McPhaden, A. Purich and A. Santoso, 2014: Recent intensification of wind-driven circulation in the Pacific and the ongoing warming hiatus, Nature Climate Change, 4, 222-227, doi: 10.1038/nclimate2106.
• Meehl, G. A., and H. Teng (2014), CMIP5 multi-model hindcasts for the mid-1970s shift and early 2000s hiatus and predictions for 2016-2035, Geophys. Res. Lett., 41, 17111716, doi:10.1002/2014GL059256.
• Meehl, Gerald A., and Coauthors, 2014: Decadal Climate Prediction: An Update from the Trenches. Bull. Amer. Meteor. Soc., 95, 243267. doi: http://dx.doi.org/10.1175/BAMS-D-12-00241.1
• Wuebbles, D., G.A. Meehl, K. Hayhoe, T.R. Karl, K. Kunkel, B. Santer, M. Wehner, B. Colle, E.M. Fischer, R. Fu, A. Goodman, E. Janssen, H. Lee, W. Li, L.N. Long, S. Olsen, A. Seth, J. Sheffield, and L. Sun, 2014: CMIP5 climate model analyses: Climate extremes in the United States, Bull. Amer. Meteorol. Soc., Bull. Amer. Meteor. Soc., 95, 571583. doi: http://dx.doi.org/10.1175/BAMS-D-12-00172.1.

2013

• Hu, A., G. A. Meehl, W. Han, J. Lu, and W. G. Strand (2013), Energy balance in a warm world without the ocean conveyor belt and sea ice, Geophys. Res. Lett., 40, 62426246, doi:10.1002/2013GL058123.
• Taylor, Patrick C., Ming Cai, Aixue Hu, Jerry Meehl, Warren Washington, Guang J. Zhang, 2013: A Decomposition of Feedback Contributions to Polar Warming Amplification. J. Climate, 26, 70237043. doi: http://dx.doi.org/10.1175/JCLI-D-12-00696.1
• Meehl, G.A., J.M. Arblaster and D.R. Marsh , 2013: Could a future "Grand Solar Minimum" like the Maunder minimum stop global warming? Geophys . Res. Letts.,40, 1789-1793, doi:10.1002/grl.50361
• Meehl G.A., A. Hu, J.M. Arblaster, J. Fasullo, K. Trenberth, 2013: Externally forced and internally generated decadal clmiate variability associated with the Interdecadal Pacific Oscillation, J. Climate, 26, 7298-7310, doi: http://dx.doi.org/10.1175/JCLI-D-12-00548.1
• Han, W., G. A. Meehl, A. Hu, M. A. Alexander, T. Yamagata, D. Yuan, M. Ishii, P. Pegion, J. Zheng, B. D. Hamlington, X. Quan, and R. R. Leben, 2013: Intensification of decadal and multi-decadal sea level variability in the western tropical Pacific during recent decades, Climate Dynamics, doi:10.1007/s00382-013-1951-1
• Meehl G.A., W.M. Washington, J.M. Arblaster, A. Hu, H. Teng, J.E. Kay, A. Gettelman, D.M. Lawrence, B.M. Sanderson, W.G. Strand, 2013: Climate change projections in CESM1(CAM5) compared to CCSM4, J. Climate, 26(17), 6287-6308
• Hu, A., G.A Meehl, W. Han, J. Yin, B. Wu, and M. Kimoto, 2013: Influence of continental ice retreat on future global climate, J. Climate, 26, 30873111. doi: http://dx.doi.org/10.1175/JCLI-D-12-00102.1 .
• Meehl, G.A., and H. Teng, 2013: Case studies for initialized decadal hindcasts and predictions for the Pacific region, Geophys. Res. Lett., 39, L22705, DOI: 10.1029/2012GL053423
• Goddard, L., A. Kumar, A. Solomon, D. Smith, C. Deser, G. Boer, B. Kirtman, P. Gonzalez, S. Mason, R. M.sadek, R. Sutton, E. Hawkins, T. Fricker, J. Carton, I. Fukumori, A. Greene, G. Hegerl, Y. Kushnir, M. Newman, C. Ferro, D. Stephenson, D. Vimont, T. Delworth, G.A. Meehl, T. Stockdale, R. Burgman, 2013: A verification framework for interannual-to-decadal predictions experiments Clim. Dyn., 40(1-2), 245-272, doi: 10.1007/s00382-012-1481-2

