Confronting Earth System Model Trends with Observations: A US CLIVAR Workshop Report
Johnson, A., Patterson, M., Shaw, T., Simpson, I. R., Ceppi, P., et al. (2025). Confronting Earth System Model Trends with Observations: A US CLIVAR Workshop Report. , doi:https://doi.org/10.5065/s2mj-0k65
| Title | Confronting Earth System Model Trends with Observations: A US CLIVAR Workshop Report |
|---|---|
| Genre | Workshop Report |
| Author(s) | Alyssa Johnson, Michael Patterson, T. Shaw, Isla R. Simpson, P. Ceppi, A. Clement, E. Fischer, K. Grise, Angeline Pendergrass, J. Screen, R. C. J. Wills, T. Woollings, Keri Dawn Solner |
| Abstract | The US CLIVAR workshop "Confronting Earth System Model Trends with Observations" (Boulder, CO, March 2024) brought together experts to assess the ability of Earth System Models (ESMs) to represent historical climate trends, crucial for future projections. The workshop focused on: 1) evaluating model performance in capturing recent trends, identifying successes, shortcomings, and knowledge gaps; and 2) identifying research challenges and directions. Discussions highlighted advancements in understanding climate change, while emphasizing the need to improve models and observational records. Key topics included the impact of external forcing and internal variability on observed trends, and the potential for a "signal-to-noise" problem in ESMs. Recommendations included improved observational networks and communication between modelers and observers. The workshop concluded with recommendations for a "state-of-the-trends" resource for the community. |
| Publication Title | |
| Publication Date | Apr 1, 2025 |
| Publisher's Version of Record | https://doi.org/10.5065/s2mj-0k65 |
| OpenSky Citable URL | https://n2t.net/ark:/85065/d71j9g79 |
| OpenSky Listing | View on OpenSky |
| CGD Affiliations | CAS, CGDVISITORS |