OpenSky Publications
CGD OpenSky Publications
There are 5583 publications affiliated with CGD.
Select a year, sub-unit, genre, and/or author name to view peer-reviewed publications involving authors from CGD. You can browse the full list of publications and search for specific ones in OpenSky, the open-access repository of scholarly works developed and managed by NSF NCAR Library.
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Kim, J., Cho, E., Chandrasekar, V., Cifelli, R., Johnson, L., et al. (2025). A regional assessment of the operational National Water Model in the San Francisco Bay area for the 2018–2019 water year. Journal of Hydrology, doi:https://doi.org/10.1016/j.jhydrol.2025.133362 This study presents a preliminary assessment of the National Water Model (NWM) operational short-range streamflow forecasts in the San Francisco Bay area, California. Hourly streamflow forecasts with lead times up to 18 h were assessed usin... CGD Affiliations: TSS Publication Genre: Article View on OpenSky |
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2025 U.S. CLIVAR Summit Report Leung, L. R., Simpson, I. R., Gille, S., Amrhein, D., Messié, M., et al. (2025). 2025 U.S. CLIVAR Summit Report. , doi:https://doi.org/10.5065/g1bj-hk45 Bringing together members of the scientific steering committee and its three implementation panels, agency managers, and invited speakers to review progress, identify opportunities, and develop strategies to advance US CLIVAR goals. CGD Affiliations: CAS, OS, CGDAO, ESP Publication Genre: Workshop Report View on OpenSky |
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Salazar, A., Medeiros, B., Zhu, J., Tziperman, E.. (2025). Investigating the effects of a subtropical stratocumulus cloud breakup in warm climates using cloud-locking experiments. Journal of Climate, doi:https://doi.org/10.1175/JCLI-D-24-0371.1 In the warm, equable climate of the Eocene, constraints on CO 2 levels and low-latitude temperatures have generally precluded climate models from recreating key features of the climate, especially the above-freezing winter temperatures in ... CGD Affiliations: CAS, PPC Publication Genre: Article View on OpenSky |
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The unstable East Asian Summer Monsoon - ENSO relationship over the past 700 years Luo, J., Hu, J., Zhu, F., Liang, R., Zhou, Z.. (2025). The unstable East Asian Summer Monsoon - ENSO relationship over the past 700 years. Global and Planetary Change, doi:https://doi.org/10.1016/j.gloplacha.2025.104842 The El Niño-Southern Oscillation (ENSO) is an important modulator of the East Asian Summer Monsoon (EASM), but their teleconnection has been unstable during the instrumental era. Due to the short duration of instrumental records, we utilize... CGD Affiliations: PPC Publication Genre: Article View on OpenSky |
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Proceedings of the 2025 Improving Scientific Software Conference Fitzgerald, K., Sobhani, N., Vanderwende, B., Arabas, S., Bai, Z., et al. (2025). Proceedings of the 2025 Improving Scientific Software Conference. NCAR Technical Notes, doi:https://doi.org/10.5065/4w2k-ay60 The Software Engineering Assembly (SEA) is a loosely structured group of software engineers and scientists who write scientific software, mostly but not only at NCAR and mostly but not only in the field of atmospheric sciences. The mission ... CGD Affiliations: TSS Publication Genre: Technical Report View on OpenSky |
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Human emissions drive recent trends in North Pacific climate variations Klavans, J., DiNezio, P. N., Clement, A. C., Deser, C., Shanahan, T. M., et al. (2025). Human emissions drive recent trends in North Pacific climate variations. Nature, doi:https://doi.org/10.1038/s41586-025-09368-2 CGD Affiliations: CAS Publication Genre: Article View on OpenSky |
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Investigating the state dependence of cloud feedback using a suite of perturbed parameter ensembles Zhu, J., Otto-Bliesner, B., Brady, E. C., Eidhammer, T., Gettelman, A., et al. (2025). Investigating the state dependence of cloud feedback using a suite of perturbed parameter ensembles. Journal of Climate, doi:https://doi.org/10.1175/JCLI-D-24-0686.1 The state dependence of cloud feedback—its variation with the mean state climate—has been found in many paleoclimate and contemporary climate simulations. Previous results have shown inconsistencies in the sign, magnitude, and underlying m... CGD Affiliations: PPC, CGDAO, CAS Publication Genre: Article View on OpenSky |
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Decomposing cloud radiative feedbacks by cloud-top phase Wall, C., Paynter, D., Qin, Y., Debolskiy, M., Duffy, M., et al. (2025). Decomposing cloud radiative feedbacks by cloud-top phase. Journal of Climate, doi:https://doi.org/10.1175/JCLI-D-24-0538.1 Changes in cloud scattering properties and emissivity that arise from atmospheric warming cause substantial radiative feedbacks in model projections of anthropogenic climate change, and the relative importance of the underlying mechanisms ... CGD Affiliations: CAS Publication Genre: Article View on OpenSky |
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Why idealized models are more important than ever in Earth system science Reed, K. A., Medeiros, B., Jablonowski, C., Simpson, I. R., Voigt, A., et al. (2025). Why idealized models are more important than ever in Earth system science. AGU Advances, doi:https://doi.org/10.1029/2025AV001716 Simulating the Earth system is crucial for studying Earth's climate and how it changes. Modeling approaches that simplify the Earth system while retaining key characteristics are important tools to advance understanding. The simplicity and ... CGD Affiliations: CAS Publication Genre: Article View on OpenSky |
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Baek, S. H., Lora, J. M., Skinner, C. B., Fu, M., Zhu, J.. (2025). Atmospheric and oceanic energy transport during North Atlantic freshening events: Influences of moisture transport and hydrologic cycle feedbacks. Climate Dynamics, doi:https://doi.org/10.1007/s00382-025-07761-1 Analogs of present-day rapid ice melt can be found in episodic discharges of icebergs that occurred during glacial periods called Heinrich events. This introduces excess meltwater into the North Atlantic and weakens the Atlantic thermohalin... CGD Affiliations: PPC Publication Genre: Article View on OpenSky |
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Subtropical marine cloud brightening suppresses the El Niño-Southern Oscillation Xing, C., Stevenson, S., Fasullo, J. T., Harrison, C. S., Chen, C., et al. (2025). Subtropical marine cloud brightening suppresses the El Niño-Southern Oscillation. Earth's Future, doi:https://doi.org/10.1029/2025EF006522 Stratospheric aerosol injection (SAI) and marine cloud brightening (MCB) are two proposed methods of compensating for greenhouse gas‐induced warming by reflecting incoming solar radiation. However, their effects on the El Niño–Southern Osci... CGD Affiliations: CAS Publication Genre: Article View on OpenSky |
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Jacobs, A., Bacmeister, J., Bitz, C., Roy, P.. (2025). Identifying Model Biases in the Arctic Boundary Layer: Insights From Comparing the Community Atmosphere Model to the MOSAiC Field Campaign. , doi:https://doi.org/10.5065/t3sk-6v46 The Arctic is warming faster than the rest of the globe and this trend is expected to continue going forward. Therefore, it is imperative to study the weather patterns of the Arctic. One important component of the Arctic system is the Arcti... CGD Affiliations: AMP Publication Genre: Manuscript View on OpenSky |
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Nigro, E., Macarewich, S., Zhu, J., Chamberlain, P.. (2025). Controls on Western U.S. Interior Water Cycling Over the Holocene: Investigating Water Isotope Trends in iCESM and Ferricrete Proxy Data. , doi:https://doi.org/10.5065/vgvh-s059 Understanding regional water cycle trends is crucial for water resources management in the drought-prone western U.S., but predicting future precipitation changes remains a challenge. The Holocene (~11.7 ka to present) provides a case study... CGD Affiliations: PPC Publication Genre: Manuscript View on OpenSky |