2012

• Meehl G.A. and J.M. Arblaster, 2012: Relating the strength of the tropospheric biennial oscillation (TBO) to the phase of the Interdecadal Pacific Oscillation (IPO), Geophys. Res. Lett., 39, L20716, doi:10.1029/2012GL053386.
• Meehl, G.A., J.M. Arblaster, G. Branstator, 2012: Understanding the U.S. east-west differential of heat extremes in terms of record temperatures and the warming hole, J Climate, 25, 6394-640
• Taylor, K.E., R.J. Stouffer, and G.A. Meehl, 2012: An Overview of CMIP5 and the Experiment Design. Bull. Amer. Meteorol. Soc., 93, 485-498, doi: 10.1175/BAMS-D-11-00094.1.
• Teng, H., W.M. Washington, G. Branstator, G.A. Meehl, and J.-F. Lamarque, 2012: Potential impacts of Asian carbon aerosols on future US warming. Geophys. Res. Lett., 39, L11703.
• Hu, A., G.A. Meehl, W. Han, A. Abe-Ouchi, C. Morrill, Y. Okazaki, and M.O. Chikamoto, 2012: The Pacific-Atlantic seesaw and the Bering Strait, Geophys. Res. Lett., 39, L03702, doi:10.1029/2011GL050567.
• Hu, A., G.A. Meehl, W. Han, A. Timmermann, B. Otto-Bliesner, Z. Liu, W.M. Washington, W. Large, A. Abe-Ouchi, M. Kimoto, K. Lambeck, B. Wu, 2012: The Bering Strait and glacial climate stability. Proc. Nat. Acad. Sci., 109, 6417-6422.
• van Loon, H. and G.A. Meehl, 2012: The Indian summer monsoon during peaks in the 11 year sunspot cycle. Geophys. Res. Lett., 39, L13701
• Lawrence, P.J., J.J. Feddema, G.B. Bonan, G.A. Meehl, B.C. O.Neill, K.W. Oleson, S. Levis, D.M. Lawrence, E. Kluzek, K. Lindsay, P.E. Thornton, 2012: Simulating the biogeochemical and biogeophysical impacts of transient land cover change and wood harvest in the Community Climate System Model (CCSM4) from 1850 to 2100. J. Climate, 25, 3071.3095.
• Sanderson, B.M., B. O.Neill, J.T. Kiehl, G.A. Meehl, R. Knutti, and W.M. Washington, 2011: The response of the climate system to very high greenhouse gas emission scenarios. Env. Res. Lett., 6 034005, doi:10.1088/1748-9326/6/3/034005.
• Meehl, G.A. A. Hu, C. Tebaldi, J.M. Arblaster, W.M. Washington, H. Teng, B. Sanderson, T. Ault, W.G. Strand and J.B. White III, 2012: Relative outcomes of climate change mitigation related to global temperature versus sea level rise, Nature Climate Change, 2, 576-580, doi:10.1038/nclimate1529
• Meehl, G.A., J.M. Arblaster, J. Caron, H. Annamalai, M. Jochum, A. Chakraborty, and R. Murtugudde, 2012: Monsoon regimes and processes in CCSM4. Part 1: The Asian-Australian monsoon. J. Climate,25, 2583-2608
• Cook, K.H., G.A. Meehl, and J.M. Arblaster, 2012: Monsoon regimes and processes in CCSM4. Part 2: The African and American monsoons. J. Climate, 25, 2609-2621.
• Branstator, G., H. Teng, G.A. Meehl, M. Kimoto, J.R. Knight, M. Latif, and A. Rosati, 2012: Systematic estimates of initial value decadal predictability for six AOGCMs J. Climate, 25, 1827-1846
• Teng, H., G. Branstator, and G.A. Meehl, 2012: Predictability of the Atlantic Overturning Circulation and associated surface patterns in two CCSM3 climate change ensemble experiments. J. Climate, 24, 6054-6076
• Stevenson, S., B. Fox-Kemper, M. Jochum, R. Neale, C. Deser and G.A. Meehl, 2012: Will there be a significant change to El Nino in the 21st century? J. Climate, 25, 2129-2145

