Recent Publications


Cheng, L., Abraham, J., Trenberth, K.E., Fasullo, J.T., et al. 2022: Ocean Warming Continues through 2021 despite La Niña Conditions. Adv. Atmos. Sci. 39, 373–385,

Bevacqua, E., G. Zappa, F. Lehner, J. Zscheischler, 2022: Precipitation trends determine future occurrences of compound hot-dry events, Nature Climate Change, doi:10.1038/s41558-022-01309-5

Collow, A. B., Shields, C. A., Guan, B., Kim, S., Lora, J. M., McClenny, E. E., Nardi, K., Payne, A., Reid, K., Shearer, E. J., Tome, R., Wille, J.D., Ramos, A. M., Gorodetskaya, I. V., Leung, L. R., O’Brien, T. A., Ralph, F. M., Rutz, J. Ullirich, P. A., Wehner, M., 2022: An Overview of ARTMIP’s Tier 2 Reanalysis Intercomparison: Uncertainty in the Detection of Atmospheric Rivers and their Associated Precipitation, Journal of Geophysical Research - Atmospheres,

Davis, N.A., Richter, J.H., Glanville, A.A. et al., 2022: Limited surface impacts of the January 2021 sudden stratospheric warming. Nat Commun 13,

Fasullo, J. T. , J.F. Lamarque, C. Hannay, N. Rosenbloom, S. Tilmes, P. DeRepentigny, A. Jahn, and C. Deser, 2022:  Spurious Late Historical-Era Warming in CESM2 Driven by Prescribed Biomass Burning Emissions.  Geophys. Res. Lett., DOI: 10.1029/2021GL097420.

Liu, C., Alexander, J., J. H. Richter, J. Bacmeister, 2022: Using TRMM Latent Heat as a Source to Estimate Convection Induced Gravity Wave Momentum Flux in the Lower Stratosphere, JGR Atmos,

Meehl, G.A., H. Teng, D. Smith, S. Yeager, W. Merryfield, F. Doblas-Reyes, and A.A. Glanville,     2022:  The effects of bias, drift, and trends in calculating anomalies for evaluating skill of seasonal-to-decadal initialized climate predictions, Climate Dynamics,

Molina, M. J., A. Hu, and G. A. Meehl, 2022: Response of global SSTs and ENSO to the Atlantic and Pacific meridional overturning circulations. Journal of Climate, 35(1), pp.49-72,

Scaife, A. A., Baldwin, M. P., Butler, A. H., Charlton-Perez, A. J., Domeisen, D. I. V., Garfinkel, C. I., Hardiman, S. C., Haynes, P., Karpechko, A. Y., Lim, E.-P., Noguchi, S., Perlwitz, J., Polvani, L., Richter, J. H., Scinocca, J., Sigmond, M., Shepherd, T. G., Son, S.-W., and Thompson, D. W. J., 2022:  Long-range prediction and the stratosphere, Atmos. Chem. Phys., 22, 2601–2623,

Stevenson, S., S. Coats, D. Touma, J. Cole, F. Lehner, J. Fasullo, B. Otto-Bliesner, 2022: Twenty-first century hydroclimate: A continually changing baseline, with more frequent extremes, Proceedings of the National Academy of Science, doi: 10.1073/pnas.2108124119


Anstey J.A., Simpson I.R., Richter J.H., et al. 2021: Teleconnections of the Quasi-Biennial Oscillation in a multi-model ensemble of QBO-resolving models, Q.J.R. Meteorol. Soc. 2021, 1–25.

Couldrey, M. P., J. M. Gregory, F. Boeira Dias, P. Dobrohotoff, C. M. Domingues, O. Garuba, S. M. Griffies, H. Haak, A. Hu, M. Ishii, J. Jungclaus, A. Köhl, S. J. Marsland, S. Ojha, O. A. Saenko, A. Savita, A. Shao, D. Stammer, T. Suzuki, A. Todd & L. Zanna, 2021: What causes the spread of model projections of dynamical sea level change in response to greenhouse gas forcing?, Climate Dynamics, 56, 155-187, doi: 10.1007/s00382-020-05471-4

Daniels, W. C., J. M Russell1, C. Morrill, W. M. Longo, A. E. Giblin, P. Holland-Stergar, J. M. Welker, X. Wen, A. Hu, Y. Huang, 2021: Lacustrine leaf wax isotopes reveal strong regional climate feedbacks in Beringia since the last ice age, Quaternary Science Reviews, 269, 107130.

Duan, J., Y. Li, F. Wang, A. Hu, W. Han, L. Zhang, P. Lin, N. Rosenbloom, and G. A. Meehl, 2021: Rapid Sea-Level Rise in the Southern-Hemisphere Subtropical Oceans, J. Climate, 34, 9401-9423.