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Sensitivity Tests of the P3 Microphysical Scheme: Modifying Ice Fall Speeds in CM1 Dengate, J., Takeishi, A., Rosky, E.. (2025). Sensitivity Tests of the P3 Microphysical Scheme: Modifying Ice Fall Speeds in CM1. , doi:https://doi.org/10.5065/fppm-1g21 Microphysical schemes within atmospheric models quantify the properties and dynamics of cloud systems, and the parametrization of these schemes heavily affect the output of these models. The Predicted Particle Properties (P3) scheme is a re... CGD Affiliations: AMP Publication Genre: Manuscript View on OpenSky |
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Effects of Yukon River Floods on Community Subsistence Martinez, J., Black, K., DuVivier, A. K.. (2025). Effects of Yukon River Floods on Community Subsistence. , doi:https://doi.org/10.5065/r4gn-vc48 In May of 2009, an ice jam caused a flood in central Alaska. Local member interviews from Project Jukebox noted how the flood rapidly changed the landscapes of Tanana and Fort Yukon. Moose and fish populations had decreased over time, and m... CGD Affiliations: PPC Publication Genre: Manuscript View on OpenSky |
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The Effect of Upper Ocean Freshwater on the Rapid Intensification of Hurricane Lee Laws, K., Gonzalez, A., Yu, L., Chen, Y., Neale, R.. (2025). The Effect of Upper Ocean Freshwater on the Rapid Intensification of Hurricane Lee. , doi:https://doi.org/10.5065/q16v-6x64 Accurate predictions for tropical cyclones (TCs) are crucial for mitigating their negative impacts. This is especially true when storms undergo rapid intensification (RI) over the open ocean, where the upper layers can become stably stratif... CGD Affiliations: AMP Publication Genre: Manuscript View on OpenSky |
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Do Models Mis-Represent Evaporative Regimes in Arid and Semi-Arid Regions? Zhu, L., Simpson, I. R.. (2025). Do Models Mis-Represent Evaporative Regimes in Arid and Semi-Arid Regions?. , doi:https://doi.org/10.5065/kmpe-rw70 Observed atmospheric humidity trends since 1980 disagree with global climate models in arid and semi-arid regions of the world (Simpson et al., 2024). Specifically, model simulations depict an increase in humidity, which has not been observ... CGD Affiliations: CAS Publication Genre: Manuscript View on OpenSky |
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Cruz-Perez, A., Li, H.. (2025). Impact of Central and Eastern Atlantic Niño on SST and precipitation patterns in reanalysis and Earth System Models. , doi:https://doi.org/10.5065/4ebw-0v18 Differentiating between the two recently identified types of Atlantic Niño (AN) – Central (CAN) and Eastern (EAN) Atlantic Niño – which have distinct patterns and impact on the tropics, is essential to understand the sources of biases in Ea... CGD Affiliations: ESP Publication Genre: Manuscript View on OpenSky |
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Khandwala, I., Bailey, D. A., Li, L., Jahn, A.. (2025). Contributions to the Accumulation of Microplastics in the Arctic Ocean: a Regional Analysis of the Barents Sea. , doi:https://doi.org/10.5065/bz5t-0z33 The Arctic Ocean may be acting as a significant accumulation region for microplastics (MPs), those measuring less than 5 mm in diameter. Previous studies have found that the concentration of MPs in Arctic sea ice is significantly higher tha... CGD Affiliations: PPC, CGDVISITORS Publication Genre: Manuscript View on OpenSky |
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One‐at‐a‐time parameter perturbation ensemble of the Community Land Model, version 5.1 Kennedy, D., Dagon, K., Lawrence, D. M., Fisher, R. A., Sanderson, B. M., et al. (2025). One‐at‐a‐time parameter perturbation ensemble of the Community Land Model, version 5.1. Journal of Advances in Modeling Earth Systems, doi:https://doi.org/10.1029/2024MS004715 Comprehensive land models are subject to significant parametric uncertainty, which can be hard to quantify due to the large number of parameters and high model computational costs. We constructed a large parameter perturbation ensemble (PPE... CGD Affiliations: CAS, ESP, TSS, AMP Publication Genre: Article View on OpenSky |
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Seasonality of Pacific Decadal Oscillation prediction skill Meeker, E. D., Maroon, E. A., Deppenmeier, A., Thompson, L., Vimont, D. J., et al. (2025). Seasonality of Pacific Decadal Oscillation prediction skill. Geophysical Research Letters, doi:https://doi.org/10.1029/2025GL116122 We investigate coupled climate model initialized predictions of the Pacific Decadal Oscillation (PDO) prediction skill in the Community Earth System Model (CESM) Seasonal to Multi Year Large Ensemble (SMYLE). The PDO is predictable up to a ... CGD Affiliations: ESP Publication Genre: Article View on OpenSky |
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The Detection and Attribution Model Intercomparison Project (DAMIP v2.0) contribution to CMIP7 Gillett, N. P., Simpson, I. R., Hegerl, G., Knutti, R., Mitchell, D., et al. (2025). The Detection and Attribution Model Intercomparison Project (DAMIP v2.0) contribution to CMIP7. Geoscientific Model Development, doi:https://doi.org/10.5194/gmd-18-4399-2025 The first version of the Detection and Attribution Model Intercomparison Project (DAMIP v1.0) coordinated key simulations exploring the role of individual forcings in past, current and future climate as part of the Coupled Model Intercompar... CGD Affiliations: CAS Publication Genre: Article View on OpenSky |
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Theoretical estimates of light transmittance at the MOSAiC Central Observatory Perovich, D., Light, B., Smith, M. M., Webster, M., Holland, M. M., et al. (2025). Theoretical estimates of light transmittance at the MOSAiC Central Observatory. Elem Sci Anth, doi:https://doi.org/10.1525/elementa.2024.00076 Light transmission through a sea ice cover has strong implications for the heat content of the upper ocean, the magnitude of bottom and lateral ice melt, and primary productivity in the ocean. Light transmittance in the vicinity of the Mult... CGD Affiliations: PPC, CGDAO Publication Genre: Article View on OpenSky |
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Doensen, O., Messmer, M., Kim, W. M., Raible, C. C.. (2025). Characterization of the mean and extreme Mediterranean cyclones and their variability during the period 1500 BCE to 1850 CE. Climate of the Past, doi:https://doi.org/10.5194/cp-21-1305-2025 Extratropical cyclones are important meteorological phenomena in the Mediterranean and are essential for local water supplies, yet they also pose significant hazards for the region as a result of extreme precipitation or wind events. Althou... CGD Affiliations: CGDVISITORS Publication Genre: Article View on OpenSky |
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Emulating grid-based forest carbon dynamics using machine learning: An LPJ-GUESS v4.1.1 application Natel, C., Belda, D. M., Anthoni, P., Haß, N., Rabin, S., et al. (2025). Emulating grid-based forest carbon dynamics using machine learning: An LPJ-GUESS v4.1.1 application. Geoscientific Model Development, doi:https://doi.org/10.5194/gmd-18-4317-2025 The assessment of forest-based climate change mitigation strategies relies on computationally intensive scenario analyses, particularly when dynamic vegetation models are coupled with socioeconomic models in multi-model frameworks. In this ... CGD Affiliations: TSS Publication Genre: Article View on OpenSky |