2011

• Meehl, G.A., J.M. Arblaster, J.T. Fasullo, A. Hu and K.E. Trenberth, 2011: Model-based evidence of deep-ocean heat uptake during surface-temperature hiatus periods. Nature Climate Change, doi:10.1038/nclimate1229
• Santer, B. D., C. A. Mears, C. Doutriaux, P. M. Caldwell, P. J. Gleckler, T. M.L. Wigley, S. Solomon, N. Gillett, D. P. Ivanova, T. R. Karl, J. R. Lanzante, G. A. Meehl, P. A. Stott, K. E. Taylor, P. Thorne, M. F. Wehner, and F. J. Wentz, 2011: Separating Signal and Noise in Atmospheric Temperature Changes: The Importance of Timescale, J. Geophys. Res., 116, D22105, doi:10.1029/2011JD016263
• Morss, R., O. Wilhelmi, G.A. Meehl, and L. Dilling, 2011: Improving societal outcomes of extreme weather in a changing climate: An integrated perspective. Ann. Rev. of Environment and Resources, http://www.annualreviews.org/doi/abs/10.1146/annurev-environ-060809-100145
• Hu, A., G.A. Meehl, W. Han, and J. Yin, 2011: Effect of the potential melting of the Greenland Ice Sheet on the meridional overturning circulation and global climate in the future. Deep Sea Res. Part II, 58, doi: 10.1016/j.dsr2.2010.10.069, 1914-1926.
• Meehl, G. A., and J. M. Arblaster, 2011: Decadal variability of Asian-Australian monsoon-ENSO-TBO relationships. J. Climate, 24, 4925-4940, DOI: 10.1175/2011JCLI4015.1
• Lough, J.M., G.A. Meehl, and M.J. Salinger, 2011: Observed and projected changes in surface climate of the tropical Pacific. In: Vulnerability of Tropical Pacific Fisheries and Aquaculture to Climate Change (JD Bell, JE Johnson & AJ Hobday eds). Secretariat of the Pacific Community, Noumea, New Caledonia, pp. 49-99
Sanderson, B.M., B.C. O'Neill, J.T. Kiehl, G.A. Meehl, R. Knutti and W.M. Washington, 2011: The response of the climate system to very high greenhouse gas emission scenarios Environ. Res. Lett. 6 034005 doi: 10.1088/1748-9326/6/3/034005
• van Loon, H. and G.A. Meehl, 2011: The average influence of decadal solar forcing on the atmosphere in the South Pacific region, Geophys. Res. Lett., 38, L12804, doi:10.1029/2011GL047794
• Arblaster J.M., G.A. Meehl and D.J. Karoly, 2011: Future climate change in the Southern Hemisphere: Competing effects of ozone and greenhouse gases, Geophys. Res. Lett., 38, L02701, doi:10.1029/2010GL045384.
• Turner, A., K. Sperber, J. Slingo, G.A. Meehl, C.R. Mechoso, M. Kimoto, and A. Giannini, 2011: Modelling monsoons: Understanding and predicting current and future behaviour. In The Global Monsoon System: Research and Forecast (2nd Edition), eds. C.P. Chang, Y. Ding, N.-C. Lau, R.H. Johnson, B. Wang, and T. Yasunari, World Scientific Series on Asia-Pacific Weather and Climate, Vol. 5, World Scientific Publication Company: Hackensack, NJ, USA, ISBN:978-981-4343-40-4, 608pp.
• Solomon, A., L. Goddard, A. Kumar, J. Carton, C. Deser, I. Fukumori, A.M. Greene, G. Hegerl, B. Kirtman, Y. Kushnir, M. Newman, D. Smith, D. Vimont, T. Delworth, G.A. Meehl, and T. Stockdale, 2011: Distinguishing the roles of natural and anthropogenically forced decadal climate variability: Implications for prediction Bull. Amer. Meteorol. Soc., 92, 141-156.
• Mehta, V., G.A. Meehl, L. Goddard, J. Knight, A Kumar, M. Latif, T. Lee, A. Rosati, and D. Stammer, 2011: Decadal climate predictability and prediction: Where are we? Bull Amer. Meteorol. Soc., 141-156.
• Overpeck, J.T., G.A. Meehl, S. Bony, and D.R. Easterling, 2011: Climate data challenges in the 21st century, Science, 331, 700-702. [DOI:10.1126/science.1197869].

