Blazing a path: Current progress and needs toward improving wildfire prediction
Albers, J., Malloy, K., Molina, M., Johnson, A.. (2026). Blazing a path: Current progress and needs toward improving wildfire prediction. , doi:https://doi.org/10.5065/8cyx-yw96
| Title | Blazing a path: Current progress and needs toward improving wildfire prediction |
|---|---|
| Genre | Program Newsletter |
| Author(s) | J. Albers, K. Malloy, Maria Molina, Alyssa Johnson |
| Abstract | This issue of US CLIVAR Variations examines wildfire prediction on weather-to-seasonal timescales, framing wildfire as a complex, multi-stage hazard—ignition, spread, containment, and secondary effects like smoke and debris flows—each with distinct predictability and uncertainty. Four articles anchor the collection: Iglesias frames wildfire as a multiscale Earth system challenge spanning pre-event to post-event stages; Coffield et al. call for better detection and nowcasting as fire regimes shift; Breeden and Worsnop assess subseasonal-to-seasonal fire danger prediction and the drivers shaping forecast skill; and Kramer and McClure address the research-operations interface, urging stakeholder co-production. Together they chart the community's progress while highlighting the challenges that remain in modeling predictability and making forecasts actionable for a more wildfire-ready society. |
| Publication Title | |
| Publication Date | Aug 19, 2026 |
| Publisher's Version of Record | https://doi.org/10.5065/8cyx-yw96 |
| OpenSky Citable URL | https://n2t.net/ark:/85065/d7gm8cvg |
| OpenSky Listing | View on OpenSky |
| CGD Affiliations | ESP |