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Frazer, M., Bailey, A., Nusbaumer, J., Hu, J., Niezgoda, K., et al. (2025). CLUBB reduces low‐cloud dependency on shallow convective mixing in the community atmosphere model: Insight from stable water isotopes. Journal of Geophysical Research: Atmospheres, doi:https://doi.org/10.1029/2024JD042053 Modeling experiments and field campaigns have evaluated shallow convective mixing as a potential constraint on the low‐cloud climate feedback, which is critical for establishing climate sensitivity. Yet the apparent relationship between lo... CGD Affiliations: AMP Publication Genre: Article View on OpenSky |
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Ngo, D., Diao, M., Patnaude, R. J., Woods, S., Diskin, G.. (2025). Aerosol-cloud interactions in cirrus clouds based on global-scale airborne observations and machine learning models. Atmospheric Chemistry and Physics, doi:https://doi.org/10.5194/acp-25-7007-2025 Cirrus cloud formation and evolution are subject to the influences of thermodynamic and dynamic conditions and aerosols. This study developed near global-scale in situ aircraft observational datasets based on 12 field campaigns that spanned... CGD Affiliations: CAS Publication Genre: Article View on OpenSky |
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Fine root and soil carbon stocks are positively related in grasslands but not in forests Malhotra, A., Moore, J. A. M., Weintraub-Leff, S., Georgiou, K., Berhe, A. A., et al. (2025). Fine root and soil carbon stocks are positively related in grasslands but not in forests. Communications Earth & Environment, doi:https://doi.org/10.1038/s43247-025-02486-9 Increasing fine root carbon (FRC) inputs into soils has been proposed as a solution to increasing soil organic carbon (SOC). However, FRC inputs can also enhance SOC loss through priming. Here, we tested the broad-scale relationships betwe... CGD Affiliations: TSS Publication Genre: Article View on OpenSky |
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Early and widespread emergence of regional warming is robust to observational and model uncertainty Shaw, J., Lenssen, N.. (2025). Early and widespread emergence of regional warming is robust to observational and model uncertainty. Environmental Research Letters, doi:https://doi.org/10.1088/1748-9326/ade458 The ability to distinguish observed climate change from naturally arising climate variability is one of the most fundamental findings in climate science. Climate change emergence is a key statistic used to quantify the impact of human activ... CGD Affiliations: CAS Publication Genre: Article View on OpenSky |
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Dvorak, M., Armour, K. C., Feng, R., Cooper, V. T., Zhu, J., et al. (2025). Mid-Pliocene climate forcing, sea surface temperature patterns, and implications for modern-day climate sensitivity. Journal of Climate, doi:https://doi.org/10.1175/JCLI-D-24-0410.1 Characterized by similar-to-today CO 2 levels (∼400 ppm) and surface temperatures approximately 3°–4°C warmer than the preindustrial, the mid-Pliocene warm period (mPWP) has often been used as an analog for modern CO 2 -driven climate chan... CGD Affiliations: PPC Publication Genre: Article View on OpenSky |
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Local and remote moisture sources both increase late twenty-first century Arctic precipitation Leister, S. D., Kay, J. E., Hannay, C. E.. (2025). Local and remote moisture sources both increase late twenty-first century Arctic precipitation. Journal of Climate, doi:https://doi.org/10.1175/JCLI-D-24-0359.1 Arctic precipitation increases in a warmer world as more moisture is available to condense. These increases in precipitation and moisture result from both local surface evaporation and remote transport. Despite ongoing efforts, the relative... CGD Affiliations: AMP Publication Genre: Article View on OpenSky |
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North Pacific ocean-atmosphere responses to Holocene and future warming drive Southwest US drought Todd, V. L., Shanahan, T. M., DiNezio, P. N., Klavans, J., Fawcett, P., et al. (2025). North Pacific ocean-atmosphere responses to Holocene and future warming drive Southwest US drought. Nature Geoscience, doi:https://doi.org/10.1038/s41561-025-01726-z The Southwest United States is experiencing severe and persistent drought, although uncertainties regarding the causes limit our ability to predict changes in water availability. The severity of the current drought has been attributed to a ... CGD Affiliations: PPC Publication Genre: Article View on OpenSky |
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Nissen, C., Clow, G. L., Lovenduski, N. S., Turner, K. E., Carranza, M. M., et al. (2025). The imprint of Southern Ocean storms on modeled surface chlorophyll, their drivers and satellite biases. Global Biogeochemical Cycles, doi:https://doi.org/10.1029/2025GB008550 Southern Ocean (SO) phytoplankton chlorophyll is highly variable on sub‐seasonal time scales. Although the SO is the windiest ocean basin globally, it is not conclusively understood how storms impact SO phytoplankton dynamics. Much of our e... CGD Affiliations: OS Publication Genre: Article View on OpenSky |
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A weakened AMOC could cause Southern Ocean temperature and sea‐ice change on multidecadal timescales Diamond, R., Sime, L. C., Schroeder, D., Jackson, L. C., Holland, P. R., et al. (2025). A weakened AMOC could cause Southern Ocean temperature and sea‐ice change on multidecadal timescales. Journal of Geophysical Research: Oceans, doi:https://doi.org/10.1029/2024JC022027 We present the first CMIP6‐era multi‐model intercomparison of the Southern Ocean (SO) temperature and sea‐ice response to substantial Atlantic meridional overturning circulation (AMOC) weakening. Results are based on analysis of the North ... CGD Affiliations: OS, ESP Publication Genre: Article View on OpenSky |
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On using AI‐based large‐sample emulators for land/hydrology model calibration and regionalization Tang, G., Wood, A., Swenson, S.. (2025). On using AI‐based large‐sample emulators for land/hydrology model calibration and regionalization. Water Resources Research, doi:https://doi.org/10.1029/2024WR039525 AI‐based model emulators have emerged as a pragmatic strategy for calibrating Earth System models or their components (e.g., land, atmosphere, ocean), circumventing the previously insurmountable hurdle of the process‐heavy models' computati... CGD Affiliations: TSS Publication Genre: Article View on OpenSky |
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Weathers, M., Rounce, D. R., Fasullo, J. T., Maussion, F.. (2025). Evaluating the role of internal climate variability and bias adjustment methods on decadal glacier projections. Earth's Future, doi:https://doi.org/10.1029/2024EF005624 Glacier mass loss is one of the main contributors to sea‐level rise and poses challenges for future water resources. Refining glacier projections and sources of uncertainty thus supports climate adaptation and mitigation. Here we explicitl... CGD Affiliations: CAS Publication Genre: Article View on OpenSky |
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Rocci, K. S., Pierson, D., Jevon, F. V., Polussa, A., Oliverio, A. M., et al. (2025). Integrating microbial community data into an ecosystem‐scale model to predict litter decomposition in the face of climate change. Global Change Biology, doi:https://doi.org/10.1111/gcb.70352 Litter decomposition is an important ecosystem process and global carbon flux that has been shown to be controlled by climate, litter quality, and microbial communities. Process‐based ecosystem models are used to predict responses of litter... CGD Affiliations: TSS Publication Genre: Article View on OpenSky |
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Recent southwestern US drought exacerbated by anthropogenic aerosols and tropical ocean warming Kuo, Y., Lehner, F., Simpson, I. R., Deser, C., Phillips, A., et al. (2025). Recent southwestern US drought exacerbated by anthropogenic aerosols and tropical ocean warming. Nature Geoscience, doi:https://doi.org/10.1038/s41561-025-01728-x The southwestern United States is currently in a multi-decade drought that has developed since a precipitation maximum in the 1980s. While anthropogenic warming has made the drought more severe, it is the decline in winter–spring precipitat... CGD Affiliations: CGDAO, CAS, CCR Publication Genre: Article View on OpenSky |