Fasullo J. T., N. Rosenbloom, R. R. Buchholz, G. Danabasoglu, D. M. Lawrence, and J.-F. Lamarque, 2021: Coupled Climate Responses to Recent Australian Wildfire and COVID-19 Emissions Anomalies Estimated in CESM2. Geophys. Res. Lett., DOI: 10.1029/2021GL093841

Gao, F., T. Wu*, J. Zhang, A. Hu, G.A. Meehl, 2021: Shortened duration of warming slowdown with elevated greenhouse gas emissions, Journal of Meteorological Research, 35, 225-237, doi: 10.1007/s13351-020-0134-3

Hu, A., G. A. Meehl, N. Rosenbloom, M. J. Molina, W. G. Strand, 2021: The influence of variability in meridional overturning on global ocean circulation, J. Climate, 34, 7697-7716

Kato, S., N. Loeb, J. T. Fasullo, K.E. Trenberth, P. Lauritzen, D. Rose, D. Rutan, M. Satoh, 2021: Regional energy and water budget of a precipitating atmosphere over ocean, J. Climate,

Kim, H., S. M. Kang, K. Takahashi, A. Donohoe, and Pendergrass, A. G., 2021: Mechanisms of tropical precipitation biases in climate models, Climate Dynamics, 56, 1, 17-27.

Lehner F. and S. Coats, 2021: Does regional hydroclimate change scale linearly with global warming?, Geophysical Research Letters, doi:10.1029/2021GL095127

Li, X., W. Cai, G.A. Meehl, and co-authors, 2021: Tropical teleconnection impacts on Antarctic climate changes, Nature Reviews Earth and Environment,

Medeiros, B., Amy C. Clement, James J. Benedict, and Bosong Zhang, 2021: Investigating the impact of cloud radiative feedbacks on tropical precipitation extremes. npj Climate and Atmospheric Science, doi: 10.1038/s41612-021-00174-x

Meehl, G.A., J.H. Richter, et al., 2021: Initialized Earth system prediction from subseasonal to decadal timescales, Nature Reviews Earth and Environment,

Meehl, G.A., H. Teng, A. Capotondi, and A. Hu, 2021: The role of interannual ENSO events in decadal timescale transitions of the Interdecadal Pacific Oscillation, Climate Dynamics, doi: 10.1007/s00382-021-05784-y

Molina, M. J., D. J. Gagne, and A. F. Prein, 2021: A benchmark to test generalization capabilities of deep learning methods to classify severe convective storms in a changing climate. Earth and Space Science, 8(9), p.e2020EA001490.

O’Brien, Travis Allen and Wehner, Michael F and Payne, Ashley E. and Shields, Christine A and Rutz, Jonathan J. and Leung, L. Ruby and Ralph, F. Martin and Marquardt Collow, Allison B. and Guan, Bin and Lora, Juan Manuel and et al., 2021: Increases in Future AR Count and Size: Overview of the ARTMIP Tier 2 CMIP5/6 Experiment, JGR-Atmospheres,

Power, S., G.A. Meehl, and co-authors, 2021: A review of decadal climate variability in the tropical Pacific: Characteristics, causes, predictability and prospects, Science, 374, DOI: 10.1126/science.aay9165

Prabhat, Kashinath, K., Mudigonda, M., Kim, S., Kapp-Schwoerer, L., Graubner, A., Karaismailoglu, E., von Kleist, L., Kurth, T., Greiner, A., Mahesh, A., Yang, K., Lewis, C., Chen, J., Lou, A., Chandran, S., Toms, B., Chapman, W., Dagon, K., Shields, C. A., O'Brien, T., Wehner, M., and Collins, W. , 2021: ClimateNet: an expert-labelled open dataset and deep learning architecture for enabling high-precision analyses of extreme weather, Geosci. Model Dev., 14, 107-124,

Reed, K. A., Silvers, L. G., Wing, A. A., Hu, I.-K., & Medeiros, B. , 2021: Using radiative convective equilibrium to explore clouds and climate in the Community Atmosphere Model. Journal of Advances in Modeling Earth Systems, 13, e2021MS002539.

Richter, J. H., Pegion, K., Sun, L., Kim, H., Caron, J. M., Glanville, A., LaJoie, E., Yeager, S., Kim, W. M., Tawfik, A., & Collins, D., 2020: Subseasonal Prediction with and without a Well-Represented Stratosphere in CESM1, Weather and Forecasting, 35(6), 2589-2602,

Saurral. R., G.A. Meehl, and co-authors, 2021: A dataset for intercomparing the transient behavior of dynamical model-based subseasonal to decadal climate predictions. ournal of Advances in Modeling Earth Systems, 13, e2021MS002570.

Si, D., D. Jiang, A. Hu, X. Lang, 2021: Variations in northeast Asian summer precipitation driven by the Atlantic multidecadal oscillation, International Journal of Climatology, 41, 1682-1695, doi:10.1002/joc.6912

Tebaldi, C., G.A. Meehl, N. Rosenbloom, and co-authors, 2021: Climate model projections from the Scenario Model Intercomparison Project (ScenarioMIP) of CMIP6, Earth Sys. Dyn., 12, 253–293,

Yang D., J.M. Arblaster, G.A. Meehl, M.H. England, 2021: The role of coupled feedbacks in the decadal variability of the Southern Hemisphere eddy-driven jet, JGR-Atmospheres,

Zhang, L., W. Han, G. A. Meehl, A. Hu, N. Rosenbloom, T. Shinoda, M. J. McPhaden, 2021: Diverse impacts of Indian Ocean Dipole on El Niño-Southern Oscillation, J. Climate, 34, 9057-9070.