2010

• Shapiro, M., J. Shukla, G. Brunet, C. Nobre, M. Beland, R. Dole, K. Trenberth, R. Anthes, G. Asrar, L. Barrie, P. Bougeault, G. Brasseur, D. Burridge, A. Busalacchi, J. Caughey, D. Chen, J. Church, T. Enomoto, B. Hoskins, O. Hov, A. Laing, H. Le Treut, J. Marotzke, G. McBean, G. Meehl, M. Miller, B. Mills, J. Mitchell, M. Moncrieff, T. Nakazawa, H. Olafsson, T. Palmer, D. Parsons, D. Rogers, A. Simmons, A. Troccoli, Z. Toth, L. Uccellini, C. Velden, and J.M. Wallace, 2010: An earth-system prediction initiative for the twenty-first century. Bull. Amer. Meteorol. Soc., 91, 1377-1388.
• Ammann, C. M., W. M. Washington, G. A. Meehl, L. Buja, and H. Teng (2010), Climate engineering through artificial enhancement of natural forcings: Magnitudes and implied consequences, J. Geophys. Res., 115, D22109, doi:10.1029/2009JD012878.
• Gray, L. J., et al. (2010), SOLAR INFLUENCES ON CLIMATE, Rev. Geophys., 48, RG4001, doi:10.1029/2009RG000282
• Meehl, GA, A Hu, C Tebaldi, 2010: Decadal Prediction in the Pacific Region, J. Climate, 23, 2959-2973, doi: 10.1175/2010JCLI3296.1
• Han W, GA Meehl, B Rajagopalan, JT Fasullo, A Hu, J Lin, WG Large, J Wang, X-W Quan, LL Trenary, A Wallcraft, T Shinoda and S Yeager 2010: Patterns of Indian Ocean sea-level change in a warming climate, Nature Geosci., 3, 546-550, doi: 10.1038/ngeo901
• Moss RH, Edmonds JA, Hibbard KA, et al, 2010: The next generation of scenarios for climate change research and assessment , Nature, 463, 747-756
• Knutti, R., R. Furrer, C. Tebaldi, J. Cermak, G.A. Meehl, 2010: Challenges in combining projections from multiple climate models, J Climate, 23, 2739-2758, doi: 10.1175/2009JCLI3361.1
• Hu AX, GA Meehl, BL Otto-Bliesner, C Waelbroeck, W Han, M-F Loutre, K Lambeck, JX Mitrovica and N Rosenbloom, 2010: Influence of Bering Strait flow and North Atlantic circulation on glacial sea-level changes, Nature Geosci., 3, 118-121

2009

• Meehl G.A., C. Tebaldi, G. Walton, D. Easterling and L. McDaniel, 2009: Relative increase of record high maximum temperatures compared to record low minimum temperatures in the U.S., Geophys. Res. Letts., 36, L23701, doi:10.1029/2009GL040736
• Meehl G.A., J.M. Arblaster, K. Matthes, F. Sassi and H. van Loon, 2009: Amplifying the Pacific Climate System Response to a Small 11-Year Solar Cycle Forcing, Science, 325, 1114, DOI: 10.1126/science.1172872
• Meehl G.A. and co-authors, 2009: Decadal prediction, can it be skillful?, BAMS, 90, 1467-1485
• Hurrell, J., G.A. Meehl, D. Bader, T. Delworth, B. Kirtman, and B. Wielicki, 2009: A Unified Modeling Approach to Climate System Prediction, BAMS, 90, 1819-1832
• Meehl G.A. and J.M. Arblaster, 2009: A lagged warm event-like response to peaks in solar forcing in the Pacific region, J. Climate, 22, 3647-3660, DOI: 10.1175/2009JCLI2619.1
• Meehl, G.A., A. Hu, and B.D. Santer, 2009: The mid-1970s climate shift in the Pacific and the relative roles of forced versus inherent decadal variability J. Climate, 22, 780-792
• Washington W.M., R. Knutti, G.A. Meehl, H. Teng, C. Tebaldi, D. Lawrence, L. Buja, W.G. Strand, 2009: How much climate change can be avoided by mitigation?, Geophys. Res. Lett., 36, L08703, doi:10.1029/2008GL037074.
• Hu A. and G.A. Meehl, 2009: Effect of the Atlantic hurricanes on the oceanic meridional overturning circulation and heat transport, Geophys. Res. Letts., 36, L03702, doi:10.1029/2008GL036680
• Hu A., G.A. Meehl, W. Han, J. Yin, 2009: Transient response of the MOC and climate to potential melting of the Greenland Ice Sheet in the 21st century">, Geophys. Res. Lett., 36, L10707, doi:10.1029/2009GL037998
• Goddard, L., W. Baethgen, B. Kirtman and G.A. Meehl, 2009, The Urgent Need for Improved Climate Models and Predictions, EOS, 90, p343