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Hu, A., Richter, I., Okumura, Y., Burls, N., Keenlyside, N., et al. (2025). Unraveling the complexity of Global Climate Dynamics: Interactions among El Niño–Southern Oscillation, meridional overturning circulation, and tropical basins across different timescales. Ocean-Land-Atmosphere Research, doi:https://doi.org/10.34133/olar.0096 Tropical basin interactions and the climatic linkages between mid-to-high latitudes and the tropics are active research areas. These interactions include the influence of El Niño–Southern Oscillation (ENSO) on the tropical Indian and Atlant... CGD Affiliations: ESP Publication Genre: Article View on OpenSky |
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Yu, J., Krumhardt, K., Moore, J. K., Letscher, R. T., Wang, S., et al. (2025). Simulating marine ecosystem dynamics and biogeochemical cycling with multiple plankton functional types. Journal of Advances in Modeling Earth Systems, doi:https://doi.org/10.1029/2024MS004521 Current representations of marine ecosystems in Earth System Models are greatly simplified, neglecting key interactions between dynamic food webs, biogeochemistry, and climate change. We use the Marine Biogeochemistry Library code base wit... CGD Affiliations: OS, CGDAO Publication Genre: Article View on OpenSky |
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Earth, wind, and fire: Are Boulder’s extreme downslope winds changing? Meehl, G. A., Shields, C. A., Myers, B., Larson, M., Durran, D., et al. (2025). Earth, wind, and fire: Are Boulder’s extreme downslope winds changing?. Bulletin of the American Meteorological Society, doi:https://doi.org/10.1175/BAMS-D-24-0091.1 A Denver newspaper in 2016 reported that a new Colorado all-time record peak wind gust of 148 mph was recorded on 18 February 2016, on Monarch Pass in the Colorado Rockies near 11 000 ft above sea level. The article stated that this broke ... CGD Affiliations: ESP Publication Genre: Article View on OpenSky |
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Tian, Y., Zhang, Y.. (2025). Factors controlling precipitation onset and maintenance: Inferences from large eddy simulations of two afternoon deep convective regimes over Amazon. Geophysical Research Letters, doi:https://doi.org/10.1029/2024GL113920 To investigate the environmental factors controlling the onset and maintenance of afternoon precipitation over tropical rainforests, two contrasting cases are created for large eddy simulations (LES) using GoAmazon observations: one feature... CGD Affiliations: AMP Publication Genre: Article View on OpenSky |
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Doane‐Solomon, R., Woollings, T., Simpson, I. R.. (2025). Dynamic contributions to recent observed wintertime precipitation trends in Mediterranean‐type climate regions. Geophysical Research Letters, doi:https://doi.org/10.1029/2024GL114258 Many Mediterranean‐type climates (MCs) have experienced wintertime drying trends since 1979. Using a dynamical adjustment method, we separate the effects of circulation‐induced drying trends from other residual trends. Our analysis reveals ... CGD Affiliations: CAS Publication Genre: Article View on OpenSky |
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Exposing process‐level biases in a global cloud permitting model with ARM observations Bogenschutz, P. A., Zhang, Y., Zheng, X., Tian, Y., Zhang, M., et al. (2025). Exposing process‐level biases in a global cloud permitting model with ARM observations. Journal of Geophysical Research: Atmospheres, doi:https://doi.org/10.1029/2024JD043059 The emergence of global convective‐permitting models (GCPMs) represents a significant advancement in climate modeling, offering improved representation of deep convection and complex precipitation patterns. In this study, we evaluate the pe... CGD Affiliations: AMP Publication Genre: Article View on OpenSky |
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Impact of seasonality on climate outcomes for mid latitude marine cloud brightening Emme, E., Chen, C., Horowitz, H. M.. (2025). Impact of seasonality on climate outcomes for mid latitude marine cloud brightening. Geophysical Research Letters, doi:https://doi.org/10.1029/2025GL115359 Most previous studies on marine cloud brightening (MCB) have focused on deployment over the subtropical stratocumulus cloud decks which persistently result in non‐uniform cooling and disruption of the El Niño Southern Oscillation (ENSO). A ... CGD Affiliations: AMP Publication Genre: Article View on OpenSky |
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Pedatella, N. M., Liu, H., Liu, H., Herrington, A. R., McInerney, J.. (2025). Impact of increasing greenhouse gases on the ionosphere and thermosphere response to a may 2024‐like geomagnetic superstorm. Geophysical Research Letters, doi:https://doi.org/10.1029/2025GL116445 The Community Earth System Model (CESM) Whole Atmosphere Community Climate Model with thermosphere‐ionosphere eXtension (WACCM‐X) is used to investigate how the ionosphere‐thermosphere response to a May 2024‐like geomagnetic storm changes w... CGD Affiliations: AMP Publication Genre: Article View on OpenSky |
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Role of elevation feedbacks and ice sheet-climate interactions on future Greenland ice sheet melt Feenstra, T., Vizcaino, M., Wouters, B., Petrini, M., Sellevold, R., et al. (2025). Role of elevation feedbacks and ice sheet-climate interactions on future Greenland ice sheet melt. The Cryosphere, doi:https://doi.org/10.5194/tc-19-2289-2025 The Greenland ice sheet (GrIS) stores freshwater equal to more than 7 m of potential sea level rise (SLR) and strongly interacts with the Arctic, North Atlantic and global climate. Over the last few decades, the ice sheet has been losing ma... CGD Affiliations: PPC Publication Genre: Article View on OpenSky |
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Schreck, J. S., Sha, Y., Chapman, W., Kimpara, D., Berner, J., et al. (2025). Community Research Earth Digital Intelligence Twin: a scalable framework for AI-driven Earth System Modeling. npj Climate and Atmospheric Science, doi:https://doi.org/10.1038/s41612-025-01125-6 Recent advancements in artificial intelligence (AI) numerical weather prediction (NWP) have transformed atmospheric modeling. AI NWP models outperform state-of-the-art conventional NWP models like the European Center for Medium Range Weathe... CGD Affiliations: AMP Publication Genre: Article View on OpenSky |
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Characteristics of ice nucleating particles from the long‐range transport of Saharan dust Patnaude, R. J., McCluskey, C. S., Roberts, G. C., DeMott, P. J., Hill, T. C. J., et al. (2025). Characteristics of ice nucleating particles from the long‐range transport of Saharan dust. Geophysical Research Letters, doi:https://doi.org/10.1029/2024GL113365 Transported mineral dust in a Saharan air layer (SAL) contains active ice‐nucleating particles (INPs) that may be transported across the Atlantic Ocean and subsequently seed clouds in the Caribbean and the Americas. During an aircraft campa... CGD Affiliations: CAS Publication Genre: Article View on OpenSky |
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Biogeochemical versus biogeophysical temperature effects of historical land-use change in CMIP6 Amali, A. A., Schwingshackl, C., Ito, A., Barbu, A., Delire, C., et al. (2025). Biogeochemical versus biogeophysical temperature effects of historical land-use change in CMIP6. Earth System Dynamics, doi:https://doi.org/10.5194/esd-16-803-2025 Anthropogenic land-use change (LUC) substantially impacts climate dynamics, primarily through modifications in the surface biogeophysical (BGP) and biogeochemical (BGC) fluxes, which alter the exchange of energy, water, and carbon with the ... CGD Affiliations: TSS Publication Genre: Article View on OpenSky |
