High-resolution modelling identifies the Bering Strait's role in amplified Arctic warming
Xu, G., Rencurrel, M. C., Chang, P., Liu, X., Danabasoglu, G., et al. (2024). High-resolution modelling identifies the Bering Strait's role in amplified Arctic warming. Nature Climate Change, doi:https://doi.org/10.1038/s41558-024-02008-z
| Title | High-resolution modelling identifies the Bering Strait's role in amplified Arctic warming |
|---|---|
| Genre | Article |
| Author(s) | G. Xu, M. C. Rencurrel, P. Chang, X. Liu, Gokhan Danabasoglu, Stephen Yeager, M. Steele, W. Weijer, Y. Li, Nan Rosenbloom, Frederic Castruccio, Q. Zhang |
| Abstract | The Arctic region has warmed nearly four times faster than the global average since 1979, with far-reaching global implications. However, model projections of Arctic warming rates are uncertain and one key component is the ocean heat transport (OHT) into the Arctic Ocean. Here we use high-resolution historical and future climate simulations to show that the OHT through the Bering Strait exerts a more substantial influence on Arctic warming than previously recognized. The high-resolution ensemble exhibits a 20% larger warming rate for 2006-2100 compared with standard low-resolution model simulations. The enhanced Arctic warming in the high-resolution simulations is primarily attributable to an increased OHT through the narrow and shallow Bering Strait that is nearly four times larger than in the low-resolution simulations. Consequently, the projected rate of Arctic warming by low-resolution climate simulations is likely to be underestimated due to the model resolution being insufficient to capture future changes in Bering Strait OHT. |
| Publication Title | Nature Climate Change |
| Publication Date | Jun 8, 2024 |
| Publisher's Version of Record | https://doi.org/10.1038/s41558-024-02008-z |
| OpenSky Citable URL | https://n2t.org/ark:/85065/d7j67n4g |
| OpenSky Listing | View on OpenSky |
| CGD Affiliations | OS, CCR |