2008

• van Loon H. and G.A. Meehl, 2008: The response in the Pacific to the sun's decadal peaks and contrasts to cold events in the Southern OscillationJ. Atmos. Solar-Terr. Phys., 70, 1046-1055
• Hu, A., B.L. Otto-Bliesner, G.A. Meehl, W. Han, C. Morrill, E.C. Brady and B. Briegleb, 2008: Response of Thermohaline Circulation to Freshwater Forcing under Present Day and LGM Conditions, J. Climate, 21, 2239-2258
• Liang X.-Z., K.E. Kunkel, G.A. Meehl, R.G. Jones, J.X.L. Wang, 2008: Regional climate models downscaling analysis of general circulation models present climate biases propagation into future change projections, Geophys. Res. Lett., 35, L08709, doi:10.1029/2007GL032849.
• Meehl G.A., J.M. Arblaster, G.W. Branstator and H. van Loon, 2008: A coupled air-sea response mechanism to solar forcing in the Pacific region, J. Climate, 21, 2883-2897
• Meehl G.A., J.M. Arblaster and W.D. Collins 2008: Effects of black carbon aerosols on the Indian monsoon, J Climate, 21, 2869-2882
• Knutti, R., M. R. Allen, P. Friedlingstein, J. M. Gregory, G. C. Hegerl, G. A. Meehl, M. Meinshausen, J. M. Murphy, G.-K. Plattner, S. C. B. Raper, T. F. Stocker, P. A. Stott, H. Teng and T. M. L Wigley, 2008: A review of uncertainties in global temperature projections over the twenty-first century J.Climate 21, 2651-2663
• Teng, H., W. M. Washington and G. A. Meehl, 2008: Interannual variations and future change of wintertime extratropical cyclone count over North America in CCSM3 Clim. Dyn., 30, 673-686

2007

• van Loon H., G.A. Meehl and D. Shea, 2007: Coupled air-sea response to solar forcing in the Pacific region during northern winter, J. Geophys. Res., 112, D02108, doi:10.1029/2006JD007378
• Meehl G.A. and H. Teng, 2007: Multi-model changes in El Niño teleconnections over North America in a future warmer climate, Clim. Dyn., 29, 779-790, DOI: 10.1007/s00382-007-0268-3
• Meehl G.A., C. Covey, T. Delworth, M. Latif, B. McAvaney, J.F.B. Mitchell, R.J. Stouffer and K.E. Taylor, 2007: THE WCRP CMIP3 Multimodel Dataset: A New Era in Climate Change Research, BAMS, 88, 1383-1394, DOI: 10.1175/BAMS-88-9-1383
• Meehl G.A., C. Tebaldi, H. Teng and T.C. Peterson, 2007: Current and future U.S. weather extremes and El Nino, Geophys. Res. Letts., 34, L20704, doi:10.1029/2007GL031027
• Meehl G.A., J.M. Arblaster and C. Tebaldi, 2007: Contributions of natural and anthropogenic forcing to changes in temperature extremes over the United States, Geophys. Res. Letts., 34, L19709, doi:10.1029/2007GL030948
• Hu A., G.A. Meehl, W. Han, 2007: Role of the Bering Strait in the thermohaline circulation and abrupt climate change, Geophys. Res. Lett., 34, L05704, doi:10.1029/2006GL028906
• Furrer R., S.R. Sain, D. Nychka, G.A. Meehl, 2007: Multivariate Bayesian analysis of atmosphere-ocean general circulation models, Environmental and ecological statistics, 14, 249-266
• Furrer R., R. Knutti, S. R. Sain, D. W. Nychka, G. A. Meehl, 2007: Spatial patterns of probabilistic temperature change projections from a multivariate Bayesian analysis, Geophys. Res. Lett., 34, L06711, doi:10.1029/2006GL027754
• Meehl, G.A. and A. Hu, 2007, Megadroughts in the Indian Monsoon Region and Southwest North America and a Mechanism for Associated Multidecadal Pacific Sea Surface Temperature Anomalies, J. Climate, 19, 1605-1623.
Santer B.D. et al. 2007: Identification of human-induced changes in atmospheric moisture content, PNAS, doi:10.1073/pnas.0702872104