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Strengthened influence of Atlantic Niño on ENSO in a warming climate Zhang, L., Wang, C., Han, W., Karnauskas, K. B., McPhaden, M. J., et al. (2025). Strengthened influence of Atlantic Niño on ENSO in a warming climate. npj Climate and Atmospheric Science, doi:https://doi.org/10.1038/s41612-025-01105-w Atlantic Niño can influence ENSO by modulating the Pacific Walker circulation. This interbasin connection is dominated by central Atlantic Niño (CAN) events, which began to emerge around 2000. Our analysis of observational data and climate ... CGD Affiliations: ESP Publication Genre: Article View on OpenSky |
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Knoben, W. J. M., Raman, A., Gründemann, G. J., Kumar, M., Pietroniro, A., et al. (2025). Technical note: How many models do we need to simulate hydrologic processes across large geographical domains?. Hydrology and Earth System Sciences, doi:https://doi.org/10.5194/hess-29-2361-2025 Robust large-domain predictions of water availability and threats require models that work well across different basins in the model domain. It is currently common to express a model's accuracy through aggregated efficiency scores such as t... CGD Affiliations: TSS Publication Genre: Article View on OpenSky |
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Model seasonal and proxy spatial biases revealed by assimilated mid-Holocene seasonal temperatures Hao, S., ZHANG, X., Duan, Y., Gowan, E. J., Zhu, J., et al. (2025). Model seasonal and proxy spatial biases revealed by assimilated mid-Holocene seasonal temperatures. Science Bulletin, doi:https://doi.org/10.1016/j.scib.2025.03.039 Proxy-based reconstructions and climate model simulations of Holocene global annual mean temperatures exhibit divergent trends, leading to the well-known “Holocene temperature conundrum (HTC)”. This discrepancy is most pronounced in the mid... CGD Affiliations: PPC Publication Genre: Article View on OpenSky |
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Kim, W. M., Simpson, I. R., Terray, L., Collazo, S.. (2025). The unprecedented late-summer 2023 heatwave in Southeastern South America: Attribution and future projection of similar events. Weather and Climate Extremes, doi:https://doi.org/10.1016/j.wace.2025.100772 In March 2023, southeastern South America (SESA) experienced a severe heatwave with its maximum intensity exceeding four standard deviations from the climatological mean. The timing of the occurrence was also unusual, as it occurred in the ... CGD Affiliations: CGDVISITORS, CAS Publication Genre: Article View on OpenSky |
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Strong 2023–2024 El Niño generated by ocean dynamics Peng, Q., Xie, S., Miyamoto, A., Deser, C., Zhang, P., et al. (2025). Strong 2023–2024 El Niño generated by ocean dynamics. Nature Geoscience, doi:https://doi.org/10.1038/s41561-025-01700-9 Globally, 2023 was the hottest year on record and saw the development of a strong El Niño with widespread impacts. This El Niño event was unusual for its strong oceanic warming yet muted Southern Oscillation and wind anomalies over the trop... CGD Affiliations: CAS Publication Genre: Article View on OpenSky |
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Warner, J. C., Sherwood, C. R., Hegermiller, C. A., Defne, Z., Zambon, J., et al. (2025). Numerical simulation of sound‐side barrier‐island inundation and breaching during Hurricane Dorian (2019). Journal of Geophysical Research: Earth Surface, doi:https://doi.org/10.1029/2025JF008309 Hurricane‐induced morphological changes and associated community hazards along sandy, barrier‐island coastlines have been studied primarily from the perspective of ocean‐side attack by storm‐driven ocean surge and large waves. Thus, our und... CGD Affiliations: OS Publication Genre: Article View on OpenSky |
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Fewless, K., Wilhelmi, O., Tye, M.. (2025). Resilient and sustainable water resources management in the United States: The role of water‐use data and interagency knowledge exchange. JAWRA Journal of the American Water Resources Association, doi:https://doi.org/10.1111/1752-1688.70027 The United States SECURE Water Act states that a study of water use is critical for assessing impacts on water and ecological resources and forecasting whether or not available surface and groundwater supplies will meet future needs. The Un... CGD Affiliations: ESP Publication Genre: Article View on OpenSky |
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Toward improving representation of the Atlantic Meridional Overturning Circulation in climate models Jackson, L. C., Chassignet, E. P., Danabasoglu, G., Treguier, A., Zhang, R.. (2025). Toward improving representation of the Atlantic Meridional Overturning Circulation in climate models. Bulletin of the American Meteorological Society, doi:https://doi.org/10.1175/BAMS-D-25-0078.1 CGD Affiliations: OS Publication Genre: Article View on OpenSky |
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Feng, Z., Tan, M. L., Juneng, L., Tye, M., Xia, L., et al. (2025). Effects of solar radiation modification on precipitation extremes in Southeast Asia: Insights from the GeoMIP G6 experiments. Advances in Climate Change Research, doi:https://doi.org/10.1016/j.accre.2025.04.009 Solar Radiation Modification (SRM) has been proposed to reduce global temperatures by reflecting more solar radiation into space, but its effects on precipitation extremes across Southeast Asia remain uncertain. This study evaluates the imp... CGD Affiliations: ESP Publication Genre: Article View on OpenSky |
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Matthes, H., Damseaux, A., Westermann, S., Beer, C., Boone, A., et al. (2025). Advances in permafrost representation: Biophysical processes in Earth System Models and the role of offline models. Permafrost and Periglacial Processes, doi:https://doi.org/10.1002/ppp.2269 Permafrost is undergoing rapid changes due to climate warming, potentially exposing a vast reservoir of carbon to be released to the atmosphere, causing a positive feedback cycle. Despite the importance of this feedback, its specifics remai... CGD Affiliations: TSS Publication Genre: Article View on OpenSky |
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Record high temperatures in the ocean in 2024 Cheng, L., Abraham, J., Trenberth, K. E., Reagan, J., Zhang, H., et al. (2025). Record high temperatures in the ocean in 2024. Advances in Atmospheric Sciences, doi:https://doi.org/10.1007/s00376-025-4541-3 Heating in the ocean has continued in 2024 in response to increased greenhouse gas concentrations in the atmosphere, despite the transition from an El Niño to neutral conditions. In 2024, both global sea surface temperature (SST) and upper ... CGD Affiliations: CGDAO, CAS Publication Genre: Article View on OpenSky |
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Flash drought timing and winter wheat productivity in the southern Great Plains of the United States Fellman, B. J., Basara, J., Christian, J., Tye, M.. (2025). Flash drought timing and winter wheat productivity in the southern Great Plains of the United States. Journal of Applied Meteorology and Climatology, doi:https://doi.org/10.1175/JAMC-D-24-0144.1 Flash droughts are highly impactful, subseasonal to seasonal events that pose a severe risk to agricultural production. Within the United States, these rapidly intensifying droughts have the potential to cause tens of billions of dollars of... CGD Affiliations: ESP Publication Genre: Article View on OpenSky |
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Diagnosing regional sea level change over the altimeter era Karnauskas, K. B., Nerem, R. S., Fasullo, J. T., Bellas‐Manley, A., Thompson, P., et al. (2025). Diagnosing regional sea level change over the altimeter era. Journal of Geophysical Research: Oceans, doi:https://doi.org/10.1029/2024JC022100 Since 1993, satellite altimeters have been mapping sea level changes globally, revealing both the global mean rate and detailed patterns of regional variations. The global mean rate is well studied, closely linked to global energy and water... CGD Affiliations: CAS Publication Genre: Article View on OpenSky |
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Pan-Pacific low-frequency modes of sea level and climate variability Little, C. M., Yeager, S., Fasullo, J. T., Karnauskas, K. B., Nerem, R. S., et al. (2025). Pan-Pacific low-frequency modes of sea level and climate variability. Science Advances, doi:https://doi.org/10.1126/sciadv.adw3661 Tide gauges provide a long observational record that can inform the nature of satellite-era basin-scale sea level trends. However, common signals must be extracted from geographically sparse records. Here, by applying low-frequency componen... CGD Affiliations: ESP, CAS Publication Genre: Article View on OpenSky |
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Advances in paleoclimate data assimilation Tierney, J. E., Judd, E. J., Osman, M. B., King, J., Truax, O. J., et al. (2025). Advances in paleoclimate data assimilation. Annual Review of Earth and Planetary Sciences, doi:https://doi.org/10.1146/annurev-earth-032320-064209 Reconstructions of past climates in both time and space provide important insight into the range and rate of change within the climate system. However, producing a coherent global picture of past climates is difficult because indicators of ... CGD Affiliations: OS Publication Genre: Article View on OpenSky |
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Glacier preservation doubled by limiting warming to 1.5°C versus 2.7°C Zekollari, H., Schuster, L., Maussion, F., Hock, R., Marzeion, B., et al. (2025). Glacier preservation doubled by limiting warming to 1.5°C versus 2.7°C. Science, doi:https://doi.org/10.1126/science.adu4675 Glaciers adapt slowly to changing climatic conditions, with long-term implications for sea-level rise and water supply. Using eight glacier models, we simulated global glacier evolution over multicentennial timescales, allowing glaciers to ... CGD Affiliations: PPC, ESP Publication Genre: Article View on OpenSky |
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Arctic atmospheric rivers in a changing climate and the impacts on sea ice Thaker, R., Vavrus, S. J., Shields, C. A., DuVivier, A. K., Maclennan, M., et al. (2025). Arctic atmospheric rivers in a changing climate and the impacts on sea ice. Journal of Geophysical Research: Atmospheres, doi:https://doi.org/10.1029/2024JD042521 Atmospheric rivers (ARs) transport heat and moisture from lower latitudes to the Arctic, contributing to sea ice loss. As climate warming and sea ice decline continue, understanding how Arctic ARs evolve is essential. While studies suggest ... CGD Affiliations: ESP, PPC Publication Genre: Article View on OpenSky |
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Disentangling regional drivers of top Antarctic snowfall days with a convolutional neural network Baiman, R., Winters, A. C., Mayer, K., Reiher, C. A.. (2025). Disentangling regional drivers of top Antarctic snowfall days with a convolutional neural network. Geophysical Research Letters, doi:https://doi.org/10.1029/2025GL115254 Snowfall is the primary contributor to Antarctic surface mass balance. Identifying regional‐scale mechanisms that drive heavy snowfall provides context for changes in Antarctic surface mass balance in a warmer climate. We compare drivers of... CGD Affiliations: ESP Publication Genre: Article View on OpenSky |
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Cheng, Y., Zhao, L., Chakraborty, T., Oleson, K. W., Demuzere, M., et al. (2025). U-Surf: a global 1 km spatially continuous urban surface property dataset for kilometer-scale urban-resolving Earth system modeling. Earth System Science Data, doi:https://doi.org/10.5194/essd-17-2147-2025 High-resolution urban climate modeling has faced substantial challenges due to the absence of a globally consistent, spatially continuous, and accurate dataset to represent the spatial heterogeneity of urban surfaces and their biophysical p... CGD Affiliations: TSS Publication Genre: Article View on OpenSky |
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The evaluation of hydroclimatic variables over Nordic Fennoscandia using WRF‐CTSM Mužić, I., Hodnebrog, Ø., Yilmaz, Y. A., Berntsen, T. K., Lawrence, D. M., et al. (2025). The evaluation of hydroclimatic variables over Nordic Fennoscandia using WRF‐CTSM. Journal of Geophysical Research: Atmospheres, doi:https://doi.org/10.1029/2024JD043103 This study is the first to evaluate the state‐of‐the‐art coupled land‐atmosphere regional climate model WRF‐CTSM. It comprises the Weather Research and Forecasting model, WRF, and the Community Terrestrial Systems Model, CTSM (using a confi... CGD Affiliations: TSS Publication Genre: Article View on OpenSky |
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Coherence of the AMOC over the subpolar North Atlantic on interannual to multiannual time scales Petit, T., Robson, J., Ferreira, D., Yeager, S., Evans, D.. (2025). Coherence of the AMOC over the subpolar North Atlantic on interannual to multiannual time scales. Geophysical Research Letters, doi:https://doi.org/10.1029/2025GL115171 Direct measurements of the Atlantic Meridional Overturning Circulation (AMOC) are necessary to understand its evolution in a context of climate change. International programs monitored its recent evolution at different latitudes. However, t... CGD Affiliations: ESP Publication Genre: Article View on OpenSky |
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Maclennan, M. L., Winters, A. C., Shields, C. A., Thaker, R., Barthelemy, L., et al. (2025). Rising atmospheric moisture escalates the future impact of atmospheric rivers in the Antarctic climate system. Communications Earth & Environment, doi:https://doi.org/10.1038/s43247-025-02333-x Despite their relative rarity, atmospheric rivers are key contributors to the surface mass balance of Antarctica. However, the future role of atmospheric rivers in modulating Antarctic sea-level contributions is a major area of uncertainty.... CGD Affiliations: ESP Publication Genre: Article View on OpenSky |
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The Tropical Basin Interaction Model Intercomparison Project (TBIMIP) Richter, I., Chang, P., Chiu, P., Danabasoglu, G., Doi, T., et al. (2025). The Tropical Basin Interaction Model Intercomparison Project (TBIMIP). Geoscientific Model Development, doi:https://doi.org/10.5194/gmd-18-2587-2025 Large-scale interaction between the three tropical ocean basins is an area of intense research that is often conducted through experimentation with numerical models. A common problem is that modeling groups use different experimental setups... CGD Affiliations: OS, ESP Publication Genre: Article View on OpenSky |
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Hartke, S., Newman, A. J., Gutmann, E. D., McCrary, R., Lybarger, N., et al. (2025). Lack of clear standards and usable comparisons of downscaled climate projections pose a roadblock for US climate discovery and adaptation. Environmental Research Letters, doi:https://doi.org/10.1088/1748-9326/adc74e The release of global climate projections coupled with the demand for local-resolution climate-forced meteorology has prompted many research groups to downscale these projections using various statistical, dynamical, and current machine lea... CGD Affiliations: CGDAO, TSS Publication Genre: Article View on OpenSky |
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Distinctive pattern of global warming in ocean heat content Trenberth, K. E., Cheng, L., Pan, Y., Fasullo, J. T., Mayer, M.. (2025). Distinctive pattern of global warming in ocean heat content. Journal of Climate, doi:https://doi.org/10.1175/JCLI-D-24-0609.1 Huge heat anomalies in the atmosphere and ocean in recent years are not yet explained. Strong characteristic patterns in temperatures for upper layers of the ocean occurred from 2000 to 2023 in the presence of global warming from increasing... CGD Affiliations: CGDAO, CAS Publication Genre: Article View on OpenSky |