2006

• Santer B.D. et al. 2006: Forced and unforced ocean temperature changes in Atlantic and Pacific tropical cyclogenesis regions, PNAS, doi:10.1073/pnas.0602861103
• Tebaldi, C., K. Hayhoe, J.M. Arblaster, G.A. Meehl, 2006: Going to the extremes; An intercomparison of model-simulated historical and futre changes in extreme events, Climatic Change, 79, 185-211
• Knutti, R., G.A. Meehl, M. Allen, D. Stainforth, 2006: Constraining climate sensitivity from the seasonal cycle in surface temperature, J. Climate, 19, 4224-4233
• Arblaster J.M. and G.A. Meehl, 2006: Contributions of external forcings to Southern Annular Mode trends, J. Climate, 19, 2896-2905*
• Teng H., G.A. Meehl and W.M. Washington, 2006: Twenty-first century Arctic climate change in the CCSM3 IPCC scenario simulations, Clim. Dyn., 26, DOI: 10.1007/s00382-005-0099-z
• Teng H., L.Buja, G.A. Meehl, 2006: Twenty-first-century climate change commitment from a multi-model ensemble Geophys. Res. Lett., 33, 10.1029/2005GL024766**
• Meehl, G.A., J.M. Arblaster, D.M. Lawrence, A. Seth, E.K. Schneider, B.P. Kirtman and D. Min, 2006: Monsoon regimes in the CCSM3 J. Climate, 19, 2482-2495*
• Meehl, G.A., W.M. Washington, B.D. Santer, W.D. Collins, J.M. Arblaster, A. Hu, D.M. Lawrence, H. Teng, L.E. Buja and W.G. Strand Jr, 2006: Climate change projections for the 21st century and climate change commitment in the CCSM3. J. Climate, 19, 2597-2616*
• Meehl, G.A., H. Teng, and G.W. Branstator, 2006: Future changes of El Nino in two global coupled climate models. Cli. Dyn., 581-609.
• Li T., Liu P,, X. Fu, B. Wang and G. A. Meehl. 2006: Spatiotemporal Structures and Mechanisms of the Tropospheric Biennial Oscillation in the Indo-Pacific Warm Ocean Regions. J. Climate, 19, 3070-3087.
Sun D.-Z., T. Zhang, C. Cover, S.A. Klein, W.D. Collins, J.J. Hack, J.T. Kiehl, G.A. Meehl, I.M. Held and M. Suarez, 2007: Radiative and Dynamical Feedbacks over the Equatorial Cold Tongue: Results from Nine Atmospheric GCMs, J. Climate, 19, 4059-4074
• Stott P.A., J.F.B. Mitchell, M.R. Allen, T.L. Delworth, J.M. Gregory, G.A. Meehl and B.D. Santer. 2006: Observational Constraints on Past Attributable Warming and Predictions of Future Global Warming. J. Climate, 19, 3055-3069.
• Han, W., G.A. Meehl and A. Hu, 2006: Interpretation of tropical thermocline cooling in the Indian and Pacific oceans during recent decades, GRL, 33, L23615, doi:10.1029/2006GL027982

2005

• Feddema J.J., K.W. Oleson, G.B. Bonan, L.O. Mearns, L.E. Buja, G.A. Meehl, and W.M. Washington, 2005: A comparison of a GCM response to historical anthropogenic land cover change and model sensitivity to uncertainty in present-day land cover representations Clim. Dyn., 25, doe:
• Feddema J.J., K.W. Oleson, G.B. Bonan, L.O. Mearns, L.E. Buja, G.A. Meehl, and W.M. Washington, 2005: The Importance of Land-Cover Change in Simulating Future Climates, Science, 310, 1674-1678, [DOI: 10.1126/science.1118160]
• Dai A., G.A. Meehl, W.M. Washington and W.G. Strand, 2005: Atlantic thermohaline circulation in a coupled general circulation model: Unforced variations versus forced changes J. Climate, 18, 3270-3293.*
• Hu, A., G. A. Meehl, 2005: Bering Strait throughflow and the thermohaline circulation, Geophys. Res. Lett., 32, L24610, doi:10.1029/2005GL024424.
• Hu, A. and G.A. Meehl, 2005: Reasons for a fresher northern North Atlantic in the late 20th Century, Geophys. Res. Lett., 32, L11701, doi:10.1029/2005GL022900**
• Hu, A., G.A. Meehl, and W. Han, 2004: Detecting thermohaline circulation changes from ocean properties. Geophys. Res. Lett., 31, L13204, doi:10.1029/2004GL020218.
• Meehl G.A., J.M. Arblaster, C. Tebaldi, 2005: Understanding future patterns of increased precipitation intensity in climate model simulations Geophys. Res. Lett., 32, L18719, doi:10.1029/2005GL023680**
• Liu, P, B. Wang, K.R. Sperber, T. Li and G.A. Meehl, 2005: MJO in the NCAR CAM2 with the Tiedtke Convective Scheme, J. Climate, 18, 3007-3020
• Meehl, G. A., C. Covey, B. McAvaney, M. Latif, and R. J. Stouffer, 2005: Overview of the Coupled Model Intercomparison Project. Bull. Amer. Meteorol. Soc., 86, 89-9.
• Meehl G.A., W.M. Washington, W.D. Collins, J.M. Arblaster, A. Hu, L.E. Buja, W.G. Strand and H. Teng, 2005: How much more global warming and sea level rise? Science, 307, 1769-1772.***
• Meehl G.A., C. Covey, B. McAvaney, M. Latif and R.J. Stouffer, 2005: Overview of the Coupled Model Intercomparison Project. Bull. Amer. Met. Soc., 86, 89-93.*