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Forestation in CMIP6: wide model spread in tree cover and land carbon uptake Egerer, S., Lawrence, D. M., Lawrence, P. J., Argles, A., Arora, V., et al. (2025). Forestation in CMIP6: wide model spread in tree cover and land carbon uptake. Environmental Research Letters, doi:https://doi.org/10.1088/1748-9326/adc93e Forestation is expected to play an significant role as a terrestrial carbon dioxide removal technology in low-emission scenarios by storing carbon in the biosphere, thereby changing the physical properties of the land surface. To represent ... CGD Affiliations: TSS Publication Genre: Article View on OpenSky |
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Şen, B., Che‐Castaldo, C., LaRue, M. A., Krumhardt, K., Landrum, L., et al. (2025). Temporal and spatial equivalence in demographic responses of emperor penguins (Aptenodytes forsteri) to environmental change. Journal of Animal Ecology, doi:https://doi.org/10.1111/1365-2656.70025 Population ecology and biogeography applications often necessitate the transfer of models across spatial and/or temporal dimensions to make predictions outside the bounds of the data used for model fitting. However, ecological data are ofte... CGD Affiliations: OS, PPC Publication Genre: Article View on OpenSky |
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Enhancing research-to-operations in hydrological forecasting: Innovations across scales and horizons Pechlivanidis, I. G., Du, Y., Bennett, J., Boucher, M., Chang, A. Y., et al. (2025). Enhancing research-to-operations in hydrological forecasting: Innovations across scales and horizons. Bulletin of the American Meteorological Society, doi:https://doi.org/10.1175/BAMS-D-24-0322.1 Over the past 20 years, the Hydrological Ensemble Prediction Experiment (HEPEX) international community of practice has advanced the science and practice of hydrological ensemble prediction and its application in impact- and risk-based deci... CGD Affiliations: TSS Publication Genre: Article View on OpenSky |
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Tian, Y., Neale, R., Morrison, H.. (2025). Non-monotonic convective response to vertical wind shear: A closer look from cloud resolving model simulations. Journal of Advances in Modeling Earth Systems, doi:https://doi.org/10.1029/2024MS004859 Using a three‐dimensional cloud‐resolving model, a systematic exploration is undertaken of the response of a radiative‐convective equilibrium state to imposed vertical wind shear of varying magnitude. Domain‐averaged surface precipitation ... CGD Affiliations: AMP Publication Genre: Article View on OpenSky |
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Treguier, A. M., Montégut, C. d. B., Yeager, S., Chassignet, E. P., Iovino, D., et al. (2025). Multidecadal trends of the mixed layer depth and their relation to the wind in global ocean models forced by an atmospheric reanalysis. Journal of Geophysical Research: Oceans, doi:https://doi.org/10.1029/2024JC022271 The surface mixed layer of the ocean plays a key role in ocean‐atmosphere interactions. Despite the ocean surface warming in the past four decades, which increased the stratification, the mixed layer depth (MLD) has been found to increase, ... CGD Affiliations: ESP Publication Genre: Article View on OpenSky |
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Soil carbon saturation: What do we really know? Georgiou, K., Angers, D., Champiny, R. E., Cotrufo, M. F., Craig, M. E., et al. (2025). Soil carbon saturation: What do we really know?. Global Change Biology, doi:https://doi.org/10.1111/gcb.70197 Managing soils to increase organic carbon storage presents a potential opportunity to mitigate and adapt to global change challenges, while providing numerous co‐benefits and ecosystem services. However, soils differ widely in their potenti... CGD Affiliations: TSS Publication Genre: Article View on OpenSky |
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Grooms, I., Agarwal, N., Marques, G. M., Pegion, P. J., Yassin, H.. (2025). The stochastic GM + E closure: A framework for coupling stochastic backscatter with the Gent and McWilliams parameterization. Journal of Advances in Modeling Earth Systems, doi:https://doi.org/10.1029/2024MS004560 Ocean general circulation models (OGCMs) are often used at horizontal resolutions that preclude the appearance of mesoscale eddies. The ocean mesoscale constitutes a significant component of ocean variability, and OGCMs whose resolutions ar... CGD Affiliations: OS Publication Genre: Article View on OpenSky |
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Marques, G. M., Adcroft, A., Danabasoglu, G., Lemarié, F., McClean, J., et al. (2025). Ocean Model Development, Data-driven Parameterizations, and Machine Learning in Ocean Models of the Earth System: A US CLIVAR Workshop Report. , doi:https://doi.org/10.5065/bxk3-gs26 This report summarizes the 2024 joint CLIVAR OMDP and COMMODORE Ocean Model Development Workshop in Boulder, Colorado. The workshop brought together international scientists and early-career researchers to address challenges in ocean modeli... CGD Affiliations: OS Publication Genre: Workshop Report View on OpenSky |
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Continental evaluation of GPM IMERG V07B precipitation on a sub-daily scale Xiong, J., Tang, G., Yang, Y.. (2025). Continental evaluation of GPM IMERG V07B precipitation on a sub-daily scale. Remote Sensing of Environment, doi:https://doi.org/10.1016/j.rse.2025.114690 Satellite-based precipitation products have significantly advanced applications in hydrology, climate science, and related fields. Despite the significant role of the Global Precipitation Measurement (GPM) mission in monitoring global preci... CGD Affiliations: TSS Publication Genre: Article View on OpenSky |
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Jenouvrier, S., Eparvier, A., Şen, B., Ventura, F., Che-Castaldo, C., et al. (2025). Living with uncertainty: Using multi-model large ensembles to assess emperor penguin extinction risk for the IUCN Red List. Biological Conservation, doi:https://doi.org/10.1016/j.biocon.2025.111037 Improved methods for identifying species at risk are needed to strengthen climate change vulnerability assessments, as current estimates indicate that up to one million species face extinction due to environmental changes. Integrating multi... CGD Affiliations: PPC, OS Publication Genre: Article View on OpenSky |
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Stronger and prolonged El Niño-Southern Oscillation in the Early Eocene warmth Abhik, S., Dommenget, D., McGregor, S., Hutchinson, D. K., Steinig, S., et al. (2025). Stronger and prolonged El Niño-Southern Oscillation in the Early Eocene warmth. Nature Communications, doi:https://doi.org/10.1038/s41467-025-59263-7 The El Niño Southern Oscillation (ENSO) during the Early Eocene Climatic Optimum (EECO, 56–48 million years ago) is investigated using a multi-model ensemble of deep-time climate simulations. We reveal that ENSO sea surface temperature vari... CGD Affiliations: PPC Publication Genre: Article View on OpenSky |
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Feng, Z., Prein, A., Kukulies, J., Fiolleau, T., Jones, W. K., et al. (2025). Mesoscale Convective Systems Tracking Method Intercomparison (MCSMIP): Application to DYAMOND global km‐scale simulations. Journal of Geophysical Research: Atmospheres, doi:https://doi.org/10.1029/2024JD042204 Global kilometer‐scale models represent the future of Earth system modeling, enabling explicit simulation of organized convective storms and their associated extreme weather. Here, we comprehensively evaluate tropical mesoscale convective s... CGD Affiliations: ESP Publication Genre: Article View on OpenSky |
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Unraveling arctic sea ice response to Atmospheric Rivers-insights from sea ice modeling Zhang, P., Taylor, P. C., Webster, M., Bailey, D. A., Ding, Q., et al. (2025). Unraveling arctic sea ice response to Atmospheric Rivers-insights from sea ice modeling. Geophysical Research Letters, doi:https://doi.org/10.1029/2025GL115152 Atmospheric rivers (ARs) in winter can induce significant melting of sea ice as they approach the ice cover. However, due to the complex physical properties of sea ice, the specific processes within the ice pack that are responsible for its... CGD Affiliations: PPC Publication Genre: Article View on OpenSky |
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Niu, Q., McCluskey, C. S., McFarquhar, G.. (2025). Marine boundary layer cloud condensation Nuclei bias over the Southern Ocean: Comparisons between the community atmosphere model 6 and field observations. Journal of Geophysical Research: Atmospheres, doi:https://doi.org/10.1029/2024JD042734 Marine boundary layer (MBL) clouds play a crucial role in regulating radiative balance in the atmosphere. Previous studies identified that MBL cloud droplet number concentration (Nd) is underestimated by a factor of 2 over the summertime So... CGD Affiliations: CAS Publication Genre: Article View on OpenSky |
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The seasonal temperature conundrum for the Holocene Liu, Z., Cheng, J., Zheng, Y., Zhang, W., Liu, H., et al. (2025). The seasonal temperature conundrum for the Holocene. Science Advances, doi:https://doi.org/10.1126/sciadv.adt8950 Temperature is the key variable in the study of climate changes in the past and future. Most previous studies on past temperature reconstructions, however, have focused on the mean annual temperature (MAT). Here, focusing on the seasonal te... CGD Affiliations: PPC Publication Genre: Article View on OpenSky |
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First simulations of feedback algorithm‐regulated marine cloud brightening Lee, W., Chen, C., Richter, J. H., MacMartin, D. G., Kravitz, B.. (2025). First simulations of feedback algorithm‐regulated marine cloud brightening. Geophysical Research Letters, doi:https://doi.org/10.1029/2024GL113728 Feedback control algorithms are important tools in climate intervention simulation design because they facilitate “top‐down” design, in which climate goals (often temperatures) are prescribed and a strategy chosen to meet the target. This a... CGD Affiliations: AMP Publication Genre: Article View on OpenSky |
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Modulations of atmospheric river climatology by the stratospheric quasi‐biennial oscillation Huang, K., Shields, C. A., Hall, K. R., Richter, J. H., Li, Y., et al. (2025). Modulations of atmospheric river climatology by the stratospheric quasi‐biennial oscillation. Journal of Geophysical Research: Atmospheres, doi:https://doi.org/10.1029/2024JD042390 This study reveals the significant Quasi‐Biennial Oscillation (QBO) influences on the seasonal atmospheric river (AR) climatology around the globe. The North Pacific (NP) AR climatology in the boreal winter to early fall seasons in a QBO ea... CGD Affiliations: CCR, AMP Publication Genre: Article View on OpenSky |
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Holland, M. M., Krumhardt, K., DuVivier, A. K., Landrum, L.. (2025). Regional multiyear predictability of Antarctic sea ice in CESM2 and its implications for marine ecosystems. Journal of Climate, doi:https://doi.org/10.1175/JCLI-D-24-0258.1 Antarctic sea ice exhibits considerable regional variability that is influenced by ocean and atmospheric conditions. Previous studies have suggested that this variability may be predictable on seasonal-to-interannual time scales. Here, we u... CGD Affiliations: PPC, OS Publication Genre: Article View on OpenSky |
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Wu, Q., Ma, Y., Hu, A., Rosenbloom, N., Zhang, L., et al. (2025). Pacific sub-decadal sea surface temperature variations contributed to recent Antarctic Sea ice decline trend. Nature Communications, doi:https://doi.org/10.1038/s41467-025-58788-1 Total sea ice extent (SIE) across the Southern Ocean increased from 1979-2014, but declined rapidly after 2016. Significant sea ice decline has emerged since the peak of SIE in 2014, coincident with Pacific sub-decadal sea surface temperatu... CGD Affiliations: CCR Publication Genre: Article View on OpenSky |
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Exploring precipitation triple oxygen isotope dynamics: Insights from GISS‐E2.1 simulations Zhang, Y., LeGrande, A. N., Goodkin, N., Nusbaumer, J., He, S., et al. (2025). Exploring precipitation triple oxygen isotope dynamics: Insights from GISS‐E2.1 simulations. Journal of Advances in Modeling Earth Systems, doi:https://doi.org/10.1029/2024MS004509 Precipitation isotopes are valuable tracers for understanding the hydrologic cycle and climate variations. Distinct from d‐excess, 17 O‐excess has recently emerged as a promising new tracer of precipitation processes because of its insensit... CGD Affiliations: AMP Publication Genre: Article View on OpenSky |
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Confronting Earth System Model Trends with Observations: A US CLIVAR Workshop Report Johnson, A., Patterson, M., Shaw, T., Simpson, I. R., Ceppi, P., et al. (2025). Confronting Earth System Model Trends with Observations: A US CLIVAR Workshop Report. , doi:https://doi.org/10.5065/s2mj-0k65 The US CLIVAR workshop "Confronting Earth System Model Trends with Observations" (Boulder, CO, March 2024) brought together experts to assess the ability of Earth System Models (ESMs) to represent historical climate trends, crucial for futu... CGD Affiliations: CAS, CGDVISITORS Publication Genre: Workshop Report View on OpenSky |
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Integration and execution of Community Land Model Urban (CLMU) in a containerized environment Yu, J., Sun, Y., Lindley, S., Jay, C., Topping, D., et al. (2025). Integration and execution of Community Land Model Urban (CLMU) in a containerized environment. Environmental Modelling & Software, doi:https://doi.org/10.1016/j.envsoft.2025.106391 The Community Land Model Urban (CLMU) is a process-based numerical urban climate model that simulates the interactions between the atmosphere and urban surfaces, serving as a powerful tool for the convergence of urban and climate science re... CGD Affiliations: TSS Publication Genre: Article View on OpenSky |
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Henry, H., Olivas, T., Gumbleton, S., Beckham, N., Steury, T. D., et al. (2025). Willingness of recreational anglers to modify hook and bait choices for sea turtle conservation in Mobile Bay, Alabama, Gulf of Mexico. Fisheries Management and Ecology, doi:https://doi.org/10.1111/fme.12766 Saltwater angling is a culturally significant and economically vital coastal recreational activity, particularly in the Gulf of Mexico that attracts enthusiasts worldwide and contributes significantly to the well‐being of Gulf Coast communi... CGD Affiliations: CGDAO Publication Genre: Article View on OpenSky |
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Quantifying the potential predictability of Arctic marine primary production Payne, C., Lovenduski, N. S., Holland, M. M., Krumhardt, K., DuVivier, A. K.. (2025). Quantifying the potential predictability of Arctic marine primary production. Journal of Geophysical Research: Oceans, doi:https://doi.org/10.1029/2024JC021668 Phytoplankton in the Arctic Ocean and sub‐Arctic seas support a rich marine food web that sustains Indigenous communities as well as some of the world's largest fisheries. As sea ice retreat leads to further expansion of these fisheries, th... CGD Affiliations: PPC, OS Publication Genre: Article View on OpenSky |
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Kim, H., Kang, S. M., Pendergrass, A., Lehner, F., Shin, Y., et al. (2025). Higher precipitation in East Asia and western United States expected with future Southern Ocean warming. Nature Geoscience, doi:https://doi.org/10.1038/s41561-025-01669-5 Precipitation over East Asia and the western United States is projected to increase as a result of global warming, although substantial uncertainties persist regarding the magnitude. A key factor driving these uncertainties is the tropical ... CGD Affiliations: CGDVISITORS, CGDAO Publication Genre: Article View on OpenSky |