2004

• van Loon H., G.A. Meehl and J .M. Arblaster, 2004: A decadal solar effect in the tropics in July-August. J. Atmos. and Solar-Terrestrial Physics, 66, 1767-1778.
• Meehl, G.A., W.M. Washington, C.M. Ammann, J.M. Arblaster, T.M.L. Wigley and C. Tebaldi, 2004: Combinations of Natural and Anthropogenic Forcings in Twentieth-Century Climate. J. Climate, 17, 3721-3727.*
• Meehl, G.A. and C. Tebaldi, 2004: More Intense, More Frequent, and Longer Lasting Heat Waves in the 21st Century Science, 305, 994-997.***
• Meehl, G.A., C. Tebaldi and D. Nychka, 2004: Changes in frost days in simulations of twentyfirst century climate Climate Dynamics
• Hu, A.X., G.A. Meehl, W.Q. Han, 2004: Detecting thermohaline circulation changes from ocean properties in a coupled model Geophys. Res. Lett., 31, doi:10.1029/2004GL020218
**
• Dai A., W.M. Washington, G.A. Meehl, T.W. Bettge and W.G. Strand, 2004: The ACPI climate change simulations Climatic Change 62, 29-43.
• Meehl, G.A., W.M. Washington, J.M. Arblaster and A. Hu, 2004: Factors affecting climate sensitivity in global coupled models . J. Climate, 17, 1584-1596.*
• Santer B.D., M.F. Wehner, T.M.L. Wigley, R. Sausen, G.A. Meehl, K.E. Taylor, C. Ammann, J.M. Arblaster, W.M. Washington, J.S. Boyle and W. Bruggemann, 2004: Response to comments on "Contributions of anthropogenic and natural forcing to recent to recent tropopause height changes. Science , 301, 479-483.***

2003

• Santer B.D., M.F. Wehner, T.M.L. Wigley, R. Sausen, G.A. Meehl, K.E. Taylor, C. Ammann, J.M. Arblaster, W.M. Washington, J.S. Boyle and W. Bruggemann, 2003: Contributions of anthropogenic and natural forcing to recent to recent tropopause height changes. Science , 301, 479-483.***
• Meehl, G.A. and J.M. Arblaster, 2003: Mechanisms for projected future changes in south Asian monsoon precipitation. Climate Dynamics, 21, 659-675.
• Karoly D.J., K. Braganza, P.A Stott, J.M. Arblaster, G.A. Meehl, A.J. Broccoli, K.W. Dixon, 2003: Detection of a Human Influence on North American Climate. Science, 302, 1200-1203.***
• van Loon H., G.A. Meehl and R.F. Milliff, 2003: The Southern Oscillation in the Early 1990s Geophys. Res. Lett., 30, doi:10.1029/2002GL016307
**
• Ammann, C.M., G.A. Meehl, W.M. Washington and C.S. Zender, 2003: A monthly and latitudinally varying volcanic forcing dataset in simulations of 20th century climate. Geophys. Res. Lett., 30, doi:10.1029/2003GL016875RR
**
• Santer, B.D., T.M.L. Wigley, G.A. Meehl, M.F. Wehner, C. Mears, M. Schabel, F.J. Wentz, C. Ammann, J.M. Arblaster, T. Bettge, W.M. Washington, K.E. Taylor, J.S. Boyle, W. Bruggemann, C. Doutriaux, 2003: Influence of Satellite Data Uncertainties on the Detection of Externally Forced Climate Change. Science, 300, 1280-1284.***
• Meehl, G.A., J.M. Arblaster and J. Loschnigg, 2003: Coupled Ocean-Atmosphere Dynamical Processes in the Tropical Indian and Pacific Oceans and the TBO. J. Climate, 16, 2138-2158.*
• Loschnigg, J., G.A. Meehl, P.J. Webster, J.M. Arblaster, G.P. Compo, 2003: The Asian Monsoon, the Tropospheric Biennial Oscillation, and the Indian Ocean Zonal Mode in the NCAR CSM. J. Climate, 16, 1617-1642.*
• Meehl, G.A. W.M. Washington, T.M.L. Wigley, J.M. Arblaster and A. Dai, 2003: Solar and Greenhouse Gas Forcing and Climate Response in the Twentieth Century. J. Climate, 16, 426-444.*

2002

• Meehl, G.A., J.M. Arblaster, 2002: The Tropospheric Biennial Oscillation and Asian-Australian Monsoon Rainfall.J. Climate, 15, 722-744.*
• Meehl, G.A., J.M. Arblaster, 2002: Indian Monsoon GCM Sensitivity Experiments Testing Tropospheric Biennial Oscillation Transition Conditions.J. Climate, 15, 923-944.*
• Arblaster, J.M., G.A. Meehl and A.M. Moore, 2002: Interdecadal modulation of Australian rainfall. Climate Dynamics, 18, 519-531.
• Liu, P., G.A. Meehl and G. Wu, 2002: Multi-model trends in the Sahara induced by increasing CO2.Geophys. Res. Lett., 18, doi:10.1029/2002GL015923**

2001

• Meehl, G.A., J.M. Arblaster, 2001: The Tropospheric Biennial Oscillation and Indian Monsoon Rainfall. Geophys. Res. Lett., 28, 1731-1734.**
• Meehl, G.A., P.R. Gent, J.M. Arblaster, B.L. Otto-Bliesner, E.C. Brady and A. Craig, 2001: Factors that affect the amplitude of El Nino in global coupled models. Climate Dynamics, 17, 515-527.
• Dai, A., G.A. Meehl, W.M. Washington, T.M.L. Wigley and J.M. Arblaster, 2001: Ensemble Simulation of Twenty-First Century Climate Changes: Business As Usual versus CO2 Stabilization . Bull. Amer. Met. Soc., 82, 2377-2388.*

2000

• Meehl, G.A., W.D. Collins, B.A. Boville, J.T. Kiehl, T.M.L. Wigley, J.M. Arblaster, 2000: Response of the NCAR Climate System Model to Increased CO2 and the Role of Physical Processes. J. Climate., 13, 1879-1898.*
• Meehl, G.A., W.M. Washington, J.M. Arblaster, T.W. Bettge, and W.G. Strand Jr., 2000: Anthropogenic Forcing and Decadal Climate Variability in Sensitivity Experiments of Twentieth- and Twenty-First-Century Climate. J. Climate., 13, 3728-3744.*
• Meehl, G.A., J.M. Arblaster and W.G. Strand Jr., 2000: Sea-ice effects on climate model sensitivity and low frequency variability. Climate Dynamics, 16, 257-271.
• W.M. Washington, J.W. Weatherly, G.A. Meehl, A.J. Semtner Jr., T.W. Bettge, A.P. Craig, W.G. Strand Jr., J.M. Arblaster, V.B. Wayland, R. James, Y. Zhang, 2000: Parallel Climate Model (PCM) control and transient simulations. Climate Dynamics, 16, 755-774.

1998

• Meehl, G.A., J.W. Hurrell and H. van Loon, 1998: A modulation of the mechanism of the semiannual oscillation in the Southern HemisphereTellus,, 50, 442-450
• Meehl, G.A., J.M. Arblaster, 1998: The Asian-Australian Monsoon and El Nino-Southern Oscillation in the NCAR Climate System Model. J. Climate., 11, 1356-1385.*
• Meehl, G.A., J.M. Arblaster and W.G. Strand Jr., 1998: Global scale decadal climate variability. Geophys. Res. Lett., 25, 3983-3986.**